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5228 Old Mike Padgett Hwy
C- Composite 51.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

5228 Old Mike Padgett Hwy · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30815
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,432 sqft · Manufactured public records · 41 Days on market
Built 2024 Good condition 1.40 ac lot $78/sqft · 9427% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home is rented at this time. Pictures are of vacant unit before tenants. Beautiful home at an extremely great price on an acre of land. 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Open Living, Dining and Kitchen area. Separate laundry area that can open into the Owners Bath. You will be more than pleased with the home and its layout. Kitchen is large and opens to Dining Room. Living area is big enough for oversized furniture and plenty of space for children. This home is just far enough to enjoy peace and quiet but close enough to grocery stores, hospitals and shopping. This is exactly what you have been looking for - beautiful home at the right price! Please verify schools with Richmond County Boar

Key facts

  • Acre of land
  • Close to hospitals
  • Owners bath

Tags

ACRE OF LANDSEPARATE LAUNDRY AREAOWNERS BATHCLOSE TO GROCERY STORESCLOSE TO HOSPITALSCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land is leased

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Lot includes 1.4 acres; Lot classified as 'Other'

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Range; Dishwasher
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Refrigerator; Range; Dishwasher; Electric water heater; 7 total rooms; No basement (crawl space)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $190k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hephzibah Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #996 of 1,228 statewide, top 83%, 375 students, 98% FRL); Hephzibah Middle School (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #388 of 470 statewide, top 83%, 517 students, 98% FRL); Hephzibah High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #385 of 424 statewide, top 92%, 1,072 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 370 active listings in the ZIP; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $184,300 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.48%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,257
List price
$190,000
Delta
15010.20%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-22,559
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
-8.4%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-24,041
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30815

Home prices YoY
-24.2%
Rents YoY
-0.7%
Active inventory
370
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,009 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,689/yr
Insurance
$79
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,729
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $328 -5% $274 +0% $221 +5% $167 +10% $113
Rent -10% $62 -5% $141 +0% $221 +5% $300 +10% $379
Rate -1.0pp $316 -0.5pp $269 base $221 +0.5pp $171 +1.0pp $121

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $190,000 Active 41 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 33 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $190,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $190,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    historical
  17. 2026-03-02
    listed $190,000 Active
  18. 2026-03-02
    listed $190,000 Active 754-char remark
  19. 2025-06-30
    historical
  20. 2025-06-30
    historical
  21. 2025-06-04
    listed $169,900 Active
  22. 2025-06-04
    listed $169,900
  23. 2021-12-08
    soldstatus $170,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,689 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,689 · $224/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,102
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$2,689
− Insurance
−$1,748
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,928
− Management
−$1,928
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$87
After-tax cash flow
$2,734/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with a good layout and ample space. It is move-in ready and has the potential for further value enhancement through minor cosmetic updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Enhances aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances aesthetics and functionality

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Enhances aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances aesthetics and functionality

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond County
NCES district ID
1304380
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,069
Composite
13.43/100
National rank
#9524
State rank
#154 of 174 in GA

Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
County
Richmond County · 190,917 people
City population
154,035
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
44,109
Household income
$70,202
Rent vs Own
28.4% rent · 71.6% own
Severe rent burden
867.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
200,753 people
By 2030
200,232 · -0.3%
By 2040
196,813 · -2.0%
By 2050
190,347 · -5.2%
By 2075
172,496 · -14.1%
By 2100
146,284 · -27.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (62%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 62% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.74%
Current HPI
162.4074
Rent YoY
▼ -0.71%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $190,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listed $190,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-04 Listed $169,900 Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-04 Listed $169,900 Hive MLS
  • 2021-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,689 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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