6018 Conover Rd · Taneytown, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step back in time with this charming 1872 Colonial brimming with character and original features throughout. Offering 2 bedrooms, 1.5 baths, and a 1-car garage, this historic home is ready for its next chapter. In need of a full renovation, the property presents a rare opportunity to create your dream home or restore its timeless beauty to its original glory. Situated on a generous lot and located just minutes from Gettysburg and its shops, dining, history, and attractions, this property is ideal for homeowners, history enthusiasts, or investors seeking a rewarding restoration project. Bring your vision (and checkbook) and unlock the potential of this classic Colonial.
Key facts
- Generous lot
- Original features
- Full renovation
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Ownership is fee simple; Land and improvement assessed values reported; Tax and assessment years noted
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Detached front-entry garage with one garage space
- Utilities: Electric service for heating, cooling, and hot water; Private water; Private septic
- Home design: Detached structure; Above-grade finished living area reported; Other structures include garages
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Block foundation; Building is not winterized; Year built information from assessor
- Exterior features: Private water source; Private septic tank; Municipal trash service not provided; Ground rent paid annually; Not in a federal flood zone; Unfinished below-grade area
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the upper level; One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating; Electric cooling fuel; Electric hot water
- Interior features: No basement; Property noted as needing major rehabilitation
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 1.8% in Taneytown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#149 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: schools C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Carroll County Public Schools (suburban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #2 of 24 in MD (top 8%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 156 units permitted in Carroll County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Carroll County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1872 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1872 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.02%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,987
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $26,938
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21787
- Home prices YoY
- -34.0%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,665 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,396/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $350
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-19$149,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,396 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,515 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$119/yr (+$10/mo · 8.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,980
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$1,396
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,598
- − Management
- −$1,598
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $1,880
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$451
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,754/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Carroll County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400210
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -25.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -16.00%
- Median HH income
- $84,594
- Composite
- 37.33/100
- National rank
- #4441
- State rank
- #2 of 24 in MD
Livability — Taneytown
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #6550
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,549
Population outlook (Carroll County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,677 people
- By 2030
- 169,605 · +-0.0%
- By 2040
- 166,205 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 158,312 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 143,013 · -15.7%
- By 2100
- 122,431 · -27.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Carroll
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.2% · R 61.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.2pp toward D · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+23.7 2016: R+36.9 2012: R+34.0 2008: R+31.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -132.27%
- Current HPI
- 257.2289
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,396 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…