4602 Sunbrook Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$144,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
What a lovely street to call home. Home has so much charm, spacious bedrooms & plenty of bathrooms. Many updates throughout the years including windows, some flooring, 1st floor bathroom & updates to kitchen. Large, level, fenced rear yard for running around in & it has a large shed also. Relax on your front porch! Plenty of storage. This is the one! Unbelievable value! Don't miss out! Sold As-Is.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Main level bedroom
- Galley kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property condition noted as below average / major rehab needed; Located in city limits; Road surface: blacktop, maintained by city/county
- Financial info: Ground rent payment required (listed as semi-annually)
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (public septic listed); Municipal trash service
- Home design: Semi-detached structure; Flat roof; Ground rent ownership interest exists (semi-annual payment)
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Block foundation; Daylight, full basement with rear entrance and walkout stairs (unfinished)
- Exterior features: Sidewalks; Deck(s); Porch(es); Partially fenced yard with privacy fencing; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Ceramic tile; Laminate plank
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level, one on upper level); One half bathroom on lower level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans; 100 amp electric service
- Interior features: Built-in shelving or cabinetry; Dining area; Traditional floor plan; Galley-style kitchen; Drywall and plaster walls; Insulated doors
- Laundry & utility: Main-floor laundry; Natural gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $144k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $144k).
- Recommended offer: $140k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $996 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $40k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $144k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.06%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $181,888
- List price
- $144,000
- Delta
- -20.83%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4540 Hazelwood Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,080 (+12%) | 10mo | $180,000 | $167 | 63 |
| 5602 White Ave | 0.17mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,008 (+5%) | 15mo | $225,000 | $223 | 62 |
| 5876 Belair Rd | 0.51mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,044 (+9%) | 9mo | $149,000 | $143 | 47 |
| 5327 Todd Ave | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,024 (+7%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $254 | 45 |
| 5903 Lillyan Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,024 (+7%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $195 | 44 |
| 5907 Daywalt Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,008 (+5%) | 11mo | $125,000 | $124 | 41 |
| 5423 Radecke Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,024 (+7%) | 15mo | $233,000 | $228 | 40 |
| 5431 NE Radecke Ave | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,024 (+7%) | 20mo | $197,000 | $192 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,463
- Equity at exit
- $21,471
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $34,159
- Equity at exit
- $12,450
Cash invested: $40,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21206
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 180
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,672 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$755
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,412/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $386 | -5% $345 | +0% $304 | +5% $264 | +10% $223 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $172 | -5% $238 | +0% $304 | +5% $371 | +10% $437 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $377 | -0.5pp $341 | base $304 | +0.5pp $267 | +1.0pp $229 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,000
- Closing costs
- $4,320
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4905 Hamilton Ave Apt B Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4903 1/2 Hamilton Ave Apt B Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4903 1/2 Hamilton Ave Unit A Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,450 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 4907 Hamilton Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,699 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5738 Cedonia Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,385 | $1.74 | 4d | 3 | 0.17mi |
| 4909 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 862 | $1,550 | $1.80 | 4d | 5 | 0.19mi |
| 5904 Arizona Ave Unit B Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 4308 Hamilton Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $1,416 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5906 Benton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,350 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 6042 Barstow Rd Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 736 | $1,527 | $2.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5424 Belle Vista Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4007 Biddison Ln Apt 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,279 | $1.28 | 18d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4023 Belwood Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,995 | $1.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3607 Bayonne Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4901 Gunther Ave Baltimore, MD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 742 | $1,463 | $1.97 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3807 Fleetwood Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,550 | $1.65 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3807 Fleetwood Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,490 | $1.54 | 5d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6410 Walther Ave Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1195 | $1,995 | $1.67 | 44d | 7 | 1.26mi |
| 5305 Moravia Rd Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 679 | $1,993 | $2.93 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4409 Moravia Rd Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 861 | $1,385 | $1.61 | 44d | 3 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $144,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $144,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $144,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $144,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $144,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $144,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $144,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-04-24$149,900 Active 1112-char remark
-
2016-05-24soldstatus $69,900
-
2016-05-20soldstatus $69,900 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
What a lovely street to call home. Home has so much charm, spacious bedrooms & plenty of bathrooms. Many updates throughout the years including windows, some flooring, 1st floor bathroom & updates to kitchen. Large, level, fenced rear yard for running around in & it has a large shed also. Relax on your front porch! Plenty of storage. This is the one! Unbelievable value! Don't miss out! Sold As-Is.
-
2016-05-20soldstatus $69,900 Sold
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
What a lovely street to call home. Home has so much charm, spacious bedrooms & plenty of bathrooms. Many updates throughout the years including windows, some flooring, 1st floor bathroom & updates to kitchen. Large, level, fenced rear yard for running around in & it has a large shed also. Relax on your front porch! Plenty of storage. This is the one! Unbelievable value! Don't miss out! Sold As-Is.
-
2016-04-01status Contract
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
What a lovely street to call home. Home has so much charm, spacious bedrooms & plenty of bathrooms. Many updates throughout the years including windows, some flooring, 1st floor bathroom & updates to kitchen. Large, level, fenced rear yard for running around in & it has a large shed also. Relax on your front porch! Plenty of storage. This is the one! Unbelievable value! Don't miss out! Sold As-Is.
-
2016-03-22$69,900 Active
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
What a lovely street to call home. Home has so much charm, spacious bedrooms & plenty of bathrooms. Many updates throughout the years including windows, some flooring, 1st floor bathroom & updates to kitchen. Large, level, fenced rear yard for running around in & it has a large shed also. Relax on your front porch! Plenty of storage. This is the one! Unbelievable value! Don't miss out! Sold As-Is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,412 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,412 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,061
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,066
- − Property taxes
- −$2,412
- − Insurance
- −$720
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,605
- − Management
- −$1,605
- − Depreciation
- −$4,189
- Taxable income
- $1,463
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$351
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,303/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,902
- Household income
- $64,531
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2317.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 20% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Ukrainian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -191.83%
- Current HPI
- 284.5645
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+106.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $144,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
- 2016-05-20 Sold (MLS) $69,900 MRIS
- 2016-05-20 Sold (MLS) $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-04-01 Pending — MRIS
- 2016-03-22 Listed $69,900 MRIS
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,412 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…