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513 Pinehurst Ave
C- Composite 50.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,500

513 Pinehurst Ave · Colonial Heights, VA 23834
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,108 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1956 0.32 ac lot Est $238k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment Special!!!! This 3 bedroom 1 full bath in Colonial Heights and in the Tussing school district is perfect for an investor to add to their portfolio! This home is Sold as Is and will not go FHA or VA. The location is convenient to schools, interstates, shopping, dining, doctors and so much more!!!

Key facts

  • 0.32 acre lot
  • Built 1956
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.32 acres; Assessed value provided but excluded from detailed listing
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: HOA details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: One-story home; Above-grade finished living area 1,108; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Composition roof; Built (actual year not specified)
  • Exterior features: Lot zoned R2

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms not specified
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Total of 6 rooms; Resale condition
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry and utility details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-44/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (0.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (17.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.2% in Colonial Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#146 in VA, #4,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, crime F.
  • Colonial Heights City Public School District (suburban): math 52% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #67 of 131 in VA (top 51%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Tussing Elementary (math 58% / reading 71%, grade B, #416 of 1,108 statewide, top 41%, 623 students, 84% FRL); Colonial Heights Middle (math 49% / reading 64%, grade B, #184 of 342 statewide, top 54%, 598 students, 86% FRL); Colonial Heights High (math 82% / reading 77%, grade A-, #63 of 319 statewide, top 22%, 876 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 37% district-wide (48 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 17 units permitted in Colonial Heights city in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Colonial Heights County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $13k; list at $190k implies a 1306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 42% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $156,828 (17.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.08%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$238,220
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
607 Pinehurst Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,061 (-4%) 12mo $247,000 $233 78
525 Roslyn Ave 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,025 (-8%) 11mo $220,000 $215 68
231 Cameron Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,078 (-3%) 6mo $210,000 $195 62
500 Floral Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,196 (+8%) 4mo $214,000 $179 61
514 Chestnut Ave 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,264 (+14%) 12mo $309,000 $244 59
817 Lafayette Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,104 (-0%) 9mo $155,000 $140 58
228 Washington Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 999 (-10%) 4mo $250,000 $250 55
212 Norfolk Ave 0.75mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+6%) 4mo $162,500 $138 52
828 Miller St 0.72mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,072 (-3%) 8mo $142,500 $133 45
914 Kensington 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 973 (-12%) 7mo $210,000 $216 44
231 Lafayette Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 984 (-11%) 9mo $150,000 $152 42
306 Richmond Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,232 (+11%) 13mo $285,000 $231 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-23,536
Equity at exit
$28,255
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$12,561
Equity at exit
$16,384

Cash invested: $53,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23834

Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,568 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$994
Tax from tax record
$170 /mo · $2,039/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$329
Net cashflow
$-4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,573
Max offer price $188,851
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $104 -5% $50 +0% $-4 +5% $-57 +10% $-111
Rent -10% $-128 -5% $-66 +0% $-4 +5% $58 +10% $120
Rate -1.0pp $92 -0.5pp $45 base $-4 +0.5pp $-53 +1.0pp $-103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,375
Closing costs
$5,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Floral Ave Colonial Heights, VA 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,895 $1.58 25d 1 0.38mi
147 Witten St Petersburg, VA 3.0 1.0 1170 $1,495 $1.28 12d 1 0.50mi
815 Floral Ave Colonial Heights, VA 3.0 1.0 908 $1,500 $1.65 22d 1 0.50mi
707 Hamilton Ave Colonial Heights, VA 2.0 1.0 999 $1,325 $1.33 13d 1 0.53mi
114 Lee Ave Colonial Heights, VA 2.0 1.5 1088 $1,750 $1.61 25d 1 0.71mi
1118 Jett Ave Colonial Heights, VA 2.0 1.0 780 $1,400 $1.79 13d 1 0.84mi
250 E Bank St Petersburg, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 862 $1,509 $1.75 3d 19 0.85mi
406 Bradsher Ave Unit A Colonial Heights, VA 2.0 1.0 940 $1,050 $1.12 25d 1 1.02mi
30 Franklin St Petersburg, VA 2.0 1.0–2.0 755 $1,550 $2.05 21d 1 1.11mi
212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA 4.0 1.5 1400 $1,295 $0.93 45d 1 1.18mi
212 E Wythe St Unit 1 Petersburg, VA 4.0 1.5 1400 $1,295 $0.93 25d 1 1.18mi
9 S Market St Petersburg, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 721 $1,350 $1.87 19d 6 1.31mi
1500 Concord Ave Unit 02 02 Colonial Heights, VA 2.0 1.5 915 $1,300 $1.42 3d 1 1.31mi
1400 Branders Bridge Rd Colonial Heights, VA 2.0 1.0–1.5 1034 $1,132 $1.09 3d 1 1.36mi
16 S Market St Petersburg, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 769 $2,312 $3.01 3d 17 1.37mi
445 Roundtop Ave Petersburg, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,050 $1.40 3d 3 1.44mi
424 Roundtop Ave Petersburg, VA 3.0 1.0 988 $1,350 $1.37 45d 1 1.48mi
109 Perry St Petersburg, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 787 $1,577 $2.00 4d 15 1.49mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $189,500 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,500 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    remarks 308-char remark
  4. 2026-06-13
    listed $189,500 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,039 · $170/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,039 · $170/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 42% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,819
− Mortgage interest
−$10,615
− Property taxes
−$2,039
− Insurance
−$948
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,506
− Management
−$1,506
− Depreciation
−$5,513
Taxable loss
−$3,306
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$793
After-tax cash flow
$749/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colonial Heights City Public School District
NCES district ID
5100960
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -31.00%
Reading proficiency
64% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$50,368
Composite
49.41/100
National rank
#2011
State rank
#67 of 131 in VA

Livability — Colonial Heights

Score
74/100
State rank
#146
US rank
#4726

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Colonial Heights, VA
County
Chesterfield County · 406,988 people
City population
26,628
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
26,628
Household income
$84,338
Rent vs Own
26.4% rent · 73.6% own
Severe rent burden
814.0

Population outlook (Colonial Heights County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,627 people
By 2030
19,110 · +2.6%
By 2040
20,215 · +8.5%
By 2050
21,424 · +15.0%
By 2075
24,692 · +32.6%
By 2100
26,164 · +40.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Colonial Heights

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.5) · D 33.4% · R 65.8%
2008→2024 swing
+8.2pp toward D · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -32.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.5 2020: R+33.2 2016: R+39.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.28%
Current HPI
294.4478
Rent YoY
▲ 7.50%
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1306.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $189,500 CVRMLS
  • 1966-05-19 Sold (Public Records) $13,475 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,039 · +14.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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