506 Highway 32 · Bruce, MS 38915

$160,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 28 Days on market

Built 1962 3.60 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +11.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.2/10.0
• 1% rule +3.2/10.0
• DSCR +3.2/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks

Country living with space, comfort, and functionality! Located on Hwy 32 in Ellard, just west of Bruce, this well-maintained brick home built in 1962 sits on approximately 3.6 beautiful acres and offers 1,972 square feet of living space. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home features a comfortable layout with a spacious living room, dedicated dining room, and a separate laundry room with washer and dryer area for added convenience. Enjoy peaceful mornings on the large front deck or relax year-round in the enclosed back deck overlooking the property. A covered carport provides additional convenience and protection from the weather. Outside, the property includes two shops, ideal for storage, hobbies,

Key facts

• Muscadine vineyard
• Covered carport
• Enclosed back deck

Tags

• WELL MAINTAINED BRICK HOME
• LARGE FRONT DECK
• ENCLOSED BACK DECK
• COVERED CARPORT
• TWO SHOPS
• MUSCADINE VINEYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 2 covered carport spaces
• Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Community water; Cable connected, electricity connected, water connected, propane
• Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level
• Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Built (year source: appraiser)
• Exterior features: Private yard

Interior

• Kitchen: Microwave; Refrigerator
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Heating available via fireplace(s) and propane; Window unit cooling
• Interior features: Fireplace with propane fuel

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-764/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (5.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (17.6% below list).
• Recommended offer: $132k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#147 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D+, amenities F.
• Calhoun County School District (rural): math 28% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #75 of 130 in MS (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
• Calhoun County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $131,907 (17.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.82% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.82%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.71%
• DSCR: 0.92
• GRM: 10.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 4.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.22×
• Total profit: $10,010
• Equity at exit: $66,379

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.07×
• Total profit: $48,042
• Equity at exit: $98,166

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Mississippi: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 38915

• Home prices YoY: 1.7%
• Active inventory: 25
• Price-to-rent: 10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,319 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$277
• Net cashflow: $-64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,400

Max offer price $150,788

Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $40,000
• Closing costs: $4,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $160,000 Pending 28 DOM
2. 2026-06-05
   days on market $160,000 Active 25 DOM
3. 2026-06-02
   days on market $160,000 Active 23 DOM
4. 2026-06-01
   days on market $160,000 Active 22 DOM
5. 2026-05-31
   days on market $160,000 Active 21 DOM
6. 2026-05-30
   days on market $160,000 Active 20 DOM
7. 2026-05-09
   listed $160,000 Active 1162-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,829
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,962
• − Property taxes: −$2,400
• − Insurance: −$800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,266
• − Management: −$1,266
• − Depreciation: −$4,655
• Taxable loss: −$3,521
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$845
• After-tax cash flow: $81/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Calhoun County School District
• NCES district ID: 2800870
• Math proficiency: 28% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $30,951
• Composite: 23.14/100
• National rank: #7952
• State rank: #75 of 130 in MS

Livability — Bruce

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #147
• US rank: #15075

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 3,186

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 14,108 people
• By 2030: 13,650 · -3.2%
• By 2040: 12,586 · -10.8%
• By 2050: 11,417 · -19.1%
• By 2075: 8,381 · -40.6%
• By 2100: 5,478 · -61.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 68% Black 29% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.6% · R 73.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.3pp toward R · 2008: -27.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+39.1 2012: R+27.3 2008: R+27.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 2.37%
• Current HPI: 143.4197
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-07 Pending — MLSU
• 2026-05-09 Listed $160,000 MLSU

Property tax history

-6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $40 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.