Duplex
4423 Trigg St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
This is a Package Deal. Excellent Opportunity to purchase 3 lots for one great price! Included in this listing is Lot 849 (10,148 sqft), Lot 850 (10,620 sqft), and Lot 852 (7,670 sqft) with all lots totaling 28,438 sqft. Build your dream home or build multiple homes and triple your investment or more! No HOA or Restrictions. Make an offer today before this one gets away! This Listing price is for Lot 849 only. Please consult MLS #24270774 and MLS # 2482204.
Key facts
- Employment centers
- Major throughfares
- Investment property
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity available
- Home design: Residential income property; Two units (multi-unit building)
- Construction: Built in 2021; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Cleared lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (per unit — Unit 1 listed with 3 beds)
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Interior features: Laminate flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $77/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Aldine ISD (suburban): math 16% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #790 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Hambrick Middle (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,520 of 1,662 statewide, top 92%, 1,021 students, 93% FRL); Macarthur H S (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,397 of 1,632 statewide, top 87%, 3,571 students, 85% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,430/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1815% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.3% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.16%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $347,508
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5102 Haywood St | 0.73mi | 4/— | 1,788 (+1%) | 14mo | $350,000 | $196 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-18,140
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- 4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $22,700
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77093
- Home prices YoY
- -9.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,430 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$577 /mo · $6,919/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $155
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $214 | +0% $155 | +5% $95 | +10% $36 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-37 | -5% $59 | +0% $155 | +5% $251 | +10% $347 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $261 | -0.5pp $208 | base $155 | +0.5pp $101 | +1.0pp $45 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $2,430 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,215 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,215 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,430 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9422 Sandra St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1461 | $1,875 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2920 La Estancia Ln Houston, TX | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $1,731 | $1.11 | 0d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3222 Bostic St Unit 1571615P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1593 | $5,423 | $3.40 | 0d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 10329 Wicklowe St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,400 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 3208 Bostic St Unit 1254540P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $3,673 | $2.29 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8326 Curry Rd Unit 1228882P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1614 | $2,878 | $1.78 | 9d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8326 Curry Rd Unit 1227052P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $3,317 | $2.61 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 8322 Curry Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1599 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8318 Curry Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1558 | $2,299 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8320 Curry Rd Unit 1391267P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1550 | $5,033 | $3.25 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 8320 Curry Rd Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1558 | $8,950 | $5.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7740 Wileyvale Rd Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $3,000 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 10221 Bretton Dr Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,700 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 9314 Sundown Dr Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1608 | $1,675 | $1.04 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $209,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $209,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $209,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 433-char remark
-
2026-06-15$209,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,919 · $577/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,919 · $577/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,160
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$6,919
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,333
- − Management
- −$2,333
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable loss
- −$1,338
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$321
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,180/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Aldine ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4807710
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,081
- Composite
- 15.42/100
- National rank
- #9317
- State rank
- #790 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,407
- Household income
- $46,766
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1815.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 24% Black 11% White 6% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 70%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.53%
- Current HPI
- 277.4914
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.31%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+424.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $209,900 HARMLS
- 2024-10-17 Rental Removed $1,360 RENTALBEAST
- 2024-10-03 Listed for Rent $1,360 RENTALBEAST
- 2022-02-13 Price Changed $1,450 RENT.
- 2020-09-09 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2020-08-10 Pending — HARMLS
- 2020-04-28 Price Changed $45,000 HARMLS
- 2020-04-07 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2020-04-04 Pending — HARMLS
- 2020-03-31 Listed $40,000 HARMLS
- 2020-03-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1996-02-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+20.4%/yrLatest (2025): $6,919 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…