🏗️ New Construction
33 Plantation Dr · Youngsville, NC
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.2/30.0
- Condition / age +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +1.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$360,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious and versatile new home! The main-level guest bedroom also makes the perfect home office! Stunning luxury vinyl plank flooring flows throughout the entire first floor. A marvelous kitchen features a six-foot island, custom cabinetry, granite countertops, tile backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. The open-concept great room is filled with abundant natural light and includes modern disc lighting. Retreat to the spacious primary suite showcasing a tray ceiling with crown molding! The luxurious primary bath offers a five-foot tile shower, tile flooring, double vanity with quartz countertop, and an enormous walk-in closet. Large secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, while the open bonus area lives like a second great room. Enjoy outdoor living on the 12 x 10 covered porch, overlooking community open space!
Key facts
- Custom cabinetry
- 6-foot island
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $360k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (14.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $277k (23.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $277k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#184 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Franklin County Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #128 of 178 in NC (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Long Mill Elementary (math 40% / reading 34%, grade F, #771 of 1,410 statewide, top 57%, 403 students, 58% FRL); Cedar Creek Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #292 of 475 statewide, top 62%, 515 students, 54% FRL); Franklinton High (math 57% / reading 60%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 1,182 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 674 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($328k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.60% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.70%
- DSCR
- 0.57
- GRM
- 13.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $460,438
- List price
- $360,000
- Delta
- -21.81%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 Mistflower Dr | 0.16mi | 4/2.5 | 2,310 (+0%) | 0mo | $361,714 | $157 | 90 |
| 13 Lotus Bend Way | 0.06mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,329 (+1%) | 4mo | $389,000 | $167 | 86 |
| 44 Heartleaf Sq | 0.16mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,252 (-2%) | 0mo | $392,000 | $174 | 82 |
| 73 Sugarmaple Way | 0.24mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,304 (+0%) | 2mo | $460,000 | $200 | 80 |
| 72 Moon Flower Walk | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,550 (+11%) | 2mo | $455,000 | $178 | 66 |
| 505 Purple Aster St | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,100 (-9%) | 2mo | $422,600 | $201 | 66 |
| 108 Sweetbay Park | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,261 (-2%) | 1mo | $445,000 | $197 | 66 |
| 112 Sweetbay Park | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,155 (-6%) | 2mo | $415,000 | $193 | 60 |
| 60 Scarlet Bell Dr | 0.28mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,616 (+14%) | 1mo | $425,000 | $162 | 58 |
| 100 Scarlet Bell Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,988 (-14%) | 4mo | $373,000 | $188 | 54 |
| 241 Plantation Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.5 | 2,538 (+10%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $148 | 51 |
| 156 Scarlet Bell Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,965 (-15%) | 1mo | $357,000 | $182 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.89% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.01×
- Total profit
- $-129,665
- Equity at exit
- $68,653
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.15×
- Total profit
- $-147,999
- Equity at exit
- $39,810
Cash invested: $128,922 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 44 active · 49 under contract
- Months of supply
- 10.2 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $380,010 ($158/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 89 d
- This list price
- 27% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +26.7% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 27596
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Rents YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 674
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,771 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,415
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$576 /mo · $6,907/yr
- Insurance
- −$192
- HOA
- −$50
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$582
- Net cashflow
- $-1,043
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-724 | -5% $-883 | +0% $-1,043 | +5% $-1,202 | +10% $-1,361 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,261 | -5% $-1,152 | +0% $-1,043 | +5% $-933 | +10% $-824 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-811 | -0.5pp $-925 | base $-1,043 | +0.5pp $-1,162 | +1.0pp $-1,283 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $115,109
- Closing costs
- $13,813
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 335 Clubhouse Dr Youngsville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2550 | $2,455 | $0.96 | 1d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 370 Clubhouse Dr Youngsville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2223 | $2,300 | $1.03 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Association also provides managementCommunity features include sidewalks and street lights
- Financial info
- No investor or income/expense data provided
- HOA & community
- Association: Winston Ridge Owners AssociationQuarterly association feeAssociation fee includes storm water maintenanceCommunity amenities: clubhouse, pool
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garageGarage with door opener and faces frontGarage spaces: 2Additional open parking spaces: 2Concrete drivewayTotal parking for 4 vehicles
- Security
- No specific security features listed
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedSewer connectedWater connectedCable available
- Home design
- Site-built houseTwo levelsNew constructionBuilt by Mungo Homes of NC (Meriwether-A model)
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingBatts and blown-in insulationLow-VOC paint/sealant/varnishShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt recently (new construction)
- Exterior features
- Front porchRear porchRain guttersCommunity/association poolCommunity clubhouseSidewalksStreet lightsPublic maintained asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherGas rangeMicrowaveSelf-cleaning ovenRefrigeratorPlumbed for ice makerStainless steel appliancesKitchen islandBreakfast barPantryGranite and quartz countersEat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms total1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring
- CarpetLuxury vinylTile
- Bathrooms
- 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (forced air, natural gas)Central air conditioningTankless water heaterGas water heater
- Interior features
- Breakfast barCeiling fansCrown moldingDouble vanityEat-in kitchenGranite countersKitchen islandOpen floorplanPantryQuartz countersSeparate showerSmooth ceilingsTray ceilingsWalk-in closetsWalk-in showerWater closetWired for dataDouble-pane, insulated, low-emissivity windows with screens
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry roomWasher hookupElectric dryer hookupUpper-level laundry
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $360,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $360,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $360,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $360,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-09-17days on market $360,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-09-16days on market $360,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-09-14days on market $360,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-09-13days on market $360,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-09-12days on market $360,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-11pricedays on market $360,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-09-05days on market $379,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-09-04days on market $379,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $379,000 Active 97 DOM
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2026-09-02days on market $379,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-08-29days on market $379,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-08-28days on market $379,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-08-27pricedays on market $379,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-08-25days on market $380,178 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $380,178 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $380,178 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $380,178 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-21days on market $380,178 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-20days on market $380,178 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-19days on market $380,178 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-18days on market $380,178 Active 81 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $380,178 Active 80 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $380,178 Active 79 DOM
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2026-08-15days on market $380,178 Active 78 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $380,178 Active 76 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $380,178 Active 75 DOM
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2026-08-12price $380,178 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $379,817 Active 74 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $379,817 Active 73 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $379,817 Active 72 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $379,817 Active 71 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $379,817 Active 70 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $379,817 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $379,817 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $379,817 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $379,817 Active 66 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $379,817 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $379,817 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $379,817 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $379,817 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $379,817 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $379,817 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $379,817 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $379,817 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $379,817 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $379,817 Active 52 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,258
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,792
- − Property taxes
- −$6,907
- − Insurance
- −$2,302
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,661
- − Management
- −$2,661
- − HOA
- −$600
- − Depreciation
- −$13,395
- Taxable loss
- −$21,059
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,054
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,456/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
This move-in-ready home features high-quality finishes and appliances, with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the curb appeal and interior updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures improve aesthetics and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices increase convenience and property value ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Franklin County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701530
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,630
- Composite
- 30.25/100
- National rank
- #6286
- State rank
- #128 of 178 in NC
Livability — Youngsville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #9264
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Franklin County · 69,848 people
- City population
- 22,232
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,232
- Household income
- $95,940
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 18% of renters
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,848 people
- By 2030
- 72,480 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 76,682 · +9.8%
- By 2050
- 78,993 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 82,888 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 80,784 · +15.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.6) · D 42.7% · R 56.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.6 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+4.2 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.06%
- Current HPI
- 271.1411
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.89%
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $379,817 TMLS
- 2026-05-27 Listed $379,817 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…