13-58 Chandler St · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.3/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$879,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Discover the epitome of space and versatility in this Expansive 2 Family Home in Far Rockaway, Queens. Boasting a spacious layout with generous living areas and ample room for customization, this home caters to comfort and convenience. Offers a finished basement and Huge 3rd Floor/Attic. Home is accessible via front, back and side entrance. It all sits on a 40 x 81 Lot. Located in the renowned Far Rockaway neighborhood, it offers a promising canvas for potential projects. Embrace the opportunity to live in a large home with nice yard space and/or invest wisely in this remarkable Queens property!, Additional information: Appearance:Good, Separate Hot-water Heater:Yes
Key facts
- 7,703 sq ft lot
- 10 parking spots
- Built 1910
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $879k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($279/yr) — positive. Per door: $12/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $738k (16.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $738k (16.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,376/mo this rent would consume 158% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 4702% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 560 days — a 12% lower offer ($774k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $145k; list at $879k implies a 506% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 560 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.19%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $773,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1120 Beach Channel Dr | 0.20mi | 6/4.0 | 2,073 (+2%) | 1mo | $665,000 | $321 | 86 |
| 1445 Gipson St | 0.20mi | 7/4.0 | 2,096 (+3%) | 4mo | $837,000 | $399 | 82 |
| 1125 Gipson St | 0.18mi | 6/4.0 | 2,120 (+4%) | 5mo | $820,000 | $387 | 80 |
| 2206 Regina Ave | 0.22mi | —/— | 1,920 (-6%) | 7mo | $525,000 | $273 | 75 |
| 636 Beach 22nd St | 0.37mi | 6/2.0 | 1,924 (-6%) | 7mo | $680,000 | $353 | 68 |
| 2407 Brookhaven Ave | 0.57mi | 6/4.0 | 2,040 (+0%) | 7mo | $777,000 | $381 | 67 |
| 598 Beach 19th St | 0.52mi | 5/2.0 | 2,106 (+4%) | 4mo | $800,000 | $380 | 67 |
| 2327 Mott Ave | 0.22mi | 6/4.0 | 2,340 (+15%) | 1mo | $731,000 | $312 | 64 |
| 109 Roger Ave | 0.56mi | 5/3.0 | 1,905 (-6%) | 0mo | $650,000 | $341 | 63 |
| 2711 Deerfield Rd | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,000 (-2%) | 3mo | $790,000 | $395 | 60 |
| 2215 Edgemere Ave | 0.72mi | 6/5.0 | 2,226 (+9%) | 6mo | $845,000 | $380 | 46 |
| 2301 Camp Rd | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 | 1,789 (-12%) | 2mo | $705,000 | $394 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-141,010
- Equity at exit
- $131,062
- IRR
- -7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-121,107
- Equity at exit
- $76,000
Cash invested: $246,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11691
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 19.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,376 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,610
- Tax from tax record
- −$401 /mo · $4,817/yr
- Insurance
- −$366
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,549
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | — | $7,376 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $3,688 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $3,688 |
| Total (2 units) | $7,376 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $219,750
- Closing costs
- $26,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1411 Chandler St Far Rockaway, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1564 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2217 Collier Ave Far Rockaway, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1656 | $2,800 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 8-27 Hartman Ln Unit 1ST Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2937 | $3,250 | $1.11 | 20d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1-57 Beach 25th St Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3000 | $3,700 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 28 Clinton Ave Unit 2 nd Fl Inwood, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1964 | $3,800 | $1.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2175 Bay Blvd Atlantic Beach, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2178 | $6,499 | $2.98 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 325 Beach 46th St Far Rockaway, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2250 | $3,100 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2025-08-05status Pending
-
2025-04-17status Active
-
2025-04-14historical
-
2024-06-05status Active
-
2024-01-03$879,000 Active
-
1994-09-27soldstatus $145,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,817 · $401/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,836 · $820/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5,019/yr (+$418/mo · 104.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $88,512
- − Mortgage interest
- −$49,238
- − Property taxes
- −$4,817
- − Insurance
- −$9,514
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,081
- − Management
- −$7,081
- − Depreciation
- −$25,571
- Taxable loss
- −$14,789
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,549
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 69,359
- Household income
- $56,135
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4702.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 40% Hispanic / Latino 26% White 24% Two or more races 12% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 66% English-only · Spanish 21% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -397.66%
- Current HPI
- 281.4044
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+506.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-08-05 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-17 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-14 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-05 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-03 Listed $879,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,817 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…