7679 Lindy Ln · Coffee City, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 71.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to comfortable living at Lake Palestine without the waterfront price! This move-in ready 1,456 square foot doublewide sits on two lots totaling approximately 0.3 acres and offers a comfortable layout designed for everyday living. Inside, luxury vinyl flooring runs throughout for low maintenance. The living room is highlighted with natural light and anchored with a cozy fireplace, creating an inviting central gathering space. The kitchen features ample cabinetry for storage and functionality, making meal prep simple and efficient. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an oversized shower, while two additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide flexibility for guests, home office needs, or hobbies. Outside, enjoy a covered porch ideal for relaxing, a shed for extra storage, and the benefits of a Lake Palestine community. Conveniently located with easy access to SH 155, this home offers a straight shot into Tyler. This property is great option for those seeking lake area living with an easy commute to big-city conveniences. Proudly Claim Your Piece of Texas!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Ample cabinetry
- Extra storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.0% in Coffee City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#845 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Brownsboro ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #290 of 826 in TX (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 189 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 71% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 189 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.27%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,424
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- -21.10%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22604 Brierwood Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (-13%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $115 | 60 |
| 22240 Lakewood Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (+8%) | 22mo | $65,000 | $41 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.49×
- Total profit
- $87,146
- Equity at exit
- $112,610
- IRR
- 27.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.90×
- Total profit
- $241,610
- Equity at exit
- $242,848
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75763
- Home prices YoY
- 22.2%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,410 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$101 /mo · $1,208/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$6
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $370 | -5% $335 | +0% $300 | +5% $264 | +10% $229 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $188 | -5% $244 | +0% $300 | +5% $355 | +10% $411 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $362 | -0.5pp $331 | base $300 | +0.5pp $267 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $6 · $72/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $125,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 185 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $125,000 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
Welcome to comfortable living at Lake Palestine without the waterfront price! This move-in ready 1,456 square foot doublewide sits on two lots totaling approximately 0.3 acres and offers a comfortable layout designed for everyday living. Inside, luxury vinyl flooring runs throughout for low maintenance. The living room is highlighted with natural light and anchored with a cozy fireplace, creating an inviting central gathering space. The kitchen features ample cabinetry for storage and functionality, making meal prep simple and efficient. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an oversized shower, while two additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide flexibility for guests, home office needs, or hobbies. Outside, enjoy a covered porch ideal for relaxing, a shed for extra storage, and the benefits of a Lake Palestine community. Conveniently located with easy access to SH 155, this home offers a straight shot into Tyler. This property is great option for those seeking lake area living with an easy commute to big-city conveniences. Proudly Claim Your Piece of Texas!
-
2026-04-01price $125,000 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
Welcome to comfortable living at Lake Palestine without the waterfront price! This move-in ready 1,456 square foot doublewide sits on two lots totaling approximately 0.3 acres and offers a comfortable layout designed for everyday living. Inside, luxury vinyl flooring runs throughout for low maintenance. The living room is highlighted with natural light and anchored with a cozy fireplace, creating an inviting central gathering space. The kitchen features ample cabinetry for storage and functionality, making meal prep simple and efficient. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an oversized shower, while two additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide flexibility for guests, home office needs, or hobbies. Outside, enjoy a covered porch ideal for relaxing, a shed for extra storage, and the benefits of a Lake Palestine community. Conveniently located with easy access to SH 155, this home offers a straight shot into Tyler. This property is great option for those seeking lake area living with an easy commute to big-city conveniences. Proudly Claim Your Piece of Texas!
-
2026-02-26price $130,000 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
Welcome to comfortable living at Lake Palestine without the waterfront price! This move-in ready 1,456 square foot doublewide sits on two lots totaling approximately 0.3 acres and offers a comfortable layout designed for everyday living. Inside, luxury vinyl flooring runs throughout for low maintenance. The living room is highlighted with natural light and anchored with a cozy fireplace, creating an inviting central gathering space. The kitchen features ample cabinetry for storage and functionality, making meal prep simple and efficient. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an oversized shower, while two additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide flexibility for guests, home office needs, or hobbies. Outside, enjoy a covered porch ideal for relaxing, a shed for extra storage, and the benefits of a Lake Palestine community. Conveniently located with easy access to SH 155, this home offers a straight shot into Tyler. This property is great option for those seeking lake area living with an easy commute to big-city conveniences. Proudly Claim Your Piece of Texas!
-
2026-02-26price $130,000 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
Welcome to comfortable living at Lake Palestine without the waterfront price! This move-in ready 1,456 square foot doublewide sits on two lots totaling approximately 0.3 acres and offers a comfortable layout designed for everyday living. Inside, luxury vinyl flooring runs throughout for low maintenance. The living room is highlighted with natural light and anchored with a cozy fireplace, creating an inviting central gathering space. The kitchen features ample cabinetry for storage and functionality, making meal prep simple and efficient. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an oversized shower, while two additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide flexibility for guests, home office needs, or hobbies. Outside, enjoy a covered porch ideal for relaxing, a shed for extra storage, and the benefits of a Lake Palestine community. Conveniently located with easy access to SH 155, this home offers a straight shot into Tyler. This property is great option for those seeking lake area living with an easy commute to big-city conveniences. Proudly Claim Your Piece of Texas!
-
2025-12-12$135,000 Active 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
Welcome to comfortable living at Lake Palestine without the waterfront price! This move-in ready 1,456 square foot doublewide sits on two lots totaling approximately 0.3 acres and offers a comfortable layout designed for everyday living. Inside, luxury vinyl flooring runs throughout for low maintenance. The living room is highlighted with natural light and anchored with a cozy fireplace, creating an inviting central gathering space. The kitchen features ample cabinetry for storage and functionality, making meal prep simple and efficient. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an oversized shower, while two additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide flexibility for guests, home office needs, or hobbies. Outside, enjoy a covered porch ideal for relaxing, a shed for extra storage, and the benefits of a Lake Palestine community. Conveniently located with easy access to SH 155, this home offers a straight shot into Tyler. This property is great option for those seeking lake area living with an easy commute to big-city conveniences. Proudly Claim Your Piece of Texas!
-
2025-12-12$135,000 Active 1094-char remark
Show marketing remark (1094 chars)
Welcome to comfortable living at Lake Palestine without the waterfront price! This move-in ready 1,456 square foot doublewide sits on two lots totaling approximately 0.3 acres and offers a comfortable layout designed for everyday living. Inside, luxury vinyl flooring runs throughout for low maintenance. The living room is highlighted with natural light and anchored with a cozy fireplace, creating an inviting central gathering space. The kitchen features ample cabinetry for storage and functionality, making meal prep simple and efficient. The primary suite offers a private retreat with an oversized shower, while two additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide flexibility for guests, home office needs, or hobbies. Outside, enjoy a covered porch ideal for relaxing, a shed for extra storage, and the benefits of a Lake Palestine community. Conveniently located with easy access to SH 155, this home offers a straight shot into Tyler. This property is great option for those seeking lake area living with an easy commute to big-city conveniences. Proudly Claim Your Piece of Texas!
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2021-10-08soldstatus
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2021-10-01soldstatus
-
2018-06-28soldstatus
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2010-01-25soldstatus
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1999-02-04soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,208 · $101/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,080/yr (+$90/mo · 89.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 71% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,918
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,208
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,353
- − Management
- −$1,353
- − HOA
- −$72
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,668
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$400
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,194/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brownsboro ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811640
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,624
- Composite
- 37.38/100
- National rank
- #4429
- State rank
- #290 of 826 in TX
Livability — Coffee City
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #845
- US rank
- #15290
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,319
Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,471 people
- By 2030
- 80,608 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 80,087 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 78,208 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 72,423 · -10.0%
- By 2100
- 61,012 · -24.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Henderson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 53.53%
- Current HPI
- 295.14
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $125,000 NTREIS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $125,000 GTAR
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $130,000 GTAR
- 2025-12-12 Listed $135,000 GTAR
- 2025-12-12 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
- 2021-10-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-10-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-06-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2010-01-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-02-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,208 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…