11543 st Hwy 19 N · Athens, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$117,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
High-Yield Income Potential! 4-bedroom Country Home on 0.840 Acres in Athens. Discover the perfect investment opportunity or spacious Homestead in Henderson County! This 4-bedroom 2-bath sidings home offers 0.840 acres of unrestricted country living. Formerly a successful rental, this property is primed for a new owner to generate immediate income or create a cozy, spacious home. Located just outside the city for peaceful living while maintaining access to Athens amenities. Don't miss this opportunity to build your portfolio or own a large slice of Texas. USE SIDE DOOR. THE WOOD ON THE DECK AT FRONT IS DAMAGED. Selling AS IS, NO REPAIRS WILL BE MADE.
Key facts
- 0.85 acres
- 0.84 acre lot
- Built 1951
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $117k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $117k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 2.4% in Athens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#241 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Athens ISD (town): math 34% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #548 of 826 in TX (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Central Athens (math 42% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,651 of 4,322 statewide, top 39%, 587 students, 76% FRL); Athens Middle (math 35% / reading 33%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 682 students, 80% FRL); Athens H S (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,147 of 1,632 statewide, top 71%, 928 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 62% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 242 active listings in the ZIP; 263 units permitted in Henderson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $809 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.70%
- DSCR
- 1.88
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $347,453
- List price
- $117,000
- Delta
- -66.33%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11234 State Highway 19 N | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,584 (+5%) | 34mo | $295,000 | $186 | 49 |
| 1468 County Road 3824 | 1.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-5%) | 15mo | $250,000 | $174 | 40 |
| 3822 County Road 3804 | 1.96mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (+4%) | 52mo | $260,000 | $166 | 34 |
| 9461 CR 3910 | 2.00mi | 2/2.0 (-2) | 1,474 (-2%) | 36mo | $375,000 | $254 | 31 |
| 12351 State Highway 19 N | 0.38mi | 2/2.0 (-2) | 1,944 (+29%) | 55mo | $399,500 | $206 | 27 |
| 10392 County Road 3819 | 1.82mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,886 (+25%) | 14mo | $575,000 | $305 | 23 |
| 10802 County Road 3909 | 1.39mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,671 (+10%) | 24mo | $465,000 | $278 | 20 |
| 13117 County Road 3822 | 2.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,784 (+18%) | 54mo | $425,000 | $238 | 15 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $15,321
- Equity at exit
- $17,445
- IRR
- 20.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $57,553
- Equity at exit
- $10,116
Cash invested: $32,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75752
- Home prices YoY
- -27.0%
- Active inventory
- 242
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,704 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$614
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$146 /mo · $1,755/yr
- Insurance
- −$49
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$358
- Net cashflow
- $538
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $619 | -5% $578 | +0% $538 | +5% $497 | +10% $457 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $403 | -5% $471 | +0% $538 | +5% $605 | +10% $672 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $597 | -0.5pp $568 | base $538 | +0.5pp $508 | +1.0pp $477 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,250
- Closing costs
- $3,510
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Property is not attached and has no accessory unitMulti-parcel: YesNo known restrictions
- Financial info
- Listing terms: Cash or ConventionalLoan type: Treat As ClearNo second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community
- No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking
- Detached carport1 covered parking spaceAdditional parking available
- Utilities
- City waterSeptic
- Home design
- Single-family residenceResidential propertyOne storyPreowned (built 1951)
- Construction
- Metal roofSiding exteriorPillar/post/pier foundationYear built: 1951
- Exterior features
- Interior lot with many treesNo fencing
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherElectric rangeKitchen islandEat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms (all on main level)
- Flooring
- Ceramic tileLuxury vinyl plankTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (electric)Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features
- Decorative lightingEat-in kitchenKitchen islandOne living areaOne dining areaTotal of 5 roomsLevels: One
- Laundry & utility
- Laundry: OtherElectric water heater
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $117,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $117,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $117,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $117,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $117,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $117,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $117,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $117,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $117,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $117,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $117,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $117,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $117,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-23price $117,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $130,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $130,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $130,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-07-17days on market $130,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $130,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $130,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $130,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $130,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $130,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $130,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $130,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $130,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $130,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $130,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $130,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $130,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $130,000 Active 50 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $130,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $130,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $130,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $130,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $130,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-26days on market $130,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $130,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 24 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,451
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,554
- − Property taxes
- −$1,755
- − Insurance
- −$585
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,636
- − Management
- −$1,636
- − Depreciation
- −$3,404
- Taxable income
- $4,882
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,172
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,282/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home on 0.840 acres in Athens, TX, is in good condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It offers a great investment opportunity for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting buyers and renters. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Improves the home's appearance and attracts potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4808870
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,617
- Composite
- 28.73/100
- National rank
- #6680
- State rank
- #548 of 826 in TX
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #241
- US rank
- #5796
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henderson · 80,471 people
- City population
- 18,644
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,391
- Household income
- $58,185
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Henderson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,471 people
- By 2030
- 80,608 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 80,087 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 78,208 · -2.8%
- By 2075
- 72,423 · -10.0%
- By 2100
- 61,012 · -24.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Henderson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.5) · D 18.0% · R 81.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -63.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.5 2020: R+60.2 2016: R+60.0 2012: R+54.8 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.92%
- Current HPI
- 200.117
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+73.3% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2025-11-17 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed $130,000 NTREIS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $140,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-19 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-07-19 Listed $199,000 NTREIS
- 2021-09-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-08-29 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2021-08-25 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-08-18 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2021-08-05 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-07-31 Listed $185,000 NTREIS
- 2020-09-18 Pending — NTREIS
- 2020-09-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2020-09-04 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2020-09-01 Listed $49,900 NTREIS
- 2020-08-27 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2020-08-04 Pending — NTREIS
- 2020-07-17 Price Changed $65,000 NTREIS
- 2020-06-17 Listed $75,000 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…