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33 Plantation Dr 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 30.68
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.2/30.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$360,000

33 Plantation Dr · Youngsville, NC 27596
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 117 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition 9,016 sqft lot Garage $50/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious and versatile new home! The main-level guest bedroom also makes the perfect home office! Stunning luxury vinyl plank flooring flows throughout the entire first floor. A marvelous kitchen features a six-foot island, custom cabinetry, granite countertops, tile backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. The open-concept great room is filled with abundant natural light and includes modern disc lighting. Retreat to the spacious primary suite showcasing a tray ceiling with crown molding! The luxurious primary bath offers a five-foot tile shower, tile flooring, double vanity with quartz countertop, and an enormous walk-in closet. Large secondary bedrooms include walk-in closets, while the open bonus area lives like a second great room. Enjoy outdoor living on the 12 x 10 covered porch, overlooking community open space!

Key facts

  • Custom cabinetry
  • 6-foot island
  • Large kitchen

Tags

GUEST BEDROOMHOME OFFICELUXURY VINYL PLANK FLOORINGLARGE KITCHEN6-FOOT ISLANDCUSTOM CABINETRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $360,000 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $460,438.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $360k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $310k (14.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $277k (23.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $277k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#184 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Franklin County Schools (rural): math 34% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #128 of 178 in NC (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Long Mill Elementary (math 40% / reading 34%, grade F, #771 of 1,410 statewide, top 57%, 403 students, 58% FRL); Cedar Creek Middle (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #292 of 475 statewide, top 62%, 515 students, 54% FRL); Franklinton High (math 57% / reading 60%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 1,182 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 674 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($96k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($328k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $277,147 (23.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.60%
Cap rate
3.58%
Cash-on-cash
-9.70%
DSCR
0.57
GRM
13.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$460,438
List price
$360,000
Delta
-21.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
68 Mistflower Dr 0.16mi 4/2.5 2,310 (+0%) 0mo $361,714 $157 90
13 Lotus Bend Way 0.06mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,329 (+1%) 4mo $389,000 $167 86
44 Heartleaf Sq 0.16mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,252 (-2%) 0mo $392,000 $174 82
73 Sugarmaple Way 0.24mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,304 (+0%) 2mo $460,000 $200 80
72 Moon Flower Walk 0.15mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,550 (+11%) 2mo $455,000 $178 66
505 Purple Aster St 0.23mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,100 (-9%) 2mo $422,600 $201 66
108 Sweetbay Park 0.50mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,261 (-2%) 1mo $445,000 $197 66
112 Sweetbay Park 0.51mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,155 (-6%) 2mo $415,000 $193 60
60 Scarlet Bell Dr 0.28mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,616 (+14%) 1mo $425,000 $162 58
100 Scarlet Bell Dr 0.29mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,988 (-14%) 4mo $373,000 $188 54
241 Plantation Dr 0.60mi 4/2.5 2,538 (+10%) 2mo $375,000 $148 51
156 Scarlet Bell Dr 0.40mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,965 (-15%) 1mo $357,000 $182 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.89% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.4%
Equity multiple
-0.01×
Total profit
$-129,665
Equity at exit
$68,653
10-year hold
IRR
-18.3%
Equity multiple
-0.15×
Total profit
$-147,999
Equity at exit
$39,810

Cash invested: $128,922 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
44 active · 49 under contract
Months of supply
10.2 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$380,010 ($158/sqft)
Median days on market
89 d
This list price
27% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+26.7% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 27596

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
674
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,771 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,415
Tax est. 1.5%
$576 /mo · $6,907/yr
Insurance
$192
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$582
Net cashflow
$-1,043

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,091
Max offer price $309,583
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-724 -5% $-883 +0% $-1,043 +5% $-1,202 +10% $-1,361
Rent -10% $-1,261 -5% $-1,152 +0% $-1,043 +5% $-933 +10% $-824
Rate -1.0pp $-811 -0.5pp $-925 base $-1,043 +0.5pp $-1,162 +1.0pp $-1,283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$115,109
Closing costs
$13,813
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
335 Clubhouse Dr Youngsville, NC 3.0 2.5 2550 $2,455 $0.96 1d 1 0.89mi
370 Clubhouse Dr Youngsville, NC 3.0 2.5 2223 $2,300 $1.03 1d 1 0.92mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Association also provides managementCommunity features include sidewalks and street lights
Financial info
No investor or income/expense data provided
HOA & community
Association: Winston Ridge Owners AssociationQuarterly association feeAssociation fee includes storm water maintenanceCommunity amenities: clubhouse, pool

Exterior

Parking
Attached garageGarage with door opener and faces frontGarage spaces: 2Additional open parking spaces: 2Concrete drivewayTotal parking for 4 vehicles
Security
No specific security features listed
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerElectricity connectedSewer connectedWater connectedCable available
Home design
Site-built houseTwo levelsNew constructionBuilt by Mungo Homes of NC (Meriwether-A model)
Construction
Vinyl sidingBatts and blown-in insulationLow-VOC paint/sealant/varnishShingle roofSlab foundationBuilt recently (new construction)
Exterior features
Front porchRear porchRain guttersCommunity/association poolCommunity clubhouseSidewalksStreet lightsPublic maintained asphalt road access

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherGas rangeMicrowaveSelf-cleaning ovenRefrigeratorPlumbed for ice makerStainless steel appliancesKitchen islandBreakfast barPantryGranite and quartz countersEat-in kitchen
Bedrooms
4 bedrooms total1 bedroom on the main level
Flooring
CarpetLuxury vinylTile
Bathrooms
3 full bathrooms
Heating & cooling
Central heating (forced air, natural gas)Central air conditioningTankless water heaterGas water heater
Interior features
Breakfast barCeiling fansCrown moldingDouble vanityEat-in kitchenGranite countersKitchen islandOpen floorplanPantryQuartz countersSeparate showerSmooth ceilingsTray ceilingsWalk-in closetsWalk-in showerWater closetWired for dataDouble-pane, insulated, low-emissivity windows with screens
Laundry & utility
Laundry roomWasher hookupElectric dryer hookupUpper-level laundry

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $360,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-09-20
    days on market $360,000 Active 114 DOM
  3. 2026-09-19
    days on market $360,000 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-09-17
    days on market $360,000 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-09-17
    days on market $360,000 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-09-16
    days on market $360,000 Active 109 DOM
  7. 2026-09-14
    days on market $360,000 Active 108 DOM
  8. 2026-09-13
    days on market $360,000 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-09-12
    days on market $360,000 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-09-11
    pricedays on market $360,000 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-09-05
    days on market $379,000 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-09-04
    days on market $379,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-09-03
    days on market $379,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-09-02
    days on market $379,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-08-29
    days on market $379,000 Active 92 DOM
  16. 2026-08-28
    days on market $379,000 Active 91 DOM
  17. 2026-08-27
    pricedays on market $379,000 Active 90 DOM
  18. 2026-08-25
    days on market $380,178 Active 88 DOM
  19. 2026-08-24
    days on market $380,178 Active 87 DOM
  20. 2026-08-23
    days on market $380,178 Active 86 DOM
  21. 2026-08-22
    days on market $380,178 Active 85 DOM
  22. 2026-08-21
    days on market $380,178 Active 84 DOM
  23. 2026-08-20
    days on market $380,178 Active 83 DOM
  24. 2026-08-19
    days on market $380,178 Active 82 DOM
  25. 2026-08-18
    days on market $380,178 Active 81 DOM
  26. 2026-08-17
    days on market $380,178 Active 80 DOM
  27. 2026-08-16
    days on market $380,178 Active 79 DOM
  28. 2026-08-15
    days on market $380,178 Active 78 DOM
  29. 2026-08-13
    days on market $380,178 Active 76 DOM
  30. 2026-08-12
    days on market $380,178 Active 75 DOM
  31. 2026-08-12
    price $380,178 Active 74 DOM
  32. 2026-08-11
    days on market $379,817 Active 74 DOM
  33. 2026-08-10
    days on market $379,817 Active 73 DOM
  34. 2026-08-09
    days on market $379,817 Active 72 DOM
  35. 2026-08-08
    days on market $379,817 Active 71 DOM
  36. 2026-08-07
    days on market $379,817 Active 70 DOM
  37. 2026-08-06
    days on market $379,817 Active 69 DOM
  38. 2026-08-05
    days on market $379,817 Active 68 DOM
  39. 2026-08-04
    days on market $379,817 Active 67 DOM
  40. 2026-08-03
    days on market $379,817 Active 66 DOM
  41. 2026-07-31
    days on market $379,817 Active 63 DOM
  42. 2026-07-30
    days on market $379,817 Active 62 DOM
  43. 2026-07-29
    days on market $379,817 Active 61 DOM
  44. 2026-07-27
    days on market $379,817 Active 59 DOM
  45. 2026-07-25
    days on market $379,817 Active 57 DOM
  46. 2026-07-24
    days on market $379,817 Active 56 DOM
  47. 2026-07-23
    days on market $379,817 Active 55 DOM
  48. 2026-07-22
    days on market $379,817 Active 54 DOM
  49. 2026-07-21
    days on market $379,817 Active 53 DOM
  50. 2026-07-20
    days on market $379,817 Active 52 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$33,258
− Mortgage interest
−$25,792
− Property taxes
−$6,907
− Insurance
−$2,302
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,661
− Management
−$2,661
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$13,395
Taxable loss
−$21,059
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,054
After-tax cash flow
$-7,456/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This move-in-ready home features high-quality finishes and appliances, with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. Potential buyers and renters will appreciate the curb appeal and interior updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures improve aesthetics and energy efficiency
  • Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices increase convenience and property value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 43/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Long Mill Elementary F NC #771/1,410 Nat'l #21,438/41,679 Middle Cedar Creek Middle F NC #292/475 Nat'l #7,581/14,009 High Franklinton High C NC #235/535 Nat'l #3,934/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Franklin County Schools
NCES district ID
3701530
Math proficiency
34% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,630
Composite
30.25/100
National rank
#6286
State rank
#128 of 178 in NC
C Composite livability gradescore 68/100

Livability — Youngsville

Score
68/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#9264

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Franklin County · 69,848 people
City population
22,232
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
22,232
Household income
$95,940
Rent vs Own
14.1% rent · 85.9% own
Severe rent burden
18% of renters

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
69,848 people
By 2030
72,480 · +3.8%
By 2040
76,682 · +9.8%
By 2050
78,993 · +13.1%
By 2075
82,888 · +18.7%
By 2100
80,784 · +15.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
R (+13.6) · D 42.7% · R 56.3%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: -13.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.6 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+11.7 2012: R+4.2 2008: R+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $379,817 TMLS
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $379,817 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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