2 Merrill Ave · Beverly, MA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
YEAR ROUND RESIDENCE IS NOT POSSIBLE. Embrace seasonal living in historic Asbury Grove! Relax on the screened front porch with rocking chair. Inside, find a cozy living room with comfy chairs, a kitchen with refrigerator, gas oven/burners, dining set, and hutch. Upstairs, a bedroom with full bed & closet. A small side room features built-in wooden bunk beds, and a bathroom offers a small shower and toilet. A private backyard provides a peaceful retreat. Asbury Grove (National Register, est. 1859) is a vibrant Christian community with chapel, choir, and recreation. Community amenities offered at Asbury Grove are: new playground, swimming pool, tennis court, library, ball field, and a coffee house. Larger community of Hamilton has abundant green space, shops, restaurants, and the commuter rail. Crane Beach is ten minutes away! BUYERS AND AGENTS: Please go to Asbury Grove's website for more information about the community guidelines. Transaction type: Bill of Sale for cottage.
Key facts
- 1,100 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1900
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $836 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.5% vs local median 1.6% in Beverly — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#158 in MA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Hamilton-Wenham (rural): math 56% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #35 of 302 in MA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1,032 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (590 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Essex County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.18%
- DSCR
- 3.90
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $359,939
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -84.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $44,513
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 68.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.01×
- Total profit
- $107,973
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01982
- Home prices YoY
- -26.6%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,795 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $242/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$250
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$377
- Net cashflow
- $836
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $868 | -5% $852 | +0% $836 | +5% $821 | +10% $805 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $695 | -5% $766 | +0% $836 | +5% $907 | +10% $978 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $864 | -0.5pp $850 | base $836 | +0.5pp $822 | +1.0pp $808 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $250 · $3,000/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
Listing history 16 events
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2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-05-14price $55,000 993-char remark
Show marketing remark (993 chars)
YEAR ROUND RESIDENCE IS NOT POSSIBLE. Embrace seasonal living in historic Asbury Grove! Relax on the screened front porch with rocking chair. Inside, find a cozy living room with comfy chairs, a kitchen with refrigerator, gas oven/burners, dining set, and hutch. Upstairs, a bedroom with full bed & closet. A small side room features built-in wooden bunk beds, and a bathroom offers a small shower and toilet. A private backyard provides a peaceful retreat. Asbury Grove (National Register, est. 1859) is a vibrant Christian community with chapel, choir, and recreation. Community amenities offered at Asbury Grove are: new playground, swimming pool, tennis court, library, ball field, and a coffee house. Larger community of Hamilton has abundant green space, shops, restaurants, and the commuter rail. Crane Beach is ten minutes away! BUYERS AND AGENTS: Please go to Asbury Grove's website for more information about the community guidelines. Transaction type: Bill of Sale for cottage.
-
2026-04-02$62,000 New 993-char remark
Show marketing remark (993 chars)
YEAR ROUND RESIDENCE IS NOT POSSIBLE. Embrace seasonal living in historic Asbury Grove! Relax on the screened front porch with rocking chair. Inside, find a cozy living room with comfy chairs, a kitchen with refrigerator, gas oven/burners, dining set, and hutch. Upstairs, a bedroom with full bed & closet. A small side room features built-in wooden bunk beds, and a bathroom offers a small shower and toilet. A private backyard provides a peaceful retreat. Asbury Grove (National Register, est. 1859) is a vibrant Christian community with chapel, choir, and recreation. Community amenities offered at Asbury Grove are: new playground, swimming pool, tennis court, library, ball field, and a coffee house. Larger community of Hamilton has abundant green space, shops, restaurants, and the commuter rail. Crane Beach is ten minutes away! BUYERS AND AGENTS: Please go to Asbury Grove's website for more information about the community guidelines. Transaction type: Bill of Sale for cottage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $242 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $459 · $38/mo
- Expected delta
- +$217/yr (+$18/mo · 89.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,539
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$242
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,723
- − Management
- −$1,723
- − HOA
- −$3,000
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $9,895
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,375
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,663/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamilton-Wenham
- NCES district ID
- 2505670
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $106,684
- Composite
- 61.39/100
- National rank
- #766
- State rank
- #35 of 302 in MA
Livability — Beverly
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #158
- US rank
- #10423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 41,994
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,646
Population outlook (Essex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 840,920 people
- By 2030
- 872,201 · +3.7%
- By 2040
- 927,918 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 970,206 · +15.4%
- By 2075
- 1,077,993 · +28.2%
- By 2100
- 1,103,053 · +31.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Asian 3% Black 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 4% German 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Chinese 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Essex
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.2% · R 38.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- 0.0pp no change · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+29.1 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+16.2 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.10%
- Current HPI
- 270.105
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-11.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $55,000 MLS PIN
- 2026-04-02 Listed $62,000 MLS PIN
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2023): $242 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…