505 Warnock St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$133,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming bungalow located at 505 Warnock right by UofL! This property is zoned C1 perfect for an investor looking to short term rent a property. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 860 sq ft perfect for an investor or someone attending the University of Louisville looking for an afforbable please to live. Property has a nice front porch, tile in the kitchen, and a fully fenced in yard. It could be a great addition to your rental portfolio.
Key facts
- Manageable yard
- Updated bungalow
- Great natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Semple subdivision
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family ranch-style home; One story
- Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl siding and wood frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Cleared lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms, both on the first floor; Primary bedroom is on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom located on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Total of 4 main rooms; Living room on the first floor; Eat-in kitchen on the first floor; Additional first-floor multipurpose room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the first floor; First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($640/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (10.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (10.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 72 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $923 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $100k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.71%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $193,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524 Warnock St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 820 (-2%) | 9mo | $143,000 | $174 | 86 |
| 535 Warnock St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 901 (+7%) | 1mo | $127,500 | $142 | 78 |
| 524 Lilly Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 769 (-8%) | 7mo | $120,000 | $156 | 76 |
| 2139 Bradley Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 941 (+12%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $223 | 74 |
| 509 E Brandeis Ave | 0.42mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 856 (+2%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $228 | 70 |
| 660 Lynn St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 | 900 (+7%) | 7mo | $237,500 | $264 | 67 |
| 837 Delor Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (-1%) | 5mo | $205,000 | $247 | 66 |
| 2064 Emmet Ave | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 750 (-11%) | 12mo | $199,900 | $267 | 60 |
| 633 Merwin Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 924 (+10%) | 1mo | $107,000 | $116 | 58 |
| 612 Ervay Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 | 761 (-9%) | 11mo | $202,110 | $266 | 58 |
| 516 Rawlings St | 0.45mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 764 (-9%) | 3mo | $176,000 | $230 | 56 |
| 2026 Alexander Ave | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 922 (+10%) | 12mo | $253,000 | $274 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-20,891
- Equity at exit
- $19,905
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-24,228
- Equity at exit
- $11,543
Cash invested: $37,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40217
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,199 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$700
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,654/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $53
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,375
- Closing costs
- $4,005
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 Atwood St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $995 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2138 Crittenden Dr Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $950 | $1.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 570 Lilly Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,275 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 520 Wainwright Ave Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 533 Eastern Pkwy Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,200 | $1.53 | 15d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2057 May Ave Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $850 | $1.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2057 May Ave Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $850 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 428 E Brandeis Ave Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,200 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 423 E Brandeis Ave Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,850 | $2.41 | 3d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2207 James Pirtle Ct Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 883 | $1,170 | $1.33 | 3d | 17 | 0.28mi |
| 620 Eastern Pkwy Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,200 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 620 Eastern Pkwy #3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,100 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2235 S Shelby St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $995 | $1.66 | 14d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 639 Rawlings St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1800 S 2nd St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $950 | $1.65 | 15d | 7 | 0.66mi |
| 2501 S 3rd St Louisville, KY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 3d | 2 | 0.66mi |
| 2501 S 4th St Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 897 | $3,732 | $4.16 | 3d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1702 S 2nd St Apt 3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $875 | $1.40 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1702 S 2nd St Apt 1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,100 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1492 S Shelby St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 11d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2913 S 3rd St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2805 S 4th St #1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $725 | $0.97 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1521 S 4th St Unit 6 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,025 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1521 S 4th St Unit 7 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,125 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1521 S 4th St Unit 12 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1521 S 4th St Apt 8 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 216 W Burnett Ave Unit 216A Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 216 W Burnett Ave Unit 226B Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,050 | $1.35 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 409 W Gaulbert Ave Unit 201 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,100 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1436 S 2nd St Unit 1436-1 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,095 | $1.09 | 11d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 508 M St Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,100 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 307 Woodbine St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 307 Woodbine St Unit 4 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $750 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 2716 S 6th St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $950 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 415 Belgravia Ct Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 1318 S Brook St Unit 3 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,295 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1279 S Preston St Unit 1A Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,200 | $2.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1304 S Brook St #2 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1501 Bellamy Pl Louisville, KY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1074 | $1,758 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 518 Camp St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $133,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $133,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $133,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $133,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $133,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $144,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $144,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $144,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $144,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $144,500 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $144,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $144,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $144,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $144,500
-
2026-04-28$150,000 Active
-
2019-12-02soldstatus $100,000
-
2012-09-03historical
-
2011-08-03$89,900
-
2009-03-23soldstatus $53,310
-
2008-05-10historical
-
2008-05-07$89,900
-
2007-09-27historical
-
2007-04-11$71,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,383
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,478
- − Property taxes
- −$1,654
- − Insurance
- −$668
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,151
- − Management
- −$1,151
- − Depreciation
- −$3,884
- Taxable loss
- −$1,602
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$384
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,663
- Household income
- $69,114
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 569.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 7% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.03%
- Current HPI
- 301.9034
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+103.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $144,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $150,000 Metro Search MLS
- 2019-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2012-09-03 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2011-08-03 Listed $89,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2009-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $53,310 Public Records
- 2008-05-10 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2008-05-07 Listed $89,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2007-09-27 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
- 2007-04-11 Listed $71,000 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,654 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…