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10925 Mosswood Dr
C- Composite 51.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

10925 Mosswood Dr · Tyler, TX 75703
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,524 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1984 0.34 ac lot $187/sqft · 23% below area Est $372k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic South Tyler home! Great curb appeal and situated on a shady corner lot. Vaulted ceilings and brick fireplace in the living room. Bright, spacious kitchen and dining area. Tons of storage throughout the home. Primary suite has two walk-in closets, a linen closet, and en suite bathroom. Two guest rooms share a hall bath. The back patio is the perfect place for outdoor entertaining! Located near the Old Jacksonville and Cumberland Rd. intersection, you can be just about anywhere in Tyler within minutes!

Key facts

  • Quiet corner lot
  • Brick fireplace
  • Natural light

Tags

QUIET CORNER LOTQUICK ACCESS TO LOOP 49QUICK ACCESS TO I-20NATURAL LIGHTVAULTED CEILINGSBRICK FIREPLACE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Concrete driveway; Garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-family detached residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Chain link and wood fencing; Corner lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Garbage disposal
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (Natural Gas); Central air; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Pantry; Fireplace with gas starter and wood-burning

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $143 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $265k (6.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $265k (6.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.6% in Tyler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#147 in TX, #4,181 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, commute F.
  • Tyler ISD (urban): math 39% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #449 of 826 in TX (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Dr Bryan C Jack El (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #742 of 4,322 statewide, top 19%, 685 students, 46% FRL); Three Lakes Middle (math 35% / reading 42%, grade F, #704 of 1,662 statewide, top 43%, 873 students, 64% FRL); Tyler Legacy H S (math 34% / reading 49%, grade F, #767 of 1,632 statewide, top 47%, 2,594 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 649 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 595 units permitted in Smith County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Smith County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 62% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $265,247 (6.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.89%
Cash-on-cash
2.15%
DSCR
1.10
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$372,418
List price
$285,000
Delta
-23.47%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-44,840
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-57,266
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75703

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
649
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,652 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$339 /mo · $4,074/yr
Insurance
$119
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$557
Net cashflow
$143

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,472
Max offer price $285,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $304 -5% $223 +0% $143 +5% $62 +10% $-19
Rent -10% $-67 -5% $38 +0% $143 +5% $247 +10% $352
Rate -1.0pp $286 -0.5pp $215 base $143 +0.5pp $69 +1.0pp $-6

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10801 Harvestwood Dr Tyler, TX 4.0 2.5 1964 $3,750 $1.91 14d 1 0.13mi
1666 W Cumberland Rd Tyler, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 939 $1,725 $1.84 14d 6 0.80mi
1811 Spruce Pine Ln Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1662 $2,500 $1.50 44d 1 0.82mi
16104 Echo Glen Dr Unit 16104 Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1199 $1,690 $1.41 44d 1 0.88mi
16108 Echo Glen Dr Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,795 $1.47 44d 1 0.89mi
15542 County Road 178 Unit I209 Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,900 $1.31 44d 1 0.89mi
7352 Kingsport Ln Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1875 $4,500 $2.40 14d 1 0.91mi
11201 County Road 166 Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1635 $2,595 $1.59 44d 1 1.03mi
11086 County Road 167 Unit 11 Tyler, TX 3.0 2.0 1495 $1,900 $1.27 44d 1 1.28mi
16440 County Road 178 #1007 Tyler, TX 3.0 2.5 1986 $1,775 $0.89 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $285,000 Active
  2. 2026-05-15
    listed $285,000 Active 1320-char remark
  3. 2024-03-13
    soldstatus
  4. 2024-03-08
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Fantastic South Tyler home! Great curb appeal and situated on a shady corner lot. Vaulted ceilings and brick fireplace in the living room. Bright, spacious kitchen and dining area. Tons of storage throughout the home. Primary suite has two walk-in closets, a linen closet, and en suite bathroom. Two guest rooms share a hall bath. The back patio is the perfect place for outdoor entertaining! Located near the Old Jacksonville and Cumberland Rd. intersection, you can be just about anywhere in Tyler within minutes!

  5. 2024-02-15
    historical
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Fantastic South Tyler home! Great curb appeal and situated on a shady corner lot. Vaulted ceilings and brick fireplace in the living room. Bright, spacious kitchen and dining area. Tons of storage throughout the home. Primary suite has two walk-in closets, a linen closet, and en suite bathroom. Two guest rooms share a hall bath. The back patio is the perfect place for outdoor entertaining! Located near the Old Jacksonville and Cumberland Rd. intersection, you can be just about anywhere in Tyler within minutes!

  6. 2024-02-14
    listed $259,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Fantastic South Tyler home! Great curb appeal and situated on a shady corner lot. Vaulted ceilings and brick fireplace in the living room. Bright, spacious kitchen and dining area. Tons of storage throughout the home. Primary suite has two walk-in closets, a linen closet, and en suite bathroom. Two guest rooms share a hall bath. The back patio is the perfect place for outdoor entertaining! Located near the Old Jacksonville and Cumberland Rd. intersection, you can be just about anywhere in Tyler within minutes!

  7. 2014-08-18
    soldstatus
  8. 2014-08-15
    soldstatus
  9. 2014-06-17
    listed $139,900
  10. 2002-11-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,074 · $339/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,216 · $435/mo
Expected delta
+$1,142/yr (+$95/mo · 28.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 62% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,830
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$4,074
− Insurance
−$1,425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,546
− Management
−$2,546
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable loss
−$3,017
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$724
After-tax cash flow
$2,436/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tyler ISD
NCES district ID
4843470
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,090
Composite
32.69/100
National rank
#5650
State rank
#449 of 826 in TX

Livability — Tyler

Score
75/100
State rank
#147
US rank
#4181

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Smith County · 180,570 people
City population
127,842
Metro
Tyler, TX
Population (ZIP)
46,039
Household income
$79,194
Rent vs Own
42.9% rent · 57.1% own
Severe rent burden
1585.0

Population outlook (Smith County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,890 people
By 2030
261,665 · +5.1%
By 2040
286,114 · +15.0%
By 2050
308,006 · +23.8%
By 2075
354,171 · +42.3%
By 2100
372,828 · +49.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Smith

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -39.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.1 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+39.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -218.79%
Current HPI
182.3842
Rent YoY
▼ -1.95%
Metro
Tyler, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+103.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Pending GTAR
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $285,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $285,000 GTAR
  • 2024-03-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-03-08 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2024-02-15 Delisted GTAR
  • 2024-02-14 Listed $259,900 GTAR
  • 2014-08-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-08-15 Sold (MLS) GTAR
  • 2014-06-17 Listed $139,900 GTAR
  • 2002-11-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $4,074 · +14.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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