2966 N 23rd St · Milwaukee, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Vacant property being sold AS‑IS. Property does not currently have a furnace or water heater or working electricity.
Key facts
- Exterior fencing
- Interior flooring
- Front porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
- Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,108/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($29k/yr) (locally 2061% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 163 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $65k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 163 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.08%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $51,550
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 26.09%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3047 N 22nd St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 898 (+1%) | 1mo | $26,000 | $29 | 88 |
| 2956 N 23rd St | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 930 (+4%) | 23mo | $5,000 | $5 | 68 |
| 3160 N 24th Pl | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 913 (+3%) | 19mo | $94,900 | $104 | 67 |
| 2935 N Dr Lester Carter Dr | 0.10mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 992 (+12%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $106 | 63 |
| 3513 N 25th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (-0%) | 12mo | $92,000 | $104 | 56 |
| 3429 N 20th St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 916 (+3%) | 13mo | $62,500 | $68 | 55 |
| 2658 N 25th St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 940 (+6%) | 15mo | $70,000 | $74 | 53 |
| 2908 N 13th St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 855 (-4%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $53 | 46 |
| 2833 N 12th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (+8%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $68 | 45 |
| 1701 W Keefe Ave | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+10%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $133 | 43 |
| 3020 N Teutonia Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 783 (-12%) | 17mo | $65,000 | $83 | 42 |
| 1319 W Groeling Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 790 (-11%) | 5mo | $65,000 | $82 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.76×
- Total profit
- $68,399
- Equity at exit
- $58,557
- IRR
- 44.5%
- Equity multiple
- 11.69×
- Total profit
- $194,627
- Equity at exit
- $126,281
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53206
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2945 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,195 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 3039 N 24th Pl Unit 3039 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 16d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2741 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 2955 N 17th St Unit B UPSTAIRS Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 17d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 2517 W Hadley St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,050 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2765 N 26th St Unit 2 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2630 N 24th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 19d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2821 W Concordia Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1098 | $1,595 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 3410 N 23rd St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $800 | $1.00 | 17d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1326 W Burleigh St Unit 1326 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $825 | $0.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2530 N 28th St Unit 2530 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $995 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3347 N 29th St Unit 3347A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $845 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 2866 N 34th St Unit 2866 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 534 | $1,095 | $2.05 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2866 N 34th St Unit 2866A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 534 | $895 | $1.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3045 N 11th St #3047 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 3298 N 13th St Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $895 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3058 N 11th St Unit 3058 Lower Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $945 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2646 N 34th St Unit 2646A Upper Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 609 | $895 | $1.47 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3646 N 19th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 935 | $1,100 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2550 N 36th St Unit 2550A Upper Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 711 | $845 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3901 N 27th St Unit 3907 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $895 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3911 N 20th St Unit 3913 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $995 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3148 N 39th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3148 N 39th St Unit 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2530 N 37th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $1,000 | $0.96 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2706 N 39th St Unit 2706 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $845 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3927-3929 N 17th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,195 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2201 N 32nd St Unit 2201 Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 16d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3214 N 41st St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3630 W Nash St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2512 N 41st St #2514 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1007 | $1,200 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2407 N 6th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,100 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3871-3873 N 36th St Unit 3871 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 987 | $950 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3606 N 41st St Unit 3608 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1095 | $975 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2577 N Vel R Phillips Ave Milwaukee, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 17d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4409 W Burleigh St Apt 1 Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $795 | $0.99 | 4d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2712 N 44th St Unit 2712A Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $995 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4227 N 26th St Milwaukee, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 17d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 145 DOM
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2026-01-06$65,000 Active 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
Vacant property being sold AS‑IS. Property does not currently have a furnace or water heater or working electricity.
-
2025-06-30soldstatus $29,500 Sold 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
Property being sold as is. Property is currently vacant.
-
2025-05-20historical Contingent 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
Property being sold as is. Property is currently vacant.
-
2025-05-16price $35,000 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
Property being sold as is. Property is currently vacant.
-
2025-05-16status Active 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
Property being sold as is. Property is currently vacant.
-
2025-04-24historical Contingent 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
Property being sold as is. Property is currently vacant.
-
2025-04-14status Active 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
Property being sold as is. Property is currently vacant.
-
2025-03-21historical Contingent 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
Property being sold as is. Property is currently vacant.
-
2025-02-24$59,900 Active 56-char remark
Show marketing remark (56 chars)
Property being sold as is. Property is currently vacant.
-
2023-07-21soldstatus $28,500 Sold
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2023-07-11historical Contingent
-
2023-07-05price $29,900
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2023-06-19$35,900 Active
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2020-04-01soldstatus $310,000
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2020-03-13soldstatus $34,000 Sold
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2020-01-31historical Contingent
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2019-12-10$25,000 Active
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2013-02-08historical
-
2013-02-08$30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,293
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,334
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,040
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,071/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Milwaukee School District
- NCES district ID
- 5509600
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,339
- Composite
- 11.61/100
- National rank
- #9696
- State rank
- #337 of 342 in WI
Livability — Milwaukee
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #1534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Milwaukee, WI
- County
- Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
- City population
- 573,768
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,887
- Household income
- $29,336
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2061.0
Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 995,758 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,124 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 1,028,128 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 1,040,066 · +4.4%
- By 2075
- 1,057,849 · +6.2%
- By 2100
- 1,039,774 · +4.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% Two or more races 3% White 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Norwegian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 133.03%
- Current HPI
- 397.7151
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.28%
- Metro
- Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
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Price history
+116.7% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-06 Listed $65,000 METROMLS
- 2025-06-30 Sold (MLS) $29,500 METROMLS
- 2025-05-20 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2025-05-16 Price Changed $35,000 METROMLS
- 2025-05-16 Relisted — METROMLS
- 2025-04-24 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2025-04-14 Relisted — METROMLS
- 2025-03-21 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2025-02-24 Listed $59,900 METROMLS
- 2023-07-21 Sold (MLS) $28,500 METROMLS
- 2023-07-11 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2023-07-05 Price Changed $29,900 METROMLS
- 2023-06-19 Listed $35,900 METROMLS
- 2020-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-13 Sold (MLS) $34,000 METROMLS
- 2020-01-31 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2019-12-10 Listed $25,000 METROMLS
- 2013-02-08 Listed $30,000 METROMLS
- 2013-02-08 Listing Removed — METROMLS
Property tax history
+19.8%/yrLatest (2024): $7,230 · +896.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…