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8573 E Outer Dr
C- Composite 51.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

8573 E Outer Dr · Detroit, MI 48213
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,319 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1952 6,098 sqft lot Est $88k · 30% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

OPORTUNITY!!! NEW on the market this gem is in a perfect location. This nice brick bungalow is located in a great area just on Outer Dr and near to main streets, schools, big and important stores, and shopping centers. This is an excellent property for first-time buyers, or anyone who would like to take the opportunity to get this house and make it their home. You will find a nice size living room, dining room, a gorgeous remodeled kitchen, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath in the first floor, a master nice bedroom upstairs, basement, driveway and detached garage for 2 vehicle. Furnace and HWT in working conditions (not currently installed in the house). No seller financing.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Brick bungalow
  • Near main streets

Tags

BRICK BUNGALOWREMODELED KITCHENDETACHED GARAGENEAR MAIN STREETSNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR SHOPPING CENTERS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Brick exterior; Faces unspecified
  • Construction: Built with brick construction; Block foundation; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,349/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.50%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$88,373
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12304 Rosemary St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,480 (+12%) 6mo $22,000 $15 70
12328 Longview St 0.33mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (+6%) 1mo $85,000 $61 68
11833 Wilfred St 0.41mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,340 (+2%) 8mo $100,000 $75 65
12737 Promenade St 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (+9%) 7mo $50,000 $35 56
11091 Wilshire Dr 0.45mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,205 (-9%) 3mo $15,000 $12 55
12019 Sanford St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,149 (-13%) 2mo $31,500 $27 54
13334 Elmdale St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,221 (-7%) 3mo $89,254 $73 51
13001 Promenade St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,124 (-15%) 6mo $73,800 $66 50
13312 Jane St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,190 (-10%) 6mo $124,000 $104 47
13124 Flanders St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,150 (-13%) 0mo $115,000 $100 46
13423 Kilbourne St 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,450 (+10%) 8mo $113,000 $78 42
12798 Corbett St 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,124 (-15%) 7mo $75,000 $67 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.6%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-682
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
9.1%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$22,562
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48213

Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,349 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,599/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$282

Break-even live

Break-even rent $993
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $347 -5% $314 +0% $282 +5% $249 +10% $217
Rent -10% $175 -5% $228 +0% $282 +5% $335 +10% $388
Rate -1.0pp $340 -0.5pp $311 base $282 +0.5pp $252 +1.0pp $222

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 28 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 18d 1 0.22mi
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 44d 1 0.34mi
8205 E Outer Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1874 $1,400 $0.75 18d 1 0.34mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 18d 1 0.42mi
11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $3,102 $3.13 15d 1 0.42mi
11171 Charlemagne Ave Unit A Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1598 $1,200 $0.75 44d 1 0.54mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 18d 1 0.56mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 44d 1 0.57mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 5d 1 0.59mi
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 25d 1 0.67mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 0.76mi
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 18d 1 0.82mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 4d 1 0.84mi
11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 44d 1 0.90mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 44d 1 1.00mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 25d 1 1.18mi
17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,450 $1.10 18d 1 1.19mi
13218 Greiner St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1162 $1,195 $1.03 18d 1 1.20mi
11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 44d 1 1.23mi
17851 Strasburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1079 $1,100 $1.02 18d 1 1.27mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 18d 1 1.31mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 4d 1 1.39mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 21d 1 1.43mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 18d 1 1.44mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 18d 1 1.45mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 44d 1 1.46mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 5d 1 1.49mi
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    remarks 676-char remark
  4. 2026-06-16
    listed $115,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,599 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,685 · $140/mo
Expected delta
+$86/yr (+$7/mo · 5.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,191
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,599
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,295
− Management
−$1,295
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$1,639
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$393
After-tax cash flow
$2,987/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,075
Household income
$34,003
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.86%
Current HPI
217.2037
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+109.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 2018-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,599 · -30.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…