404 N Maple · Pryor Creek, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2-bedroom, 1-bath property featuring a detached garage and an additional detached wash room. The home includes a durable, low-maintenance metal roof and a zero-entry shower for added accessibility. A great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to complete a project to their own specifications. Electricity is currently on. Property is being sold AS-IS. Seller will make no repairs.
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Zero-entry shower
- Detached wash room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual taxes listed (tax year provided)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); Carport; RV access/parking; Boat parking; Garage includes shelves, storage and workshop area
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: One-story home; Faces east; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Metal roof; Vinyl siding; Wood frame construction; Built (year source: public records)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Dog run; Storage structure; Partial fencing; Mature trees on lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Country-style kitchen with island; Cooktop; Double oven; Oven; Range
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on first floor with separate closets; Additional bedroom(s) on first floor
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Master bath (first floor)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric and gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Vinyl windows; Storm doors; Laminate counters; Gas range and gas oven connections; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Utility room inside on first floor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.8% in Pryor Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#51 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Pryor (town): math 24% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #143 of 270 in OK (top 53%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Roosevelt Es (math 42% / reading 27%, grade F, #168 of 845 statewide, top 24%, 526 students, 0% FRL); Pryor Ms (math 19% / reading 21%, grade F, #158 of 345 statewide, top 47%, 650 students, 0% FRL); Pryor Hs (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 800 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 23 units permitted in Mayes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mayes County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.16%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,152
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218 S Whitaker St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 | 1,196 (-7%) | 0mo | $181,100 | $151 | 62 |
| 122 S Whitaker St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-9%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $127 | 57 |
| 113 S Mayes St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,238 (-4%) | 23mo | $124,000 | $100 | 48 |
| 23 S Whitaker | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,161 (-10%) | 14mo | $149,900 | $129 | 45 |
| 322 N Whitaker St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-7%) | 19mo | $190,000 | $158 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,054
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.35×
- Total profit
- $34,057
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74361
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$112 /mo · $1,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $402 | -5% $371 | +0% $339 | +5% $308 | +10% $277 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $243 | -5% $291 | +0% $339 | +5% $388 | +10% $436 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $385 | -0.5pp $362 | base $339 | +0.5pp $316 | +1.0pp $292 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 111 N Elliott St Unit A Pryor, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 202 N Ora St Pryor, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $90,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-03-10$90,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,350
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,808
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$674
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,400/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pryor
- NCES district ID
- 4025200
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,306
- Composite
- 19.46/100
- National rank
- #8774
- State rank
- #143 of 270 in OK
Livability — Pryor Creek
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #8653
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pryor Creek, OK
- County
- Mayes County · 17,612 people
- City population
- 17,582
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,612
- Household income
- $58,681
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 326.0
Population outlook (Mayes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,941 people
- By 2030
- 39,172 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 37,540 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 35,854 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 32,361 · -19.0%
- By 2100
- 28,054 · -29.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Native American 18% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mayes
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.5) · D 20.3% · R 77.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.4pp toward R · 2008: -28.1pp · 2024: -57.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.5 2020: R+55.1 2016: R+51.7 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+28.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -145.81%
- Current HPI
- 247.7737
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Listed $90,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
-2.4%/yrLatest (2016): $54 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…