88-25 155th Ave Unit 3M · New York, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.12%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +5.3/30.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$195,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Comfort, space, and convenience come together in this spacious 1-bedroom, 1-bath co-op located in the Lindenwood section of Howard Beach. Offering a well-proportioned layout with generous room sizes, a separate dining area, and exceptional closet space throughout, this apartment combines functionality and comfort in a way buyers are searching for. The home features a large living room with ample space for both everyday living and entertaining, a generously sized bedroom, abundant storage throughout, newly updated windows, and a tastefully updated bathroom. The functional galley kitchen offers a practical layout with the opportunity to personalize over time to match your own style. Building
Key facts
- Large living room
- Abundant storage
- Separate dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area measured by CubiCasa
- HOA & community: Association covers utilities; Association covers grounds care; Association covers snow removal
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Garage; Parking lot
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Stock cooperative
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Brick construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Entry on 3
- Flooring: Carpet; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Steam heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Elevator; Storage
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $195k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-435 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
- Recommended offer: $189k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($95k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 42% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 3.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.55%
- DSCR
- 0.58
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -32.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.07×
- Total profit
- $-58,587
- Equity at exit
- $29,075
- IRR
- -35.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.54×
- Total profit
- $-83,853
- Equity at exit
- $16,860
Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11414
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,023
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
- Insurance
- −$81
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$1,062
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $-435
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-300 | -5% $-367 | +0% $-435 | +5% $-502 | +10% $-569 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-632 | -5% $-533 | +0% $-435 | +5% $-336 | +10% $-237 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-336 | -0.5pp $-385 | base $-435 | +0.5pp $-485 | +1.0pp $-537 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $48,750
- Closing costs
- $5,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84-29 155th Ave Unit 5J Queens, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 26d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 8439 153rd Ave Unit 5A Howard Beach, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,500 | $3.12 | 26d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 9105 107th Ave Ozone Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $2,400 | $3.70 | 20d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 9512 108th Ave Ozone Park, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 12d | 1 | 0.88mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $195,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $195,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $195,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $195,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $195,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $195,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $195,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $195,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $195,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $195,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $195,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $195,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $195,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$195,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 12% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,923
- − Property taxes
- −$2,925
- − Insurance
- −$975
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − HOA
- −$12,744
- − Depreciation
- −$5,673
- Taxable loss
- −$8,040
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,929
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,286/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos
This 1-bedroom, 1-bath co-op is in good condition with fresh updates and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a spacious layout and ample closet space, making it an attractive option for buyers and renters alike.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace light fixtures — Modern light fixtures improve the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,308
- Household income
- $95,051
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 985.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 11% Dominican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -227.02%
- Current HPI
- 206.6334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $195,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…