3760 Helensdale Ave · Badger, AK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$345,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nestled on a secluded lot, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home combines privacy with modern living. The tranquil, fully fenced, yard offers a serene outdoor space. With a one-car garage for storage and parking, convenience is key. Inside, luxury vinyl plank flooring extends throughout, enhanced by recent updates for a cozy touch of elegance. The main level seamlessly connects the kitchen/dining and living areas, with a powder room and laundry area. Upstairs features the primary bedroom, main bathroom, and two more spacious bedrooms. This residence is a perfect sanctuary for those desiring a cozy, comfortable home in a peaceful, quiet location.
Key facts
- Renovated kitchen
- Full acre
- Two storage sheds
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage; No carport
- Utilities: Septic tank
- Home design: Residential property; Not attached to another unit; Built in 2001; Property faces unspecified direction
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Shared drive access (property set back from the road)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 total bathrooms (1 full, 1 half)
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Water softener; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Water softener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $345k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-212 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (10.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $257k (25.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $257k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#49 in AK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Fairbanks North Star Borough School District (urban): math 33% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #10 of 21 in AK (top 48%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Pole Elementary (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #93 of 156 statewide, top 66%, 347 students, 37% FRL); North Pole Middle School (math 25% / reading 45%, grade F, #21 of 36 statewide, top 57%, 531 students, 39% FRL); North Pole High School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #33 of 61 statewide, top 57%, 617 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1 units permitted in Fairbanks North Star Borough in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($97k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fairbanks North Star County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.63%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $371,643
- List price
- $345,000
- Delta
- -7.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3742 Aune Ct | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,365 (-1%) | 3mo | $370,000 | $271 | 88 |
| 3785 Helensdale Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-5%) | 3mo | $374,900 | $285 | 83 |
| 2539 Eltham Park Ct | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (+2%) | 5mo | $389,900 | $277 | 81 |
| 3800 Branch Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (+2%) | 12mo | $340,000 | $241 | 72 |
| 3763 Lyle Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+5%) | 1mo | $385,000 | $266 | 66 |
| 3591 Route 66 | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,392 (+1%) | 4mo | $230,000 | $165 | 64 |
| 3790 Helensdale Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-15%) | 19mo | $279,900 | $238 | 54 |
| 3807 Decker Blvd | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,556 (+13%) | 10mo | $399,000 | $256 | 48 |
| 3585 Hoonah Dr | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (+9%) | 11mo | $355,000 | $237 | 46 |
| 2390 Hermits Way | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-13%) | 11mo | $293,000 | $244 | 45 |
| 2389 Timberpark Loop | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+10%) | 9mo | $390,000 | $258 | 42 |
| 3885 sangria Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,488 (+8%) | 12mo | $440,000 | $296 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.08% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-63,947
- Equity at exit
- $51,441
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-49,765
- Equity at exit
- $29,829
Cash invested: $96,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alaska
- 80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 99705
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,566 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,809
- Tax from tax record
- −$286 /mo · $3,432/yr
- Insurance
- −$144
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$539
- Net cashflow
- $-212
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-16 | -5% $-114 | +0% $-212 | +5% $-309 | +10% $-407 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-414 | -5% $-313 | +0% $-212 | +5% $-110 | +10% $-9 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-38 | -0.5pp $-124 | base $-212 | +0.5pp $-301 | +1.0pp $-392 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $86,250
- Closing costs
- $10,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 775-char remark
-
2026-05-01$345,000 Active 775-char remark
-
2024-09-09soldstatus
-
2024-09-06soldstatus Closed 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Nestled on a secluded lot, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home combines privacy with modern living. The tranquil, fully fenced, yard offers a serene outdoor space. With a one-car garage for storage and parking, convenience is key. Inside, luxury vinyl plank flooring extends throughout, enhanced by recent updates for a cozy touch of elegance. The main level seamlessly connects the kitchen/dining and living areas, with a powder room and laundry area. Upstairs features the primary bedroom, main bathroom, and two more spacious bedrooms. This residence is a perfect sanctuary for those desiring a cozy, comfortable home in a peaceful, quiet location.
-
2024-05-04historical 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Nestled on a secluded lot, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home combines privacy with modern living. The tranquil, fully fenced, yard offers a serene outdoor space. With a one-car garage for storage and parking, convenience is key. Inside, luxury vinyl plank flooring extends throughout, enhanced by recent updates for a cozy touch of elegance. The main level seamlessly connects the kitchen/dining and living areas, with a powder room and laundry area. Upstairs features the primary bedroom, main bathroom, and two more spacious bedrooms. This residence is a perfect sanctuary for those desiring a cozy, comfortable home in a peaceful, quiet location.
-
2024-04-23$314,900 Active 658-char remark
Show marketing remark (658 chars)
Nestled on a secluded lot, this delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home combines privacy with modern living. The tranquil, fully fenced, yard offers a serene outdoor space. With a one-car garage for storage and parking, convenience is key. Inside, luxury vinyl plank flooring extends throughout, enhanced by recent updates for a cozy touch of elegance. The main level seamlessly connects the kitchen/dining and living areas, with a powder room and laundry area. Upstairs features the primary bedroom, main bathroom, and two more spacious bedrooms. This residence is a perfect sanctuary for those desiring a cozy, comfortable home in a peaceful, quiet location.
-
2022-10-06soldstatus
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
This is a very nice family home that sits back from the road a ways to give it plenty of privacy. There is a blaze king wood stove, triple pane windows, and HRV. The back yard is also fully fenced if you have kids or dogs.
-
2022-10-06soldstatus
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
This is a very nice family home that sits back from the road a ways to give it plenty of privacy. There is a blaze king wood stove, triple pane windows, and HRV. The back yard is also fully fenced if you have kids or dogs.
-
2022-06-17$309,900
Show marketing remark (222 chars)
This is a very nice family home that sits back from the road a ways to give it plenty of privacy. There is a blaze king wood stove, triple pane windows, and HRV. The back yard is also fully fenced if you have kids or dogs.
-
2019-05-03soldstatus
-
2019-04-30soldstatus
-
2019-03-02$224,900
-
2019-03-01$224,900
-
2016-06-09soldstatus
-
2016-06-08soldstatus
-
2016-03-11$199,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AK · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,432 · $286/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,768 · $314/mo
- Expected delta
- +$337/yr (+$28/mo · 9.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,325
- − Property taxes
- −$3,432
- − Insurance
- −$1,725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,464
- − Management
- −$2,464
- − Depreciation
- −$10,036
- Taxable loss
- −$8,650
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,076
- After-tax cash flow
- $-463/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fairbanks North Star Borough School District
- NCES district ID
- 0200600
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,697
- Composite
- 35.5/100
- National rank
- #4915
- State rank
- #10 of 21 in AK
Livability — Badger
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #15681
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Badger, AK
- County
- Fairbanks North Star Borough · 69,381 people
- City population
- 22,281
- Metro
- Fairbanks, AK
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,769
- Household income
- $96,964
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 237.0
Population outlook (Fairbanks North Star County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 101,607 people
- By 2030
- 102,796 · +1.2%
- By 2040
- 104,748 · +3.1%
- By 2050
- 107,598 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 118,829 · +16.9%
- By 2100
- 127,151 · +25.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 4% Black 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 3% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fairbanks North Star
- 2016 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 37.7% · R 52.9% · Other 9.4%
- All cycles
- 2016: R+15.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.32%
- Current HPI
- 157.102
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.08%
- Metro
- Fairbanks, AK
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+72.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — AKMLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $345,000 AKMLS
- 2024-09-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2024-09-06 Sold (MLS) — GFBR
- 2024-05-04 Delisted — GFBR
- 2024-04-23 Listed $314,900 GFBR
- 2022-10-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-10-06 Sold (MLS) — GFBR
- 2022-06-17 Listed $309,900 GFBR
- 2019-05-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-04-30 Sold (MLS) — GFBR
- 2019-03-02 Listed $224,900 GFBR
- 2019-03-01 Listed $224,900 AKMLS
- 2016-06-09 Sold (MLS) — GFBR
- 2016-06-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-03-11 Listed $199,900 GFBR
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,432 · -16.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…