514 Oak St · Marion, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Good investment property, being sold As Is. Nice detached garage. House is in need of repair.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Screened porch
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Built in 1900; No common walls
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (14.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#704 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion City (town): math 22% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #600 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Rutherford B. Hayes Elementary School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,293 of 1,584 statewide, top 83%, 226 students, 0% FRL); Ulysses S. Grant Middle School (math 22% / reading 25%, grade F, #597 of 654 statewide, top 92%, 998 students, 0% FRL); Harding High School (math 16% / reading 36%, grade F, #636 of 781 statewide, top 82%, 1,050 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 67% district-wide (67 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 212 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.21%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,684
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 350 Mary St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,384 (+0%) | 4mo | $170,500 | $123 | 80 |
| 523 Mary St | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,524 (+10%) | 0mo | $175,000 | $115 | 76 |
| 458 Ballentine Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,406 (+2%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $39 | 69 |
| 455 Park St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,316 (-5%) | 6mo | $33,000 | $25 | 67 |
| 125 Wallace St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (-10%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $44 | 64 |
| 373 W Church St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,354 (-2%) | 1mo | $84,000 | $62 | 59 |
| 210 Leader St | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 | 1,495 (+8%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $23 | 58 |
| 749 Richmond Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,345 (-3%) | 4mo | $179,900 | $134 | 57 |
| 464 Ballentine Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-7%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $105 | 54 |
| 505 E Mark St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,356 (-2%) | 7mo | $146,000 | $108 | 53 |
| 260 Bellevue St | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,494 (+8%) | 6mo | $52,000 | $35 | 48 |
| 535 Toledo Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (-14%) | 4mo | $16,000 | $14 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-20,642
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-7,242
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43302
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 212
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,531 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $673/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$321
- Net cashflow
- $135
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $237 | -5% $186 | +0% $135 | +5% $84 | +10% $33 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $14 | -5% $74 | +0% $135 | +5% $195 | +10% $256 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $225 | -0.5pp $181 | base $135 | +0.5pp $88 | +1.0pp $41 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14$179,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $673 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,740 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,067/yr (+$89/mo · 158.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,369
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$673
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,470
- − Management
- −$1,470
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$1,453
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$349
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,967/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion City
- NCES district ID
- 3904433
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,327
- Composite
- 21.58/100
- National rank
- #8306
- State rank
- #600 of 656 in OH
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #704
- US rank
- #12605
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, OH
- County
- Marion County · 53,702 people
- City population
- 53,702
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,702
- Household income
- $55,057
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,078 people
- By 2030
- 60,049 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 50,604 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 40,162 · -35.3%
- By 2100
- 29,105 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.9% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.52%
- Current HPI
- 223.5344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+619.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $179,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2015-12-30 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2015-12-29 Sold (MLS) $12,500 CBRMLS
- 2015-07-27 Listed $15,000 CBRMLS
- 2015-07-26 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2015-07-12 Listed $25,000 CBRMLS
Property tax history
-1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $673 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…