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452 Gulf St
D Composite 44.08
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.3/30.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$209,900

452 Gulf St · San Antonio, TX 78202
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,244 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1924 6,098 sqft lot $169/sqft · 28% below area Est $291k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity for investors or first-time buyers. Expanded from a 2 bed, 1 bath to a 3 bed, 2 bath with added space and functionality. Remodeled interior offers a clean, updated look and move-in ready convenience. Affordable price point with strong rental potential or ideal for building equity. Located just 5 minutes from the Frost Bank Center and 10 minutes to Downtown San Antonio with easy access to major roads, shopping, and entertainment.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1924

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: I35 SO. TO E. HOUSTON (SA)
  • Financial info: Down payment resource not available

Exterior

  • Parking: Side entry parking
  • Utilities: City water and sewer
  • Home design: Pre-owned property; Recent rehab
  • Construction: Approximately 102 years old; Stucco and siding exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Double pane windows; Mature trees; Corner lot; Level lot; Street paved with curbs, sidewalks and streetlights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen 9 x 10; Microwave; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom 15 x 13 with full bath; Bedroom 2 11 x 10; Bedroom 3 11 x 12
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bathroom with shower only and double vanity (8 x 8)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Some window coverings remain; 1 living area
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-463 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $128k (39.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $133k (36.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (39.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
  • San Antonio ISD (urban): math 12% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #805 of 826 in TX (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Washington El (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #4,316 of 4,322 statewide, top 100%, 337 students, 98% FRL); Houston H S (math 12% / reading 18%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,632 statewide, top 93%, 856 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 80% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 10953% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,117 (39.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 39% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
3.65%
Cash-on-cash
-9.45%
DSCR
0.58
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$290,715
List price
$209,900
Delta
-27.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1719 Dawson St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,210 (-3%) 4mo $210,000 $174 80
1048 Gibbs 0.32mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,280 (+3%) 1mo $249,000 $195 70
1410 Paso Hondo 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,219 (-2%) 5mo $159,000 $130 63
2031 E Crockett 0.38mi 2/1.0 1,416 (+14%) 1mo $79,900 $56 58
2131 Burnet 0.43mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,312 (+6%) 4mo $210,000 $160 58
910 Potomac 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,390 (+12%) 2mo $130,000 $94 57
1019 Nolan 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,184 (-5%) 2mo $210,000 $177 54
1413 Crockett 0.50mi 1/1.0 (-1) 1,122 (-10%) 4mo $125,000 $111 52
919 Saint James 0.51mi 2/2.0 1,390 (+12%) 2mo $245,000 $176 51
623 Belmont 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,355 (+9%) 0mo $230,000 $170 48
2118 Burnet 0.39mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,088 (-12%) 3mo $130,000 $119 47
411 S Gevers 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,147 (-8%) 2mo $210,000 $183 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$91,917
Equity at exit
$189,095
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.30×
Total profit
$311,390
Equity at exit
$407,790

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78202

Home prices YoY
27.0%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,330 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$325 /mo · $3,902/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$-463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,916
Max offer price $128,117
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-344 -5% $-404 +0% $-463 +5% $-522 +10% $-582
Rent -10% $-568 -5% $-515 +0% $-463 +5% $-410 +10% $-358
Rate -1.0pp $-357 -0.5pp $-410 base $-463 +0.5pp $-517 +1.0pp $-573

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
452 Gulf San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1244 $1,899 $1.53 24d 1 0.02mi
438 Gulf St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 799 $975 $1.22 17d 1 0.04mi
1908 Nolan St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 836 $1,049 $1.25 0d 1 0.11mi
607 Gulf San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1482 $1,395 $0.94 26d 1 0.16mi
1104 N Gevers St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1276 $1,725 $1.35 45d 1 0.23mi
1615 Nolan St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 978 $1,200 $1.23 13d 1 0.23mi
1615 Nolan St Unit A San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1066 $1,400 $1.31 13d 1 0.23mi
639 Canton San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,295 $1.28 45d 1 0.27mi
1111 Gibbs San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1476 $1,595 $1.08 26d 1 0.30mi
1101 Gibbs San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,345 $1.22 26d 1 0.30mi
1101 Gibbs San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,345 $1.22 17d 1 0.30mi
1521 Hays St Unit A San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 1322 $875 $0.66 26d 1 0.32mi
1521 Hays St Unit A San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 1322 $875 $0.66 45d 1 0.32mi
103 Saint John San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 943 $1,245 $1.32 45d 1 0.33mi
1414 Gorman San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,175 $1.31 45d 1 0.33mi
706 Canton San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 994 $1,545 $1.55 26d 1 0.33mi
710 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 708 $1,195 $1.69 45d 1 0.34mi
710 Poinsettia San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 708 $1,195 $1.69 0d 1 0.34mi
1412 Hays St San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,495 $1.20 26d 1 0.35mi
721 Potomac San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 914 $1,100 $1.20 26d 1 0.35mi
1510 Gorman San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 996 $1,300 $1.31 19d 1 0.37mi
2118 Burnet St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1008 $1,650 $1.64 5d 1 0.38mi
742 Gulf St Unit 746 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 744 $975 $1.31 14d 1 0.39mi
1017 N Mittman St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 726 $910 $1.25 45d 1 0.39mi
1223 N Walters St Unit 610 San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 732 $869 $1.19 0d 1 0.39mi
1223 N Walters St Unit 710 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 970 $1,039 $1.07 0d 1 0.39mi
746 Gulf San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 744 $975 $1.31 17d 1 0.40mi
2006 Hays St San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1176 $1,750 $1.49 22d 1 0.40mi
308 Belmont San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 26d 1 0.41mi
155 Canton San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1078 $1,250 $1.16 26d 1 0.41mi
1411 Lamar St San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 700 $1,125 $1.61 45d 1 0.41mi
323 Gabriel San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,375 $1.38 26d 1 0.42mi
323 Gabriel Unit 1 201 San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.5 1000 $1,375 $1.38 45d 1 0.42mi
323 Gabriel San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,950 $1.39 24d 1 0.42mi
323 Gabriel Unit 1 101 San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,950 $1.39 26d 1 0.42mi
622 Potomac St San Antonio, TX 1.0 1.0 700 $975 $1.39 45d 1 0.43mi
620 Potomac San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 24d 1 0.43mi
1323 Lamar St #1 San Antonio, TX 2.0 1.0 900 $999 $1.11 45d 1 0.44mi
103 Saint Charles Unit NA San Antonio, TX 2.0 2.0 995 $1,300 $1.31 45d 1 0.46mi
1435 Gibbs San Antonio, TX 3.0 1.0 975 $1,435 $1.47 26d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    price $209,900 450-char remark
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $214,900 New 450-char remark
  3. 2026-02-17
    soldstatus
  4. 2026-02-04
    historical
  5. 2025-12-31
    listed $198,000 New
  6. 2025-03-30
    historical
  7. 2025-01-03
    listed $190,000 New
  8. 2024-11-10
    historical
  9. 2024-09-19
    price $259,000
  10. 2024-09-12
    price $199,500
  11. 2024-09-11
    status Back on Market
  12. 2024-08-15
    historical
  13. 2024-07-14
    price $190,000
  14. 2024-07-10
    price $195,000
  15. 2024-07-04
    listed $199,999 New
  16. 2024-06-15
    historical
  17. 2024-05-25
    listed $215,000 New
  18. 2024-04-15
    historical
  19. 2024-03-14
    price $249,000
  20. 2024-03-02
    listed $259,000 New
  21. 2023-11-28
    historical
  22. 2023-11-07
    listed $268,990 New
  23. 2022-08-15
    soldstatus
  24. 2022-07-20
    soldstatus
  25. 2001-06-06
    soldstatus
  26. 1999-11-12
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,902 · $325/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,902 · $325/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,955
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$3,902
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,276
− Management
−$1,276
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$9,413
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,259
After-tax cash flow
$-3,296/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Antonio ISD
NCES district ID
4838730
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$30,952
Composite
13.57/100
National rank
#9512
State rank
#805 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Antonio

Score
80/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#1616

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Antonio, TX
County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
1,806,925
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
10,224
Household income
$47,478
Rent vs Own
44.2% rent · 55.8% own
Severe rent burden
543.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 66% Two or more races 28% White 17% Black 16% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 57% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 41%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 53.82%
Current HPI
253.3196
Rent YoY
▲ 8.20%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.3% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed for Rent $1,899 SABOR
  • 2026-05-26 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $209,900 LERA
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $214,900 LERA
  • 2026-02-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-02-04 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2025-12-31 Listed $198,000 LERA
  • 2025-03-30 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2025-01-03 Listed $190,000 LERA
  • 2024-11-10 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2024-09-19 Price Changed $259,000 LERA
  • 2024-09-12 Price Changed $199,500 LERA
  • 2024-09-11 Relisted LERA
  • 2024-08-15 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2024-07-14 Price Changed $190,000 LERA
  • 2024-07-10 Price Changed $195,000 LERA
  • 2024-07-04 Listed $199,999 LERA
  • 2024-06-15 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2024-05-25 Listed $215,000 LERA
  • 2024-04-15 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2024-03-14 Price Changed $249,000 LERA
  • 2024-03-02 Listed $259,000 LERA
  • 2023-11-28 Listing Removed LERA
  • 2023-11-07 Listed $268,990 LERA
  • 2022-08-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-07-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-06-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1999-11-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+11.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,902 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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