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4620 Sutton Ave
A- Composite 82.29
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$74,900

4620 Sutton Ave · Moss Point, MS 39563
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,284 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1959 0.77 ac lot Est $121k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This livable fixer upper offers a great opportunity for buyers looking to add their own TLC. The home features approximately 1,500 square feet of living space with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Situated on nearly an acre, the spacious yard provides plenty of room for outdoor living, expansion, or future improvements. Located on a quiet dead end street, this property offers privacy while still having strong potential for value growth. Ideal for investors or homeowners ready to make it their own. Property sold as is where is no warranties given express or implied. Soft spots on floors Flood quote attached to listing $498 a year for informational purposes

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • 0.77 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

SPACIOUS YARDQUIET DEAD END STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 0.77 acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Raised foundation; Siding exterior; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Approximately 1,500 building area; Year built (from public records)
  • Exterior features: Architectural shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Appliances: see remarks
  • Bedrooms: Single-story layout
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 6.8% in Moss Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
  • Moss Point Separate School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #94 of 130 in MS (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 516 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $70,406 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.94%
Cap rate
15.61%
Cash-on-cash
33.28%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$120,696
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6904 Andover St 0.16mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,325 (+3%) 12mo $155,000 $117 72
4422 Stratford Cir 0.32mi 3/1.0 1,380 (+8%) 14mo $129,900 $94 57
4229 Rabby St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,300 (+1%) 21mo $105,000 $81 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.8%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$25,766
Equity at exit
$40,646
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
4.38×
Total profit
$70,801
Equity at exit
$68,706

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39563

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,453 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,703/yr
Insurance
$31
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$305
Net cashflow
$155

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,256
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $198 -5% $176 +0% $155 +5% $134 +10% $113
Rent -10% $40 -5% $98 +0% $155 +5% $213 +10% $270
Rate -1.0pp $193 -0.5pp $174 base $155 +0.5pp $136 +1.0pp $116

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 60 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 59 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 58 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,900 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 45 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 121 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 120 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,900 Active 119 DOM
  15. 2026-05-12
    price $74,900
  16. 2026-03-17
    status Active
  17. 2026-02-13
    status Pending
  18. 2026-01-12
    price $79,900
  19. 2025-12-30
    listed $88,000 Active
  20. 2025-08-26
    historical
  21. 2025-08-18
    price $85,000
  22. 2025-08-07
    price $87,500
  23. 2025-08-01
    price $89,900
  24. 2025-07-24
    price $95,000
  25. 2025-07-08
    listed $99,000 Active
  26. 2018-12-10
    historical
  27. 2018-10-16
    listed $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,703 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,703 · $142/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 78% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,432
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,703
− Insurance
−$5,493
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,395
− Management
−$1,395
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$1,072
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$257
After-tax cash flow
$1,604/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Moss Point Separate School District
NCES district ID
2803000
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
22% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$38,041
Composite
16.34/100
National rank
#9205
State rank
#94 of 130 in MS

Livability — Moss Point

Score
67/100
State rank
#77
US rank
#10398

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Moss Point, MS
City population
12,023
Population (ZIP)
12,023

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
146,926 people
By 2030
148,442 · +1.0%
By 2040
149,631 · +1.8%
By 2050
148,723 · +1.2%
By 2075
147,845 · +0.6%
By 2100
144,510 · -1.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (74%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 74% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.9) · D 29.5% · R 69.4% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -39.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.9 2020: R+34.6 2016: R+39.9 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+33.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.60%
Current HPI
155.3138
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-0.1% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $74,900 MLSU
  • 2026-03-17 Relisted MLSU
  • 2026-02-13 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $79,900 MLSU
  • 2025-12-30 Listed $88,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-26 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2025-08-18 Price Changed $85,000 MLSU
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $87,500 MLSU
  • 2025-08-01 Price Changed $89,900 MLSU
  • 2025-07-24 Price Changed $95,000 MLSU
  • 2025-07-08 Listed $99,000 MLSU
  • 2018-12-10 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2018-10-16 Listed $75,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+13.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,703 · +20.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…