541 Wax Myrtle Way · Magnolia, TX 77447

$285,990

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,796 sqft · SingleFamily · 161 Days on market

Built 2026 Excellent condition $159/sqft · 13% below area Est $328k · 13% under ↓ 5% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +13.3/15.0
• Cash flow +10.3/30.0
• Condition / age +4.8/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• DSCR +3.0/10.0
• Schools +2.9/10.0
• Rent growth +2.1/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

OUTSTANDING NEW D. R. HORTON 1 STORY 4 BEDROOM IN MAPLE WOODS! Popular Split Plan Design! Open Concept Interior Layout with Large Dining Area Open to Supersized Family Room & Delightful Island Kitchen! Stunning 42” Polar White Shaker Cabinetry, White Subway Tile Backsplash, Spacious Island, & Large Pantry! Privately Located Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Huge Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Secondary Bedrooms! Oversized Utility Room! Smart Home System, Full Sprinklers, Front & Back Sod, Full Front Landscaping, Covered Back Patio, Tankless Water Heater, LED Lighting, PLUS MORE! Zoned to WISD! Estimated Completion - February 2026.

Key facts

• Open concept living
• Spacious pantry
• L-shaped kitchen

Tags

• PRIVATE STUDY
• OPEN CONCEPT LIVING
• L-SHAPED KITCHEN
• SPACIOUS PANTRY
• OVERSIZED ISLAND
• STAINLESS-STEEL APPLIANCES

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $286k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-156 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (7.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (19.4% below list).
• Recommended offer: $230k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Magnolia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#222 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Waller ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #532 of 826 in TX (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Evelyn Turlington El (math 46% / reading 45%, grade D-, #1,112 of 4,322 statewide, top 26%, 1,084 students, 69% FRL); Schultz J H (math 31% / reading 37%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 1,120 students, 65% FRL); Waller H S (math 25% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 2,639 students, 62% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 1791 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 483 units permitted in Waller County in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Waller County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $230,463 (19.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.64%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.33%
• DSCR: 0.90
• GRM: 10.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $328,223
• List price: $285,990
• Delta: -9.82%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 14 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
517 Wax Myrtle Way	0.06mi	4/3.0	2,041 (+14%)	0mo	$314,990	$154	70
553 Wax Myrtle Way	0.06mi	4/3.0	2,041 (+14%)	2mo	$314,990	$154	69
237 Elm Spring Dr	0.00mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,539 (-14%)	3mo	$257,990	$168	69
105 Rising Cedar Ln	0.12mi	4/2.5	2,042 (+14%)	4mo	$303,990	$149	66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -23.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.21×
• Total profit: $-62,982
• Equity at exit: $42,642

10-year hold

• IRR: -29.6%
• Equity multiple: -0.17×
• Total profit: $-93,577
• Equity at exit: $24,727

Cash invested: $80,077 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77447

• Home prices YoY: -31.1%
• Rents YoY: -1.6%
• Active inventory: 1791
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,305 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,500
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$357 /mo · $4,290/yr
• Insurance: −$119
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$484
• Net cashflow: $-156

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,502

Max offer price $263,452

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $42	-5% $-57	+0% $-156	+5% $-255	+10% $-353
Rent	-10% $-338	-5% $-247	+0% $-156	+5% $-65	+10% $26
Rate	-1.0pp $-12	-0.5pp $-83	base $-156	+0.5pp $-230	+1.0pp $-305

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $71,498
• Closing costs: $8,580
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 22 events

1. 2026-06-15
   days on market $285,990 Active 161 DOM
2. 2026-06-13
   remarks 699-char remark
3. 2026-06-13
   pricedays on marketlisting id $285,990 Active 159 DOM
4. 2026-06-09
   days on market $295,990 Active 186 DOM
5. 2026-06-08
   days on market $295,990 Active 185 DOM
6. 2026-06-07
   days on market $295,990 Active 184 DOM
7. 2026-06-04
   days on market $295,990 Active 181 DOM
8. 2026-06-03
   days on market $295,990 Active 180 DOM
9. 2026-06-02
   days on market $295,990 Active 179 DOM
10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $295,990 Active 178 DOM
11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $295,990 Active 177 DOM
12. 2026-04-10
    price $295,990 663-char remark

    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    OUTSTANDING NEW D. R. HORTON 1 STORY 4 BEDROOM IN MAPLE WOODS! Popular Split Plan Design! Open Concept Interior Layout with Large Dining Area Open to Supersized Family Room & Delightful Island Kitchen! Stunning 42” Polar White Shaker Cabinetry, White Subway Tile Backsplash, Spacious Island, & Large Pantry! Privately Located Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Huge Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Secondary Bedrooms! Oversized Utility Room! Smart Home System, Full Sprinklers, Front & Back Sod, Full Front Landscaping, Covered Back Patio, Tankless Water Heater, LED Lighting, PLUS MORE! Zoned to WISD! Estimated Completion - February 2026.

13. 2026-03-02
    price $285,990 1494-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Texas Cali Plan located in Maple Woods. This is a single-story house that includes four bedrooms, two bathrooms, a private study and a three-car garage. This house spans 1,796 square feet. Upon entering the home, you will notice one of the secondary bedrooms and the private study room. The secondary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and one window while the study room has vinyl flooring and a window. A secondary bathroom lies in between the secondary bedroom and private study room. This bathroom has a standing shower and vinyl flooring. Continuing through the house, you will find the dining room, family room, and L-shaped kitchen. This is an open concept living and dining space, making this house perfect for hosting family or friends. This section of the house includes vinyl flooring and three large windows. The kitchen is equipped with white cabinets for storage, a spacious pantry, an oversized island and stainless-steel appliances. Next to the dining room are two secondary bedrooms, which are separated by a secondary bathroom. The two secondary bedrooms each have carpet floors and one large window. The secondary bathroom has vinyl flooring and a standing shower. Next to the family room is the utility room, which has vinyl floors and space for a washer and dryer. This room is directly across from the primary bedroom. The primary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and two large windows that open to the backyard. The primary bedroom leads into

14. 2026-02-24
    price $285,990 663-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Texas Cali Plan located in Maple Woods. This is a single-story house that includes four bedrooms, two bathrooms, a private study and a three-car garage. This house spans 1,796 square feet. Upon entering the home, you will notice one of the secondary bedrooms and the private study room. The secondary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and one window while the study room has vinyl flooring and a window. A secondary bathroom lies in between the secondary bedroom and private study room. This bathroom has a standing shower and vinyl flooring. Continuing through the house, you will find the dining room, family room, and L-shaped kitchen. This is an open concept living and dining space, making this house perfect for hosting family or friends. This section of the house includes vinyl flooring and three large windows. The kitchen is equipped with white cabinets for storage, a spacious pantry, an oversized island and stainless-steel appliances. Next to the dining room are two secondary bedrooms, which are separated by a secondary bathroom. The two secondary bedrooms each have carpet floors and one large window. The secondary bathroom has vinyl flooring and a standing shower. Next to the family room is the utility room, which has vinyl floors and space for a washer and dryer. This room is directly across from the primary bedroom. The primary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and two large windows that open to the backyard. The primary bedroom leads into

15. 2026-02-24
    price $290,990 1494-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Texas Cali Plan located in Maple Woods. This is a single-story house that includes four bedrooms, two bathrooms, a private study and a three-car garage. This house spans 1,796 square feet. Upon entering the home, you will notice one of the secondary bedrooms and the private study room. The secondary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and one window while the study room has vinyl flooring and a window. A secondary bathroom lies in between the secondary bedroom and private study room. This bathroom has a standing shower and vinyl flooring. Continuing through the house, you will find the dining room, family room, and L-shaped kitchen. This is an open concept living and dining space, making this house perfect for hosting family or friends. This section of the house includes vinyl flooring and three large windows. The kitchen is equipped with white cabinets for storage, a spacious pantry, an oversized island and stainless-steel appliances. Next to the dining room are two secondary bedrooms, which are separated by a secondary bathroom. The two secondary bedrooms each have carpet floors and one large window. The secondary bathroom has vinyl flooring and a standing shower. Next to the family room is the utility room, which has vinyl floors and space for a washer and dryer. This room is directly across from the primary bedroom. The primary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and two large windows that open to the backyard. The primary bedroom leads into

16. 2026-02-18
    price $295,990 663-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Texas Cali Plan located in Maple Woods. This is a single-story house that includes four bedrooms, two bathrooms, a private study and a three-car garage. This house spans 1,796 square feet. Upon entering the home, you will notice one of the secondary bedrooms and the private study room. The secondary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and one window while the study room has vinyl flooring and a window. A secondary bathroom lies in between the secondary bedroom and private study room. This bathroom has a standing shower and vinyl flooring. Continuing through the house, you will find the dining room, family room, and L-shaped kitchen. This is an open concept living and dining space, making this house perfect for hosting family or friends. This section of the house includes vinyl flooring and three large windows. The kitchen is equipped with white cabinets for storage, a spacious pantry, an oversized island and stainless-steel appliances. Next to the dining room are two secondary bedrooms, which are separated by a secondary bathroom. The two secondary bedrooms each have carpet floors and one large window. The secondary bathroom has vinyl flooring and a standing shower. Next to the family room is the utility room, which has vinyl floors and space for a washer and dryer. This room is directly across from the primary bedroom. The primary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and two large windows that open to the backyard. The primary bedroom leads into

17. 2026-02-18
    price $295,990 1494-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Texas Cali Plan located in Maple Woods. This is a single-story house that includes four bedrooms, two bathrooms, a private study and a three-car garage. This house spans 1,796 square feet. Upon entering the home, you will notice one of the secondary bedrooms and the private study room. The secondary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and one window while the study room has vinyl flooring and a window. A secondary bathroom lies in between the secondary bedroom and private study room. This bathroom has a standing shower and vinyl flooring. Continuing through the house, you will find the dining room, family room, and L-shaped kitchen. This is an open concept living and dining space, making this house perfect for hosting family or friends. This section of the house includes vinyl flooring and three large windows. The kitchen is equipped with white cabinets for storage, a spacious pantry, an oversized island and stainless-steel appliances. Next to the dining room are two secondary bedrooms, which are separated by a secondary bathroom. The two secondary bedrooms each have carpet floors and one large window. The secondary bathroom has vinyl flooring and a standing shower. Next to the family room is the utility room, which has vinyl floors and space for a washer and dryer. This room is directly across from the primary bedroom. The primary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and two large windows that open to the backyard. The primary bedroom leads into

18. 2026-02-08
    price $310,990 1494-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Texas Cali Plan located in Maple Woods. This is a single-story house that includes four bedrooms, two bathrooms, a private study and a three-car garage. This house spans 1,796 square feet. Upon entering the home, you will notice one of the secondary bedrooms and the private study room. The secondary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and one window while the study room has vinyl flooring and a window. A secondary bathroom lies in between the secondary bedroom and private study room. This bathroom has a standing shower and vinyl flooring. Continuing through the house, you will find the dining room, family room, and L-shaped kitchen. This is an open concept living and dining space, making this house perfect for hosting family or friends. This section of the house includes vinyl flooring and three large windows. The kitchen is equipped with white cabinets for storage, a spacious pantry, an oversized island and stainless-steel appliances. Next to the dining room are two secondary bedrooms, which are separated by a secondary bathroom. The two secondary bedrooms each have carpet floors and one large window. The secondary bathroom has vinyl flooring and a standing shower. Next to the family room is the utility room, which has vinyl floors and space for a washer and dryer. This room is directly across from the primary bedroom. The primary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and two large windows that open to the backyard. The primary bedroom leads into

19. 2026-01-31
    price $308,990 1494-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Texas Cali Plan located in Maple Woods. This is a single-story house that includes four bedrooms, two bathrooms, a private study and a three-car garage. This house spans 1,796 square feet. Upon entering the home, you will notice one of the secondary bedrooms and the private study room. The secondary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and one window while the study room has vinyl flooring and a window. A secondary bathroom lies in between the secondary bedroom and private study room. This bathroom has a standing shower and vinyl flooring. Continuing through the house, you will find the dining room, family room, and L-shaped kitchen. This is an open concept living and dining space, making this house perfect for hosting family or friends. This section of the house includes vinyl flooring and three large windows. The kitchen is equipped with white cabinets for storage, a spacious pantry, an oversized island and stainless-steel appliances. Next to the dining room are two secondary bedrooms, which are separated by a secondary bathroom. The two secondary bedrooms each have carpet floors and one large window. The secondary bathroom has vinyl flooring and a standing shower. Next to the family room is the utility room, which has vinyl floors and space for a washer and dryer. This room is directly across from the primary bedroom. The primary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and two large windows that open to the backyard. The primary bedroom leads into

20. 2026-01-29
    price $325,990 1494-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Texas Cali Plan located in Maple Woods. This is a single-story house that includes four bedrooms, two bathrooms, a private study and a three-car garage. This house spans 1,796 square feet. Upon entering the home, you will notice one of the secondary bedrooms and the private study room. The secondary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and one window while the study room has vinyl flooring and a window. A secondary bathroom lies in between the secondary bedroom and private study room. This bathroom has a standing shower and vinyl flooring. Continuing through the house, you will find the dining room, family room, and L-shaped kitchen. This is an open concept living and dining space, making this house perfect for hosting family or friends. This section of the house includes vinyl flooring and three large windows. The kitchen is equipped with white cabinets for storage, a spacious pantry, an oversized island and stainless-steel appliances. Next to the dining room are two secondary bedrooms, which are separated by a secondary bathroom. The two secondary bedrooms each have carpet floors and one large window. The secondary bathroom has vinyl flooring and a standing shower. Next to the family room is the utility room, which has vinyl floors and space for a washer and dryer. This room is directly across from the primary bedroom. The primary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and two large windows that open to the backyard. The primary bedroom leads into

21. 2026-01-06
    listed $310,990 Active 1494-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1494 chars)

    Welcome to the Texas Cali Plan located in Maple Woods. This is a single-story house that includes four bedrooms, two bathrooms, a private study and a three-car garage. This house spans 1,796 square feet. Upon entering the home, you will notice one of the secondary bedrooms and the private study room. The secondary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and one window while the study room has vinyl flooring and a window. A secondary bathroom lies in between the secondary bedroom and private study room. This bathroom has a standing shower and vinyl flooring. Continuing through the house, you will find the dining room, family room, and L-shaped kitchen. This is an open concept living and dining space, making this house perfect for hosting family or friends. This section of the house includes vinyl flooring and three large windows. The kitchen is equipped with white cabinets for storage, a spacious pantry, an oversized island and stainless-steel appliances. Next to the dining room are two secondary bedrooms, which are separated by a secondary bathroom. The two secondary bedrooms each have carpet floors and one large window. The secondary bathroom has vinyl flooring and a standing shower. Next to the family room is the utility room, which has vinyl floors and space for a washer and dryer. This room is directly across from the primary bedroom. The primary bedroom is complete with carpet flooring and two large windows that open to the backyard. The primary bedroom leads into

22. 2025-12-05
    listed $310,990 Active 663-char remark

    Show marketing remark (663 chars)

    OUTSTANDING NEW D. R. HORTON 1 STORY 4 BEDROOM IN MAPLE WOODS! Popular Split Plan Design! Open Concept Interior Layout with Large Dining Area Open to Supersized Family Room & Delightful Island Kitchen! Stunning 42” Polar White Shaker Cabinetry, White Subway Tile Backsplash, Spacious Island, & Large Pantry! Privately Located Primary Suite Offers Lovely Bath with Huge Walk-In Closet! Generously Sized Secondary Bedrooms! Oversized Utility Room! Smart Home System, Full Sprinklers, Front & Back Sod, Full Front Landscaping, Covered Back Patio, Tankless Water Heater, LED Lighting, PLUS MORE! Zoned to WISD! Estimated Completion - February 2026.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,656
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,020
• − Property taxes: −$4,290
• − Insurance: −$1,430
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,212
• − Management: −$2,212
• − Depreciation: −$8,320
• Taxable loss: −$6,829
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,639
• After-tax cash flow: $-230/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-story home in Maple Woods is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious layout, modern finishes, and is zoned to WISD. Landscaping and smart home system upgrades would further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers
• Both Smart home system upgrade — Improves home automation and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and could attract more buyers ↑
• Both Smart home system upgrade — Improves home automation and energy efficiency ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Waller ISD
• NCES district ID: 4844430
• Math proficiency: 30% ▼ -23.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $58,911
• Composite: 29.12/100
• National rank: #6593
• State rank: #532 of 826 in TX

Livability — Magnolia

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #222
• US rank: #5442

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 32,847
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 25,231
• Household income: $116,925
• Rent vs Own: 14.0% rent · 86.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 265.0

Population outlook (Waller County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 60,772 people
• By 2030: 67,616 · +11.3%
• By 2040: 82,283 · +35.4%
• By 2050: 98,276 · +61.7%
• By 2075: 142,860 · +135.1%
• By 2100: 175,596 · +188.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 44% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 16% Black 9% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 27%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
• Languages at home: 69% English-only · Spanish 28% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Waller

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+25.0) · D 37.0% · R 62.0% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.9pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -25.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+25.0 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+28.6 2012: R+17.6 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -112.73%
• Current HPI: 249.6969
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.58%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-4.8% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-10 Price Changed $295,990 HARMLS
• 2026-03-02 Price Changed $285,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-24 Price Changed $285,990 HARMLS
• 2026-02-24 Price Changed $290,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-18 Price Changed $295,990 HARMLS
• 2026-02-18 Price Changed $295,990 Zillow
• 2026-02-08 Price Changed $310,990 Zillow
• 2026-01-31 Price Changed $308,990 Zillow
• 2026-01-29 Price Changed $325,990 Zillow
• 2026-01-06 Listed $310,990 Zillow
• 2025-12-05 Listed $310,990 HARMLS