648 Richie Dr · Brunswick, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bank owned. As-is sale. All information approximate.
Key facts
- New hot water tank
- Spacious lot
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Built per public records
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Has home warranty
- Exterior features: Half-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition; 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $65 ($786/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $159k (20.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $159k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.9% in Brunswick — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#135 in OH, #1,940 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D+, health & safety D, commute F.
- Brunswick City (suburban): math 62% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #172 of 656 in OH (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 471 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.40%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $228,382
- List price
- $199,900
- Delta
- -12.47%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 648 Richie Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (0%) | 0mo | $210,000 | $213 | 100 |
| 699 Hadcock Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (0%) | 0mo | $197,000 | $199 | 89 |
| 3828 Grafton Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (0%) | 10mo | $170,750 | $173 | 78 |
| 3796 Sanford Dr | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+7%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $218 | 77 |
| 615 West Dr | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (0%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $248 | 74 |
| 731 East Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (0%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $243 | 74 |
| 654 Hudak Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (+8%) | 1mo | $340,000 | $320 | 69 |
| 3580 Francis Blvd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-13%) | 3mo | $283,000 | $328 | 65 |
| 596 Hadcock Rd | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (+13%) | 9mo | $263,596 | $236 | 58 |
| 3795 Bramblewood Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+13%) | 3mo | $218,000 | $195 | 40 |
| 3802 Bramblewood Dr | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,106 (+12%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $271 | 39 |
| 393 Delaware Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,104 (+12%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $245 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-28,315
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-19,663
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44212
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,591 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $718/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$334
- Net cashflow
- $65
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 649 Maplewood Ave Brunswick, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,650 | $1.86 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1300 Cross Creek Dr Brunswick, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 965 | $1,575 | $1.63 | 1d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1299 Old Eagle Dr Brunswick, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 7d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-14historical Contingent 644-char remark
-
2026-05-11price $199,900 644-char remark
-
2026-04-30$209,900 Active 644-char remark
-
2009-07-29soldstatus $29,000 52-char remark
Show marketing remark (52 chars)
Bank owned. As-is sale. All information approximate.
-
2009-07-23historical 52-char remark
Show marketing remark (52 chars)
Bank owned. As-is sale. All information approximate.
-
2009-03-18$29,900 52-char remark
Show marketing remark (52 chars)
Bank owned. As-is sale. All information approximate.
-
2008-05-27historical
-
2007-11-27$86,900
-
2007-08-18historical
-
2007-03-18$99,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $718 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,918 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,200/yr (+$100/mo · 167.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,092
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$718
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,527
- − Management
- −$1,527
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$2,693
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$646
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brunswick City
- NCES district ID
- 3904366
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 71% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,415
- Composite
- 57.91/100
- National rank
- #1043
- State rank
- #172 of 656 in OH
Livability — Brunswick
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #135
- US rank
- #1940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brunswick, OH
- County
- Medina County · 145,517 people
- City population
- 45,889
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,889
- Household income
- $91,441
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 983.0
Population outlook (Medina County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 185,249 people
- By 2030
- 188,174 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 190,350 · +2.8%
- By 2050
- 187,283 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 177,108 · -4.4%
- By 2100
- 151,304 · -18.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Lithuanian 2% Subsaharan African 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Medina
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.8) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.0pp · 2024: -24.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.8 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+13.1 2008: R+8.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -213.80%
- Current HPI
- 249.3306
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+110.2% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Sold (MLS) $210,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-05-27 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $199,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-04-30 Listed $209,900 MLSNOW
- 2009-07-29 Sold (MLS) $29,000 MLSNOW
- 2009-07-23 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2009-03-18 Listed $29,900 MLSNOW
- 2008-05-27 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-11-27 Listed $86,900 MLSNOW
- 2007-08-18 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2007-03-18 Listed $99,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
-7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $718 · -56.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…