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648 Richie Dr
C- Composite 50.58
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • Schools +5.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,900

648 Richie Dr · Brunswick, OH 44212
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 988 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1956 0.50 ac lot $202/sqft · 12% below area Est $228k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bank owned. As-is sale. All information approximate.

Key facts

  • New hot water tank
  • Spacious lot
  • New roof

Tags

NEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW ROOFNEW HOT WATER TANKSPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Built per public records
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Has home warranty
  • Exterior features: Half-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($786/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (20.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $159k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.9% in Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#135 in OH, #1,940 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D, commute F.
  • Brunswick City (suburban): math 62% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #172 of 656 in OH (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 471 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,104 (20.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.69%
Cash-on-cash
1.40%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$228,382
List price
$199,900
Delta
-12.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
648 Richie Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 988 (0%) 0mo $210,000 $213 100
699 Hadcock Rd 0.23mi 3/1.0 988 (0%) 0mo $197,000 $199 89
3828 Grafton Rd 0.29mi 3/1.0 988 (0%) 10mo $170,750 $173 78
3796 Sanford Dr 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,053 (+7%) 3mo $230,000 $218 77
615 West Dr 0.45mi 3/1.0 988 (0%) 6mo $245,000 $248 74
731 East Dr 0.41mi 3/1.0 988 (0%) 9mo $240,000 $243 74
654 Hudak Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,064 (+8%) 1mo $340,000 $320 69
3580 Francis Blvd 0.26mi 3/1.0 864 (-13%) 3mo $283,000 $328 65
596 Hadcock Rd 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,118 (+13%) 9mo $263,596 $236 58
3795 Bramblewood Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,120 (+13%) 3mo $218,000 $195 40
3802 Bramblewood Dr 0.72mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,106 (+12%) 1mo $300,000 $271 39
393 Delaware Dr 0.69mi 3/1.5 1,104 (+12%) 8mo $270,000 $245 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-28,315
Equity at exit
$29,806
10-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-19,663
Equity at exit
$17,284

Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44212

Active inventory
175
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,591 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,048
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $718/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$334
Net cashflow
$65

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,508
Max offer price $199,900
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,975
Closing costs
$5,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
649 Maplewood Ave Brunswick, OH 3.0 1.0 888 $1,650 $1.86 43d 1 0.93mi
1300 Cross Creek Dr Brunswick, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 965 $1,575 $1.63 1d 1 1.22mi
1299 Old Eagle Dr Brunswick, OH 2.0 1.0 750 $995 $1.33 7d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    historical Contingent 644-char remark
  2. 2026-05-11
    price $199,900 644-char remark
  3. 2026-04-30
    listed $209,900 Active 644-char remark
  4. 2009-07-29
    soldstatus $29,000 52-char remark
    Show marketing remark (52 chars)

    Bank owned. As-is sale. All information approximate.

  5. 2009-07-23
    historical 52-char remark
    Show marketing remark (52 chars)

    Bank owned. As-is sale. All information approximate.

  6. 2009-03-18
    listed $29,900 52-char remark
    Show marketing remark (52 chars)

    Bank owned. As-is sale. All information approximate.

  7. 2008-05-27
    historical
  8. 2007-11-27
    listed $86,900
  9. 2007-08-18
    historical
  10. 2007-03-18
    listed $99,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$718 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,918 · $160/mo
Expected delta
+$1,200/yr (+$100/mo · 167.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,092
− Mortgage interest
−$11,198
− Property taxes
−$718
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,527
− Management
−$1,527
− Depreciation
−$5,815
Taxable loss
−$2,693
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$646
After-tax cash flow
$1,432/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brunswick City
NCES district ID
3904366
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$65,415
Composite
57.91/100
National rank
#1043
State rank
#172 of 656 in OH

Livability — Brunswick

Score
80/100
State rank
#135
US rank
#1940

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Brunswick, OH
County
Medina County · 145,517 people
City population
45,889
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
Population (ZIP)
45,889
Household income
$91,441
Rent vs Own
23.2% rent · 76.8% own
Severe rent burden
983.0

Population outlook (Medina County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
185,249 people
By 2030
188,174 · +1.6%
By 2040
190,350 · +2.8%
By 2050
187,283 · +1.1%
By 2075
177,108 · -4.4%
By 2100
151,304 · -18.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Medina

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.8) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.0pp · 2024: -24.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.8 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+13.1 2008: R+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -213.80%
Current HPI
249.3306
Rent YoY
Metro
Cleveland-Elyria, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+110.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $210,000 MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-27 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-14 Contingent MLSNOW
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $199,900 MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $209,900 MLSNOW
  • 2009-07-29 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MLSNOW
  • 2009-07-23 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2009-03-18 Listed $29,900 MLSNOW
  • 2008-05-27 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2007-11-27 Listed $86,900 MLSNOW
  • 2007-08-18 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2007-03-18 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW

Property tax history

-7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $718 · -56.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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