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23961 Crumptown Rd
C+ Composite 63.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.8/30.0
  • DSCR +9.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.5/15.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$130,000

23961 Crumptown Rd · Wagram, NC 28396
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,153 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1966 0.47 ac lot Est $125k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for a great starter or investment property? Look no further - Welcome to 23961 Crumptown Road in Wagram! Brick home located on a large corner lot that features 3 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms. Covered Carport with storage area + grapevines and detached storage building. As-Is Sale!

Key facts

  • Grapevines
  • Large corner lot
  • Covered carport

Tags

BRICK HOMELARGE CORNER LOTCOVERED CARPORTDETACHED STORAGE BUILDINGGRAPEVINES

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; No enclosed garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story; Built in 1966; Existing structure
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; City lot; No fencing; No pool; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary on main
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Heating by baseboard, electric, and propane; Heating fuel: electric and propane gas
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $354 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#624 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.1% local appreciation)).
  • Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.56%
Cash-on-cash
11.67%
DSCR
1.52
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$124,524
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23961 Crumptown Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,153 (0%) 1mo $125,000 $108 95

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.07% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
1.88×
Total profit
$31,897
Equity at exit
$51,782
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$90,018
Equity at exit
$74,957

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28396

Home prices YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,454 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $707/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$354

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-28
    historical Active Under Contract 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    Looking for a great starter or investment property? Look no further - Welcome to 23961 Crumptown Road in Wagram! Brick home located on a large corner lot that features 3 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms. Covered Carport with storage area + grapevines and detached storage building. As-Is Sale!

  3. 2026-04-19
    price $130,000 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    Looking for a great starter or investment property? Look no further - Welcome to 23961 Crumptown Road in Wagram! Brick home located on a large corner lot that features 3 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms. Covered Carport with storage area + grapevines and detached storage building. As-Is Sale!

  4. 2026-04-19
    price $130,000
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    Looking for a great starter or investment property? Look no further - Welcome to 23961 Crumptown Road in Wagram! Brick home located on a large corner lot that features 3 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms. Covered Carport with storage area + grapevines and detached storage building. As-Is Sale!

  5. 2026-03-23
    listed $140,000 Active
  6. 2026-03-20
    listed $140,000 Active 289-char remark
    Show marketing remark (289 chars)

    Looking for a great starter or investment property? Look no further - Welcome to 23961 Crumptown Road in Wagram! Brick home located on a large corner lot that features 3 bedrooms & 2 bathrooms. Covered Carport with storage area + grapevines and detached storage building. As-Is Sale!

  7. 2024-01-12
    soldstatus $118,000 Closed 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    Looking for a great starter home or a home to make your own with a close drive to Laurinburg, Moore County, Fort Liberty or Fayetteville? This home would be perfect for you! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on a large corner lot in Wagram. Laminate floors replaced in 2022. This home is just waiting for its new owners to make it their own! As-is sale

  8. 2024-01-12
    soldstatus $118,000
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    Looking for a great starter home or a home to make your own with a close drive to Laurinburg, Moore County, Fort Liberty or Fayetteville? This home would be perfect for you! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on a large corner lot in Wagram. Laminate floors replaced in 2022. This home is just waiting for its new owners to make it their own! As-is sale

  9. 2023-12-17
    status Pending 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    Looking for a great starter home or a home to make your own with a close drive to Laurinburg, Moore County, Fort Liberty or Fayetteville? This home would be perfect for you! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on a large corner lot in Wagram. Laminate floors replaced in 2022. This home is just waiting for its new owners to make it their own! As-is sale

  10. 2023-11-07
    listed $125,000 Active 364-char remark
    Show marketing remark (364 chars)

    Looking for a great starter home or a home to make your own with a close drive to Laurinburg, Moore County, Fort Liberty or Fayetteville? This home would be perfect for you! This home boasts 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms on a large corner lot in Wagram. Laminate floors replaced in 2022. This home is just waiting for its new owners to make it their own! As-is sale

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$707 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$359/yr (+$30/mo · 50.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,451
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$707
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,396
− Management
−$1,396
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$2,238
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$537
After-tax cash flow
$3,712/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scotland County Schools
NCES district ID
3704200
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$31,203
Composite
20.66/100
National rank
#8536
State rank
#160 of 178 in NC

Livability — Wagram

Score
56/100
State rank
#624
US rank
#22665

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wagram, NC
Population (ZIP)
2,384

Population outlook (Scotland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,331 people
By 2030
32,017 · -3.9%
By 2040
29,290 · -12.1%
By 2050
26,554 · -20.3%
By 2075
19,857 · -40.4%
By 2100
13,851 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 32% Two or more races 11% Native American 8% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Serbian 2% Portuguese 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scotland

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.9) · D 46.2% · R 53.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -6.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.9 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+7.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.07%
Current HPI
239.8574
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $130,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $130,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $140,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $140,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-01-12 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
  • 2024-01-12 Sold (MLS) $118,000 LPRMLS
  • 2023-12-17 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2023-11-07 Listed $125,000 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $707 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…