180 Pine Tree Ln · Daleville, AL 36322

$99,500

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily · 39 Days on market

Built 1969 Good condition 0.46 ac lot Est $176k · 44% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.8/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.4/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0

Key facts

• 0.46 acre lot
• Parking
• Built 1969

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached carport; 1 carport space
• Security: Fire alarm
• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Electricity available; Cable available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story
• Construction: Brick construction
• Exterior features: Partially fenced yard; Level lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Central heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Heat pump cooling
• Interior features: Window coverings and blinds; Window treatments; Fire alarm
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $97k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 6.5% in Daleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#278 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Daleville City (town): math 9% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #97 of 129 in AL (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: A M Windham Elementary School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #392 of 627 statewide, top 65%, 499 students, 70% FRL); Daleville Middle School (math 7% / reading 39%, grade F, #176 of 257 statewide, top 70%, 361 students, 72% FRL); Daleville High School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #238 of 305 statewide, top 79%, 294 students, 60% FRL).
• Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Dale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $11k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Dale County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $96,515 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.34% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.69%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.71%
• DSCR: 1.70
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $176,400
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
180 Pine Tree Ln	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,176 (0%)	0mo	$111,500	$95	100
526 Forest Rd	0.14mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,000 (-15%)	1mo	$150,000	$150	59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 35.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.78×
• Total profit: $77,439
• Equity at exit: $89,637

10-year hold

• IRR: 30.9%
• Equity multiple: 8.53×
• Total profit: $209,819
• Equity at exit: $193,307

Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36322

• Home prices YoY: 31.4%
• Active inventory: 41
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,332 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$522
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$280
• Net cashflow: $365

Break-even live

Break-even rent $870

Max offer price $99,500

Occupancy floor 68%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $433	-5% $399	+0% $365	+5% $330	+10% $296
Rent	-10% $259	-5% $312	+0% $365	+5% $417	+10% $470
Rate	-1.0pp $415	-0.5pp $390	base $365	+0.5pp $339	+1.0pp $313

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,875
• Closing costs: $2,985
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 11 events

1. 2026-06-03
   status $99,500 Pending 39 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 38 DOM
4. 2026-05-31
   days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 37 DOM
5. 2026-05-30
   days on market $99,500 Active Under Contract 36 DOM
6. 2026-05-14
   historical Active Under Contract
7. 2026-05-08
   price $99,500
8. 2026-05-08
   status Active
9. 2026-05-08
   price $101,500
10. 2026-04-30
    historical Active Under Contract
11. 2026-04-24
    listed $98,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,985
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,574
• − Property taxes: −$1,492
• − Insurance: −$498
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,279
• − Management: −$1,279
• − Depreciation: −$2,895
• Taxable income: $2,969
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$713
• After-tax cash flow: $3,664/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with minor cosmetic updates needed. It has a solid foundation and a metal roof, making it a good investment.

Repairs flagged

• Minor ceiling fan in kitchen — slight wear
• Minor ceiling fan in living room — slight wear

Value-add opportunities

• Both paint exterior walls — enhances curb appeal and value
• Both replace ceiling fans — improves functionality and aesthetics
• Both replace air conditioning unit — improves comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair item	Severity	Est. cost
ceiling fan in kitchen · slight wear	Minor	$500–3,000
ceiling fan in living room · slight wear	Minor	$500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items		$1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

• Both paint exterior walls — enhances curb appeal and value ↑
• Both replace ceiling fans — improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
• Both replace air conditioning unit — improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Daleville City
• NCES district ID: 0101080
• Math proficiency: 9% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $45,865
• Composite: 19.89/100
• National rank: #8687
• State rank: #97 of 129 in AL

Livability — Daleville

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #278
• US rank: #18463

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Dale County · 7,959 people
• City population: 7,740
• Metro: Ozark, AL
• Population (ZIP): 7,959
• Household income: $47,276
• Rent vs Own: 38.8% rent · 61.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 115.0

Population outlook (Dale County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 46,805 people
• By 2030: 45,176 · -3.5%
• By 2040: 41,523 · -11.3%
• By 2050: 37,575 · -19.7%
• By 2075: 28,931 · -38.2%
• By 2100: 22,172 · -52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
• Race & ethnicity: White 59% Black 23% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · South Korea, China, Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dale

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.3) · D 23.5% · R 75.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -52.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.3 2020: R+46.3 2016: R+50.4 2012: R+42.2 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 49.15%
• Current HPI: 205.6
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Ozark, AL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

+1.0% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Contingent — WBR
• 2026-05-08 Price Changed $99,500 WBR
• 2026-05-08 Relisted — WBR
• 2026-05-08 Price Changed $101,500 WBR
• 2026-04-30 Contingent — WBR
• 2026-04-24 Listed $98,500 WBR