1205 W Sullivan St · Olean, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$62,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2 bedroom, 1 nice size bathroom home is located close to schools, shopping and restaurants. Inside you will find a well maintained space with updated kitchen, bath and first floor laundry room. This charming property is perfect for a first time home buyer, savvy buyer, investor, or DIY enthusiast looking to gain equity, This is your chance to own a great home in a nice neighborhood and customize it to your taste!
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Close to restaurants
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $651 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 8.1% in Olean — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Olean City School District (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #511 of 590 in NY (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $429 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $62k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.99%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,174
- List price
- $62,000
- Delta
- -34.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1705 W State St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,156 (+3%) | 2mo | $37,500 | $32 | 70 |
| 124 N 11th St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,196 (+6%) | 12mo | $86,500 | $72 | 65 |
| 302 N 9th St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,224 (+9%) | 14mo | $95,000 | $78 | 59 |
| 110 N 19th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,088 (-3%) | 10mo | $152,000 | $140 | 56 |
| 136 S 12th St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,019 (-9%) | 9mo | $120,000 | $118 | 52 |
| 708 Irving St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,232 (+10%) | 5mo | $25,000 | $20 | 47 |
| 107 S 13th St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,232 (+10%) | 18mo | $124,900 | $101 | 46 |
| 129 S 13th St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 968 (-14%) | 11mo | $68,000 | $70 | 42 |
| 1618 Avenue A | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,210 (+8%) | 7mo | $83,200 | $69 | 38 |
| 309 S 3rd St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,270 (+13%) | 5mo | $10,000 | $8 | 36 |
| 817 N 4th St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,044 (-7%) | 16mo | $59,900 | $57 | 35 |
| 314 Van Campen Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,213 (+8%) | 18mo | $96,000 | $79 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $31,429
- Equity at exit
- $9,244
- IRR
- 48.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.66×
- Total profit
- $80,829
- Equity at exit
- $5,361
Cash invested: $17,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14760
- Home prices YoY
- -7.7%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,364 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$325
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $908/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $651
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $686 | -5% $668 | +0% $651 | +5% $633 | +10% $616 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $543 | -5% $597 | +0% $651 | +5% $705 | +10% $759 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $682 | -0.5pp $667 | base $651 | +0.5pp $635 | +1.0pp $618 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,500
- Closing costs
- $1,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $62,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $62,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $62,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $62,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $62,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $62,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $62,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $62,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $62,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $62,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $62,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $62,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $62,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $62,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $62,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $62,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-05-31remarks 472-char remark
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2026-05-31price $62,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-04-08price $68,000 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 nice size bathroom home is located close to schools, shopping and restaurants. Inside you will find a well maintained space with updated kitchen, bath and first floor laundry room. This charming property is perfect for a first time home buyer, savvy buyer, investor, or DIY enthusiast looking to gain equity, This is your chance to own a great home in a nice neighborhood and customize it to your taste!
-
2026-03-27$72,000 Active 421-char remark
Show marketing remark (421 chars)
This 2 bedroom, 1 nice size bathroom home is located close to schools, shopping and restaurants. Inside you will find a well maintained space with updated kitchen, bath and first floor laundry room. This charming property is perfect for a first time home buyer, savvy buyer, investor, or DIY enthusiast looking to gain equity, This is your chance to own a great home in a nice neighborhood and customize it to your taste!
-
2018-07-12soldstatus $32,000 Closed Sale or Rented 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Great , remodeled 2 bedroom home with nice size yard. Affordable and ready for you to move right in! Call to view today!
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2018-07-11soldstatus $32,000
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2018-05-24status Under Contract- Do Not Show 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Great , remodeled 2 bedroom home with nice size yard. Affordable and ready for you to move right in! Call to view today!
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2018-04-25price $42,000 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Great , remodeled 2 bedroom home with nice size yard. Affordable and ready for you to move right in! Call to view today!
-
2018-03-27price $54,000 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Great , remodeled 2 bedroom home with nice size yard. Affordable and ready for you to move right in! Call to view today!
-
2017-12-04$39,900 Active 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
Great , remodeled 2 bedroom home with nice size yard. Affordable and ready for you to move right in! Call to view today!
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2016-11-15status Pending Sale
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2016-11-15historical
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2016-06-10price $60,000
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2016-04-15historical
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2016-04-08$62,500 Active
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2016-04-04price $55,000
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2016-01-27historical
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2016-01-25$45,000 Active
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2016-01-08price $44,999
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2016-01-08status Active
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2015-12-25historical
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2015-11-11price $49,000
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2015-06-17price $54,000
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2015-05-17$59,000 Active
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2011-06-30soldstatus $7,500
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2006-10-12soldstatus $18,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $908 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $978 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$70/yr (+$6/mo · 7.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,473
- − Property taxes
- −$908
- − Insurance
- −$310
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,309
- − Management
- −$1,309
- − Depreciation
- −$1,804
- Taxable income
- $7,254
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,741
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,070/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olean City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621720
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,365
- Composite
- 34.81/100
- National rank
- #5104
- State rank
- #511 of 590 in NY
Livability — Olean
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #5930
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Olean, NY
- City population
- 17,272
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,272
Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,623 people
- By 2030
- 67,751 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 59,488 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 51,601 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 35,025 · -51.1%
- By 2100
- 21,243 · -70.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.85%
- Current HPI
- 237.327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+277.8% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $68,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $72,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-07-12 Sold (MLS) $32,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
- 2018-05-24 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2018-04-25 Price Changed $42,000 WNYREIS
- 2018-03-27 Price Changed $54,000 WNYREIS
- 2017-12-04 Listed $39,900 WNYREIS
- 2016-11-15 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2016-11-15 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2016-06-10 Price Changed $60,000 WNYREIS
- 2016-04-15 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2016-04-08 Listed $62,500 WNYREIS
- 2016-04-04 Price Changed $55,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-01-27 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2016-01-25 Listed $45,000 UNYREIS
- 2016-01-08 Price Changed $44,999 WNYREIS
- 2016-01-08 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2015-12-25 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2015-11-11 Price Changed $49,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-06-17 Price Changed $54,000 WNYREIS
- 2015-05-17 Listed $59,000 WNYREIS
- 2011-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records
- 2006-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $908 · -38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…