5795 Amaray Cv · Horn Lake, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming, Move-In Ready 2 Bedroom 2 Bath Home in a Secluded Cove in a Central Location ~ Covered Front Porch ~ Great Room with Vaulted Ceiling & Gas Log Fireplace ~ Galley Style Kitchen with Stainless Steel Appliances & Eat-At Breakfast Bar ~ Breakfast Room ~ Laundry Closet ~ Spacious Primary Suite with Vaulted Ceiling & Private Salon Bath with Jetted Tub, Large Vanity with Makeup Space, & His & Hers Walk-In Closets ~ Additional Bedroom & Bathroom ~ Out Back is a Patio, Spacious Backyard Enclosed with Wooden Privacy Fence, Storage Room, & Storage Building with Electricity ~ Call Today for Your Private Showing!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Laundry closet
- Eat-at breakfast bar
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway; Parking pad; No garage; Direct access
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Move-in ready
- Construction: Brick and HardiPlank-type siding; Three-tab shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built per assessor/appraiser records
- Exterior features: Front porch; Patio (slab); Private yard; Rain gutters; Privacy wood fencing; Portable building; Workshop; Landscaped front yard; Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Free-standing electric range; Microwave; Stainless steel appliances; Water heater
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Additional bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Cathedral ceilings; Ceiling fans; Double vanity; Eat-in kitchen; His and hers closets; Walk-in closets; Gas log fireplace in great room; Deadbolt locks; Hinged patio door
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $109 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (15.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $161k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#196 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Desoto County School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #20 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Horn Lake Elem (451 students, 99% FRL); Horn Lake Middle School (math 37% / reading 21%, grade F, #90 of 179 statewide, top 52%, 1,021 students, 100% FRL); Horn Lake High (math 28% / reading 30%, grade F, #98 of 197 statewide, top 49%, 1,361 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 43% district-wide (56 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 45% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Desoto County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,155 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.46%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $204,687
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5804 Amaray Cv | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+0%) | 14mo | $199,000 | $166 | 81 |
| 1652 Thomas St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,281 (+7%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $172 | 81 |
| 5501 Pravin Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,144 (-4%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $162 | 78 |
| 1892 Rapier Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,277 (+7%) | 17mo | $205,000 | $161 | 66 |
| 1260 N Payton Dr | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,217 (+2%) | 3mo | $209,900 | $172 | 63 |
| 5348 W Payton Dr | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,170 (-2%) | 1mo | $209,900 | $179 | 61 |
| 5387 W Payton Dr | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (+4%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $174 | 60 |
| 1190 W E Ross Pkwy | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,290 (+8%) | 1mo | $209,000 | $162 | 49 |
| 5422 Worth Cv | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,286 (+7%) | 0mo | $219,000 | $170 | 48 |
| 1215 N Payton Dr | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-7%) | 9mo | $214,900 | $193 | 48 |
| 5385 Ridgetop Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,371 (+14%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $171 | 47 |
| 5303 W Payton Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,354 (+13%) | 9mo | $229,900 | $170 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-28,594
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-34,416
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38637
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 98
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,606 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,016/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$337
- Net cashflow
- $109
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $217 | -5% $163 | +0% $109 | +5% $55 | +10% $2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-18 | -5% $46 | +0% $109 | +5% $173 | +10% $236 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $205 | -0.5pp $157 | base $109 | +0.5pp $60 | +1.0pp $10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5640 Ingleside Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,575 | $1.05 | 6d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5381 Peppermill Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,950 | $1.39 | 45d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1800 Joy Cir Horn Lake, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,399 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1800 Joy Cir Horn Lake, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,399 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1800 Joy Cir Horn Lake, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,399 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1096 We Ross Pkwy W Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1445 | $2,000 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 1028 We Ross Pkwy W Southaven, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $1,700 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5654 April Dr Southaven, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,495 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5654 April Dr Southaven, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1492 | $1,495 | $1.00 | 6d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2563 Waverly Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,550 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 799 Grant Dr Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $1,710 | $1.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5186 Church Lake Dr Southaven, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 931 | $1,574 | $1.69 | 4d | 20 | 1.03mi |
| 5367 Kalian Cv Southaven, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5961 Kentwood Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1290 | $1,535 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6871 Center St Horn Lake, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,395 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2905 Brook Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $1,195 | $1.07 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2905 Brook Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1112 | $1,195 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2912 Waverly Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1366 | $1,793 | $1.31 | 6d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2900 Brachton Cv W Horn Lake, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,225 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4740 US-51 Southaven, MS | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $1,486 | $1.77 | 4d | 7 | 1.24mi |
| 6545 Hermitage Rd Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 2675 Ridgewood Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1035 | $1,195 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2675 Ridgewood Cv Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $1,195 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4744 W East Ross Pkwy Southaven, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1054 | $1,801 | $1.71 | 5d | 10 | 1.33mi |
| 5905 Tulane Rd Horn Lake, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,300 | $0.97 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 6360 Greenbriar Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1328 | $1,465 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4375 U.S. 51 Horn Lake, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 999 | $1,662 | $1.66 | 4d | 17 | 1.41mi |
| 6230 Somerset Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,593 | $1.32 | 4d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2628 Hillcrest Cir Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,275 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3060 Fairmeadow Dr Horn Lake, MS | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1104 | $1,663 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 5905 Airways Blvd Southaven, MS | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1102 | $1,475 | $1.34 | 4d | 23 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $189,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $189,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $189,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $189,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $189,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 629-char remark
-
2026-06-07$189,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,016 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,500 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- +$485/yr (+$40/mo · 47.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,273
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$1,016
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,542
- − Management
- −$1,542
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$1,937
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$465
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801320
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,272
- Composite
- 39.56/100
- National rank
- #3933
- State rank
- #20 of 130 in MS
Livability — Horn Lake
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #17977
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Horn Lake, MS
- County
- DeSoto County · 176,513 people
- City population
- 26,647
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,647
- Household income
- $53,311
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 203,338 people
- By 2030
- 217,692 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 245,320 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 270,133 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 323,341 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 348,742 · +71.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 42% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.1) · D 36.7% · R 60.8% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.2pp toward D · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -24.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.1 2020: R+23.9 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.08%
- Current HPI
- 206.5542
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.66%
- Metro
- Memphis, TN-MS-AR
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+137.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $189,900 MLSU
- 2021-10-11 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-10-11 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2020-07-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-06-24 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2020-03-21 Listed $120,000 MLSU
- 2009-10-01 Listed $104,000 MLSU
- 2008-05-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2008-05-20 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2008-01-14 Listed $97,000 MLSU
- 2007-06-28 Listed $102,500 MLSU
- 2003-06-26 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2002-10-02 Listed $79,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,016 · +19.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…