712 Santa Fe Dr · Clinton, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Appreciation +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$114,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained, move-in ready home offering 1,222 square feet of comfortable living space. This charming property features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, along with a spacious living room, cozy den, and a dedicated dining area—perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The home showcases beautiful hardwood and wood laminate flooring throughout, creating a warm and cohesive feel. The kitchen comes fully equipped with a refrigerator, stove, dishwasher, and microwave, making it truly ready for its next owner. Enjoy an abundance of natural light streaming through custom blinds, complemented by updated light fixtures that add a modern touch. Step outside to a fully fenc
Key facts
- 6,530 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 78 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Existing property; Homestead exemption claimed
- Financial info: Loan qualification possible
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking
- Utilities: Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level home; Faces east
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof (replaced/updated 2016); Conventional foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Outbuildings; Wood fencing; Corner lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $182 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (0.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 6.1% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#196 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Clinton (town): math 21% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #149 of 270 in OK (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Southwest Es (math 20% / reading 14%, grade F, #540 of 845 statewide, top 68%, 468 students, 0% FRL); Clinton Hs (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #332 of 447 statewide, top 78%, 629 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 67% district-wide (67 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 28 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $788 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Custer County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $114k implies a 315% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.86%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $59,878
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 N 8th St | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,246 (+2%) | 2mo | $89,000 | $71 | 70 |
| 625 Santa Fe Dr | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-14%) | 18mo | $85,000 | $80 | 58 |
| 301 N 8th St | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (+5%) | 22mo | $11,000 | $9 | 46 |
| 1803 Orient | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,169 (-4%) | 23mo | $31,000 | $27 | 42 |
| 1025 Court | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-8%) | 11mo | $55,500 | $49 | 41 |
| 604 N 3rd St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,404 (+15%) | 4mo | $45,000 | $32 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.36% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-3,809
- Equity at exit
- $20,270
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $14,212
- Equity at exit
- $15,570
Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73601
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,130 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$598
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $775/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $182
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,500
- Closing costs
- $3,420
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $114,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,700 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,700 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,700 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,700 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,700 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,700 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,700 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,700 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,700 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-03-27$119,700 Active
-
1998-05-11soldstatus $27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $775 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,026 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$251/yr (+$21/mo · 32.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,555
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,386
- − Property taxes
- −$775
- − Insurance
- −$570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,084
- − Management
- −$1,084
- − Depreciation
- −$3,316
- Taxable income
- $339
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$81
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton
- NCES district ID
- 4008070
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,693
- Composite
- 18.97/100
- National rank
- #8853
- State rank
- #149 of 270 in OK
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #14999
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Clinton, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,489
Population outlook (Custer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,356 people
- By 2030
- 37,162 · +8.2%
- By 2040
- 43,354 · +26.2%
- By 2050
- 50,458 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 71,075 · +106.9%
- By 2100
- 91,129 · +165.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 17% Native American 5% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Scottish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 23% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Custer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 22.4% · R 75.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: -49.3pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+49.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.36%
- Current HPI
- 244.5526
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+335.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $119,700 MLSOK
- 1998-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $775 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…