19602 N 32nd St #50 · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Enjoy natural light from skylights in the kitchen and primary bathroom, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere. The kitchen was beautifully remodeled in 2023, complemented by newer flooring installed in 2018. A newer water heater adds peace of mind. Designed with accessibility in mind, the home features a convenient ramp for easy entry. Relax on the welcoming front porch or take advantage of the insulated Tuff Shed--complete with lighting and A/C--perfect for storage, a workshop, or hobby space. All ages community. You must get pre-approved by the community.
Key facts
- Newer flooring
- Remodeled kitchen
- Newer water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.62%
- DSCR
- 2.94
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,290
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -20.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19602 N 32nd St #35 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,586 (-1%) | 9mo | $105,000 | $66 | 91 |
| 19802 N 32nd St #98 | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,614 (+1%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $40 | 88 |
| 19802 N 32nd St #144 | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,617 (+1%) | 3mo | $80,000 | $49 | 84 |
| 2956 E Sequoia Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+5%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $155 | 76 |
| 19602 N 32nd St #44 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,689 (+6%) | 11mo | $133,000 | $79 | 76 |
| 2955 E Piute Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-9%) | 14mo | $320,000 | $220 | 66 |
| 19802 N 32nd St #36 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,736 (+9%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $72 | 65 |
| 2929 E Sequoia Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,821 (+14%) | 5mo | $310,000 | $170 | 63 |
| 2938 E Tonto Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (-15%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $220 | 63 |
| 3013 E Beardsley Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,796 (+12%) | 2mo | $172,500 | $96 | 62 |
| 2801 E Wahalla Ln | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-9%) | 6mo | $327,500 | $225 | 61 |
| 2701 E Utopia Rd #208 | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-10%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $59 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.66×
- Total profit
- $55,704
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 45.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.12×
- Total profit
- $138,159
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85050
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,594 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$545
- Net cashflow
- $1,220
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19246 N 31st St Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,375 | $1.73 | 8d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 3133 E Kristal Way Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1602 | $2,600 | $1.62 | 2d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3002 E Jeanette Ct Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $2,700 | $1.54 | 18d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3122 E Topeka Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $2,100 | $1.65 | 22d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3220 E Kerry Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,299 | $1.68 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3220 E Kerry Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $2,299 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 20223 N 30th St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,300 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3056 E Siesta Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1476 | $2,375 | $1.61 | 13d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 19460 N 27th Pl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1598 | $3,300 | $2.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3039 E Hononegh Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1520 | $2,075 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2934 E Blackhawk Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $2,280 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2636 E Tonto Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,800 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3321 E Blackhawk Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,495 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3214 E Siesta Ln Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $2,200 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3415 E Menadota Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1814 | $2,550 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3301 E Wescott Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1101 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 18626 N 29th Pl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,995 | $1.87 | 8d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 19654 N 36th St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $2,600 | $1.59 | 18d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 19635 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $1,933 | $1.93 | 2d | 22 | 0.69mi |
| 2500 E Marco Polo Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $2,390 | $2.60 | 2d | 16 | 0.71mi |
| 18617 N 35th St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1425 | $2,400 | $1.68 | 11d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2336 E Utopia Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1327 | $2,395 | $1.80 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2335 E Utopia Rd Unit 16 Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1426 | $2,550 | $1.79 | 18d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3708 E Kerry Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1819 | $3,100 | $1.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 20050 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 909 | $1,770 | $1.95 | 1d | 10 | 0.89mi |
| 3745 E Kerry Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1818 | $2,250 | $1.24 | 18d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3771 E Kristal Way Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1821 | $2,995 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2755 E Michigan Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,700 | $2.05 | 17d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2239 E Morrow Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1545 | $2,199 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2220 E Beardsley Rd Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 855 | $1,964 | $2.30 | 3d | 62 | 1.04mi |
| 18660 N Cave Creek Rd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $1,955 | $2.03 | 2d | 11 | 1.05mi |
| 3706 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,550 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3706 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,550 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3626 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,500 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 20729 N 37th Way Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $3,000 | $1.80 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 20053 N 21st Pl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1754 | $3,300 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2554 E Villa Rita Dr Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $2,750 | $2.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2719 E Charleston Ave Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1670 | $1,891 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 18611 N 22nd St #72 Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1851 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 18611 N 22nd St Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1851 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $119,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $129,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $134,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$139,900 Active 662-char remark
Show marketing remark (662 chars)
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort and thoughtful upgrades throughout. Enjoy natural light from skylights in the kitchen and primary bathroom, creating a bright and inviting atmosphere. The kitchen was beautifully remodeled in 2023, complemented by newer flooring installed in 2018. A newer water heater adds peace of mind. Designed with accessibility in mind, the home features a convenient ramp for easy entry. Relax on the welcoming front porch or take advantage of the insulated Tuff Shed--complete with lighting and A/C--perfect for storage, a workshop, or hobby space. All ages community. You must get pre-approved by the community.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,490
- − Management
- −$2,490
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $13,542
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,250
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,395/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers comfort and thoughtful upgrades throughout. The kitchen and bathrooms have been recently updated, and the home is in good condition with a good curb appeal. Minor updates to the exterior and interior can further enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value.
- Both Replace curtains — Fresh curtains can improve aesthetics and natural light in the living spaces.
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Modernize the living spaces and improve air circulation.
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters.
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Improves safety and curb appeal, especially at night.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Replace curtains — Fresh curtains can improve aesthetics and natural light in the living spaces. ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans — Modernize the living spaces and improve air circulation. ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Enhances convenience and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Add outdoor lighting — Improves safety and curb appeal, especially at night. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
- NCES district ID
- 0405930
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,106
- Composite
- 37.89/100
- National rank
- #4316
- State rank
- #56 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,118
- Household income
- $139,836
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.38%
- Current HPI
- 308.7483
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $139,900 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…