1067 Cr 3224 · Center, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3/2, 1995 Palm Harbor DWMH, 1680 sq ft, WBFP, Comp Roof, Attached Carport, Storage Bldg, Dbl Portocover, Nice Level 2 acres, Plenty of room and road frontage for additional home or whatever you need/want, lots of potential for this property!
Key facts
- Attached carport
- Road frontage
- Level 2 acres
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (7.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $106k (7.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#1,271 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Center ISD (town): math 41% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #448 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 105 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Shelby County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Shelby County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.97%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-10,182
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $1,912
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75935
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,062 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $661/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$223
- Net cashflow
- $133
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $115,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $115,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $115,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-02-25$132,000 Active 241-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $661 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,104 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,444/yr (+$120/mo · 218.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,750
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$661
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,020
- − Management
- −$1,020
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$313
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$75
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Center ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4813320
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,634
- Composite
- 32.73/100
- National rank
- #5641
- State rank
- #448 of 826 in TX
Livability — Center
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #1271
- US rank
- #22089
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,651
Population outlook (Shelby County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,199 people
- By 2030
- 24,986 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 24,646 · -2.2%
- By 2050
- 24,144 · -4.2%
- By 2075
- 22,328 · -11.4%
- By 2100
- 18,734 · -25.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 16% Two or more races 5% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 17%
Political lean MEDSL · Shelby
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.5% · R 82.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.3pp toward R · 2008: -44.3pp · 2024: -64.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.6 2020: R+58.6 2016: R+59.7 2012: R+49.1 2008: R+44.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.76%
- Current HPI
- 132.8279
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-12.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $115,000 Deep East Texas MLS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $132,000 Deep East Texas MLS
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $661 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…