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4423 Trigg St Duplex
C Composite 55.89
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,900

4423 Trigg St · Houston, TX 77093
4 bd · 4.0 ba · 1,773 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 2021 10,148 sqft lot Est $348k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

This is a Package Deal. Excellent Opportunity to purchase 3 lots for one great price! Included in this listing is Lot 849 (10,148 sqft), Lot 850 (10,620 sqft), and Lot 852 (7,670 sqft) with all lots totaling 28,438 sqft. Build your dream home or build multiple homes and triple your investment or more! No HOA or Restrictions. Make an offer today before this one gets away! This Listing price is for Lot 849 only. Please consult MLS #24270774 and MLS # 2482204.

Key facts

  • Employment centers
  • Major throughfares
  • Investment property

Tags

DUPLEXBUCKINGHAM PLACE SUBDIVISIONINVESTMENT PROPERTYMAJOR THROUGHFARESEMPLOYMENT CENTERSRETAIL CENTER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity available
  • Home design: Residential income property; Two units (multi-unit building)
  • Construction: Built in 2021; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (per unit — Unit 1 listed with 3 beds)
  • Flooring: Laminate
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Interior features: Laminate flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $77/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Aldine ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #790 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hambrick Middle (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,520 of 1,662 statewide, top 92%, 1,021 students, 93% FRL); Macarthur H S (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,397 of 1,632 statewide, top 87%, 3,571 students, 85% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,430/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1815% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
7.18%
Cash-on-cash
3.16%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$347,508
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5102 Haywood St 0.73mi 4/— 1,788 (+1%) 14mo $350,000 $196 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.31% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.2%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-18,140
Equity at exit
$31,297
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$22,700
Equity at exit
$18,148

Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77093

Home prices YoY
-9.9%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
14.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,430 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$577 /mo · $6,919/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$510
Net cashflow
$155

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,234
Max offer price $209,900
Occupancy floor 89%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $274 -5% $214 +0% $155 +5% $95 +10% $36
Rent -10% $-37 -5% $59 +0% $155 +5% $251 +10% $347
Rate -1.0pp $261 -0.5pp $208 base $155 +0.5pp $101 +1.0pp $45

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,430

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,475
Closing costs
$6,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 14 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9422 Sandra St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1461 $1,875 $1.28 45d 1 0.64mi
2920 La Estancia Ln Houston, TX 5.0 2.0 1562 $1,731 $1.11 0d 1 1.05mi
3222 Bostic St Unit 1571615P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1593 $5,423 $3.40 0d 1 1.18mi
10329 Wicklowe St Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,400 $1.11 22d 1 1.20mi
3208 Bostic St Unit 1254540P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1603 $3,673 $2.29 0d 1 1.20mi
8326 Curry Rd Unit 1228882P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1614 $2,878 $1.78 9d 1 1.23mi
8326 Curry Rd Unit 1227052P Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1270 $3,317 $2.61 0d 1 1.23mi
8322 Curry Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1599 $2,500 $1.56 45d 1 1.24mi
8318 Curry Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1558 $2,299 $1.48 45d 1 1.24mi
8320 Curry Rd Unit 1391267P Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1550 $5,033 $3.25 0d 1 1.24mi
8320 Curry Rd Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1558 $8,950 $5.74 23d 1 1.24mi
7740 Wileyvale Rd Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $3,000 $2.00 45d 1 1.34mi
10221 Bretton Dr Houston, TX 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,700 $1.26 25d 1 1.41mi
9314 Sundown Dr Unit A Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1608 $1,675 $1.04 0d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $209,900 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 433-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $209,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,919 · $577/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,919 · $577/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,160
− Mortgage interest
−$11,758
− Property taxes
−$6,919
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,333
− Management
−$2,333
− Depreciation
−$6,106
Taxable loss
−$1,338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$321
After-tax cash flow
$2,180/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aldine ISD
NCES district ID
4807710
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,081
Composite
15.42/100
National rank
#9317
State rank
#790 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
46,407
Household income
$46,766
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
1815.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 24% Black 11% White 6% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 70%
Foreign-born
34% · Canada
Languages at home
30% English-only · Spanish 70%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.53%
Current HPI
277.4914
Rent YoY
▲ 5.31%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+424.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $209,900 HARMLS
  • 2024-10-17 Rental Removed $1,360 RENTALBEAST
  • 2024-10-03 Listed for Rent $1,360 RENTALBEAST
  • 2022-02-13 Price Changed $1,450 RENT.
  • 2020-09-09 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2020-08-10 Pending HARMLS
  • 2020-04-28 Price Changed $45,000 HARMLS
  • 2020-04-07 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2020-04-04 Pending HARMLS
  • 2020-03-31 Listed $40,000 HARMLS
  • 2020-03-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-02-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+20.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,919 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…