CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
2 Strongs Ln
B Composite 71.68
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.3/10.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0

$3,749,500

2 Strongs Ln · Bridgehampton, NY 11976
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,800 sqft · SingleFamily · 190 Days on market
Built 1920 Good condition $1339/sqft · 8% above area Est $3482k · 8% over ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Stylish and Secluded Water Mill Sanctuary Discover this elegant Water Mill summer retreat, perfectly situated in the heart of the Hamptons. Surrounded by meticulously landscaped grounds, the residence offers sunlit interiors, refined yet comfortable living spaces, and a thoughtfully designed layout that seamlessly accommodates both everyday living and entertaining. Outdoors, a private pool is framed by lush greenery, creating a tranquil escape ideal for summer relaxation and gatherings. The home's effortless indoor-outdoor flow enhances the experience, whether hosting guests or enjoying quiet moments. Just minutes from pristine beaches, charming village shops, and acclaimed dining, this property offers the quintessential Hamptons lifestyle in a private, stylish setting.

Key facts

  • Private pool
  • Indoor-outdoor flow
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

PRIVATE POOLINDOOR-OUTDOOR FLOW

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $3.75M. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9k ($111k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($44k rent vs $3.75M).
  • Recommended offer: $3.30M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#874 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Southampton Union Free School District (suburban): math 53% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #293 of 590 in NY (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+30.1%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $44,462/mo this rent would consume 296% of the median local household income ($180k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $350k of equity ($26k loan paydown + $324k appreciation (8.6% local appreciation)).
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (8.6% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $1.05M cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$560k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($3.30M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $250k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $3,299,560 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.24%
Cash-on-cash
10.53%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$3,481,546
List price
$3,749,500
Delta
7.70%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.63% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.8%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$2,519,744
Equity at exit
$3,011,057
10-year hold
IRR
29.9%
Equity multiple
8.13×
Total profit
$7,480,723
Equity at exit
$6,138,898

Cash invested: $1,049,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11976

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Rents YoY
30.1%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$44,462 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$19,663
Tax est. 1.5%
$4,687 /mo · $56,242/yr
Insurance
$1,562
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$9,337
Net cashflow
$9,213

Break-even live

Break-even rent $32,800
Max offer price $3,749,500
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $11,805 -5% $10,509 +0% $9,213 +5% $7,918 +10% $6,622
Rent -10% $5,701 -5% $7,457 +0% $9,213 +5% $10,970 +10% $12,726
Rate -1.0pp $11,102 -0.5pp $10,167 base $9,213 +0.5pp $8,242 +1.0pp $7,253

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$937,375
Closing costs
$112,485
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 185 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 184 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 181 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 179 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 176 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 175 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 174 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 173 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $3,749,500 Active 172 DOM
  15. 2026-03-12
    status Active 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Stylish and Secluded Water Mill Sanctuary Discover this elegant Water Mill summer retreat, perfectly situated in the heart of the Hamptons. Surrounded by meticulously landscaped grounds, the residence offers sunlit interiors, refined yet comfortable living spaces, and a thoughtfully designed layout that seamlessly accommodates both everyday living and entertaining. Outdoors, a private pool is framed by lush greenery, creating a tranquil escape ideal for summer relaxation and gatherings. The home's effortless indoor-outdoor flow enhances the experience, whether hosting guests or enjoying quiet moments. Just minutes from pristine beaches, charming village shops, and acclaimed dining, this property offers the quintessential Hamptons lifestyle in a private, stylish setting.

  16. 2026-03-06
    historical 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Stylish and Secluded Water Mill Sanctuary Discover this elegant Water Mill summer retreat, perfectly situated in the heart of the Hamptons. Surrounded by meticulously landscaped grounds, the residence offers sunlit interiors, refined yet comfortable living spaces, and a thoughtfully designed layout that seamlessly accommodates both everyday living and entertaining. Outdoors, a private pool is framed by lush greenery, creating a tranquil escape ideal for summer relaxation and gatherings. The home's effortless indoor-outdoor flow enhances the experience, whether hosting guests or enjoying quiet moments. Just minutes from pristine beaches, charming village shops, and acclaimed dining, this property offers the quintessential Hamptons lifestyle in a private, stylish setting.

  17. 2026-02-19
    status Active 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Stylish and Secluded Water Mill Sanctuary Discover this elegant Water Mill summer retreat, perfectly situated in the heart of the Hamptons. Surrounded by meticulously landscaped grounds, the residence offers sunlit interiors, refined yet comfortable living spaces, and a thoughtfully designed layout that seamlessly accommodates both everyday living and entertaining. Outdoors, a private pool is framed by lush greenery, creating a tranquil escape ideal for summer relaxation and gatherings. The home's effortless indoor-outdoor flow enhances the experience, whether hosting guests or enjoying quiet moments. Just minutes from pristine beaches, charming village shops, and acclaimed dining, this property offers the quintessential Hamptons lifestyle in a private, stylish setting.

  18. 2025-10-14
    price $3,749,500 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Stylish and Secluded Water Mill Sanctuary Discover this elegant Water Mill summer retreat, perfectly situated in the heart of the Hamptons. Surrounded by meticulously landscaped grounds, the residence offers sunlit interiors, refined yet comfortable living spaces, and a thoughtfully designed layout that seamlessly accommodates both everyday living and entertaining. Outdoors, a private pool is framed by lush greenery, creating a tranquil escape ideal for summer relaxation and gatherings. The home's effortless indoor-outdoor flow enhances the experience, whether hosting guests or enjoying quiet moments. Just minutes from pristine beaches, charming village shops, and acclaimed dining, this property offers the quintessential Hamptons lifestyle in a private, stylish setting.

  19. 2025-09-29
    listed $4,000,000 Active 780-char remark
    Show marketing remark (780 chars)

    Stylish and Secluded Water Mill Sanctuary Discover this elegant Water Mill summer retreat, perfectly situated in the heart of the Hamptons. Surrounded by meticulously landscaped grounds, the residence offers sunlit interiors, refined yet comfortable living spaces, and a thoughtfully designed layout that seamlessly accommodates both everyday living and entertaining. Outdoors, a private pool is framed by lush greenery, creating a tranquil escape ideal for summer relaxation and gatherings. The home's effortless indoor-outdoor flow enhances the experience, whether hosting guests or enjoying quiet moments. Just minutes from pristine beaches, charming village shops, and acclaimed dining, this property offers the quintessential Hamptons lifestyle in a private, stylish setting.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$533,549
− Mortgage interest
−$210,030
− Property taxes
−$56,242
− Insurance
−$18,748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$42,684
− Management
−$42,684
− Depreciation
−$109,076
Taxable income
$54,085
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$12,980
After-tax cash flow
$97,580/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained single-family home in the Hamptons offers a good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
  • Both pool maintenance — improves outdoor living and attracts buyers
  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and outdoor living space
  • Both pool maintenance — improves outdoor living and attracts buyers
  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southampton Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3627540
Math proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$85,977
Composite
47.9/100
National rank
#2213
State rank
#293 of 590 in NY

Livability — Bridgehampton

Score
62/100
State rank
#874
US rank
#16891

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bridgehampton, NY
County
Suffolk County · 679,920 people
City population
725
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
2,952
Household income
$180,250
Rent vs Own
6.8% rent · 93.2% own

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Salvadoran 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Scotch-Irish 7% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.63%
Current HPI
540.0967
Rent YoY
▲ 30.05%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-06 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-19 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-14 Price Changed $3,749,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-29 Listed $4,000,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…