CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1067 Cr 3224
D+ Composite 48.71
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

1067 Cr 3224 · Center, TX 75935
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,680 sqft · Manufactured public records · 42 Days on market
Built 1995 2.00 ac lot ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

3/2, 1995 Palm Harbor DWMH, 1680 sq ft, WBFP, Comp Roof, Attached Carport, Storage Bldg, Dbl Portocover, Nice Level 2 acres, Plenty of room and road frontage for additional home or whatever you need/want, lots of potential for this property!

Key facts

  • Attached carport
  • Road frontage
  • Level 2 acres

Tags

COMP ROOFATTACHED CARPORTSTORAGE BLDGDBL PORTOCOVERLEVEL 2 ACRESROAD FRONTAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached parking
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
  • Construction: Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Wood-burning fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (7.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,271 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Center ISD (town): math 41% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #448 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Shelby County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,249 (7.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.68%
Cash-on-cash
4.97%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-10,182
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
0.8%
Equity multiple
1.06×
Total profit
$1,912
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75935

Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,062 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $661/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $894
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
  15. 2026-02-25
    listed $132,000 Active 241-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$661 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,104 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$1,444/yr (+$120/mo · 218.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,750
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$661
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,020
− Management
−$1,020
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$313
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$75
After-tax cash flow
$1,675/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Center ISD
NCES district ID
4813320
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$35,634
Composite
32.73/100
National rank
#5641
State rank
#448 of 826 in TX

Livability — Center

Score
57/100
State rank
#1271
US rank
#22089

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,651

Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,199 people
By 2030
24,986 · -0.8%
By 2040
24,646 · -2.2%
By 2050
24,144 · -4.2%
By 2075
22,328 · -11.4%
By 2100
18,734 · -25.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 16% Two or more races 5% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 17%

Political lean MEDSL · Shelby

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.5% · R 82.1%
2008→2024 swing
-20.3pp toward R · 2008: -44.3pp · 2024: -64.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.6 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+49.1 2008: R+44.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.76%
Current HPI
132.8279
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $115,000 Deep East Texas MLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $132,000 Deep East Texas MLS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $661 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…