1309 Danville Ct · College Station, TX 77845

$287,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market

Built 2001 7,800 sqft lot $169/sqft · 9% below area Est $318k · 9% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +11.7/15.0
• Cash flow +9.5/30.0
• Schools +4.7/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• 1% rule +3.0/10.0
• DSCR +2.7/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Updated home in Alexandria. Kitchen, living room and bathrooms have all been updated with new flooring. Master bedroom has his and her closets. The home sits on a quiet cul-de-sac in desireable Alexandria subdivision.

Key facts

• Spacious living area
• Natural light
• Freshly painted

Tags

• FENCED BACKYARD
• SPACIOUS LIVING AREA
• NATURAL LIGHT
• FRESHLY PAINTED
• WELL MAINTAINED

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces
• Security: Smoke detectors
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Entry level: One
• Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built: (not provided)
• Exterior features: Wood fencing; Subdivision: Alexandria

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments; Disposal
• Laundry & utility: Electric water heater; Water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $288k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-198 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (12.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $230k (20.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $230k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.3% in College Station — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#11 in TX, #994 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-.
• College Station ISD (urban): math 58% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #113 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Creek View El (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 476 students, 55% FRL); College Station Middle (math 51% / reading 56%, grade C+, #275 of 1,662 statewide, top 17%, 645 students, 46% FRL); College Station H S (math 78% / reading 61%, grade B, #119 of 1,632 statewide, top 9%, 2,134 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 24% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1179 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($284k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 91% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $229,998 (20.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.80% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.47%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.95%
• DSCR: 0.87
• GRM: 10.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $317,769
• List price: $287,900
• Delta: -9.40%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1303 Skyline Ct	0.30mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,683 (-1%)	3mo	$317,000	$188	77
1736 Starling Dr	0.37mi	4/2.0	1,645 (-3%)	2mo	$319,000	$194	76
1725 Purple Martin Cv	0.27mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,780 (+5%)	1mo	$324,900	$183	73
1723 Creekside Cir	0.16mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,545 (-9%)	1mo	$335,000	$217	72
3801 Snowdance Ct	0.56mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,704 (+0%)	0mo	$335,000	$197	68
905 Whitewing Ln	0.51mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,714 (+1%)	3mo	$319,000	$186	68
904 Turtle Dove	0.37mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,596 (-6%)	4mo	$314,000	$197	64
3804 Bridle Trails Ct	0.50mi	4/2.0	1,846 (+9%)	1mo	$340,000	$184	61
14105 Renee Ln	0.66mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,745 (+3%)	1mo	$380,000	$218	59
1414 Kernstown Ln	0.42mi	4/2.0	1,914 (+13%)	1mo	$370,000	$193	59
3902 Bridgeberry Ct	0.54mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,851 (+9%)	3mo	$300,000	$162	53
4016 Windfree Dr	0.65mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,468 (-14%)	3mo	$279,900	$191	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.13% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -21.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.27×
• Total profit: $-58,942
• Equity at exit: $42,927

10-year hold

• IRR: -14.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.18×
• Total profit: $-66,160
• Equity at exit: $24,892

Cash invested: $80,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77845

• Rents YoY: 3.1%
• Active inventory: 1179
• Price-to-rent: 10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,300 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,510
• Tax from tax record: −$386 /mo · $4,629/yr
• Insurance: −$120
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$483
• Net cashflow: $-198

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,551

Max offer price $252,836

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-36	-5% $-117	+0% $-198	+5% $-280	+10% $-361
Rent	-10% $-380	-5% $-289	+0% $-198	+5% $-108	+10% $-17
Rate	-1.0pp $-54	-0.5pp $-125	base $-198	+0.5pp $-273	+1.0pp $-349

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $71,975
• Closing costs: $8,637
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1001 Emerald Dove Ave College Station, TX	4.0	2.0	2180	$2,380	$1.09	45d	1	0.29mi
1029 Fallbrook Loop College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1314	$2,000	$1.52	15d	1	0.32mi
1027 Fallbrook Loop College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1566	$2,000	$1.28	46d	1	0.32mi
922 Turtle Dove Trl College Station, TX	4.0	3.0	1764	$2,200	$1.25	45d	1	0.36mi
1001 Fallbrook Loop College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1414	$2,000	$1.41	45d	1	0.41mi
916 Crested Point Dr College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1183	$2,000	$1.69	23d	1	0.43mi
1407 Front Royal Dr College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1479	$2,000	$1.35	45d	1	0.43mi
3717 Dove Crossing Ln College Station, TX	4.0	3.0	1692	$2,100	$1.24	45d	1	0.44mi
1002 Crested Point Dr College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1265	$2,200	$1.74	45d	1	0.50mi
1505 Richland Ct N College Station, TX	4.0	2.0	1610	$2,250	$1.40	23d	1	0.51mi
3824 Springfield Dr Unit 1328078P College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1711	$5,011	$2.93	15d	1	0.53mi
3815 Snowdance Ct College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1654	$2,100	$1.27	45d	1	0.53mi
913 Delrey Dr College Station, TX	4.0	2.5	2103	$2,700	$1.28	15d	1	0.59mi
3608 Glenna Ct Unit 3610 College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1390	$1,300	$0.94	23d	1	0.61mi
4009 Hunter Creek Dr College Station, TX	4.0	2.0	1787	$2,000	$1.12	23d	1	0.62mi
903 Crepe Myrtle St College Station, TX	3.0	3.0	1335	$1,800	$1.35	23d	1	0.67mi
2506 Leyla Ln College Station, TX	4.0	2.0	1660	$2,300	$1.39	46d	1	0.72mi
4011 Windswept Dr College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1314	$2,000	$1.52	45d	1	0.73mi
1202 Harrisonburg Ln College Station, TX	4.0	2.0	1915	$2,500	$1.31	45d	1	0.77mi
2545 Leyla Ln College Station, TX	4.0	3.0	1998	$2,950	$1.48	23d	1	0.80mi
2547 Leyla Ln College Station, TX	3.0	2.5	1718	$2,800	$1.63	23d	1	0.80mi
1216 Bridgewater Dr College Station, TX	4.0	2.5	2187	$2,450	$1.12	15d	1	0.92mi
114 Rugen Ln College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1627	$2,200	$1.35	45d	1	0.93mi
3709 Oldenburg Ln College Station, TX	3.0	3.0	1338	$1,600	$1.20	45d	1	0.98mi
144 Roucourt Loop College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1670	$2,250	$1.35	45d	1	1.04mi
4307 Spring Hill Dr College Station, TX	3.0	3.0	1882	$2,200	$1.17	23d	1	1.05mi
2802 Silver Oak Dr College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1353	$1,950	$1.44	45d	1	1.11mi
4232 Rocky Rhodes Dr College Station, TX	4.0	2.0	1818	$2,600	$1.43	15d	1	1.22mi
438 William D Fitch Pkwy College Station, TX	3.0	2.5	1836	$2,900	$1.58	15d	1	1.22mi
760 Double Mountain Rd College Station, TX	3.0	2.5	1828	$2,400	$1.31	23d	1	1.27mi
1312 McQueeny Dr College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1969	$2,150	$1.09	23d	1	1.27mi
1012 Amistad Loop College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1598	$2,350	$1.47	15d	1	1.33mi
3013 Normand Dr College Station, TX	3.0	1.5	1479	$1,600	$1.08	15d	1	1.34mi
967 Toledo Bend Dr College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1859	$2,300	$1.24	23d	1	1.35mi
1206 Amistad Loop College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1556	$2,100	$1.35	45d	1	1.35mi
1218 Amistad Loop College Station, TX	3.0	2.5	1855	$2,300	$1.24	23d	1	1.38mi
2301 Norham Dr College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1411	$2,250	$1.59	15d	1	1.39mi
975 Lady Bird Ln College Station, TX	3.0	2.5	1829	$2,450	$1.34	45d	1	1.39mi
960 Lady Bird Ln College Station, TX	3.0	2.5	1565	$2,200	$1.41	15d	1	1.39mi
889 Kickapoo Ln College Station, TX	3.0	2.0	1490	$2,250	$1.51	45d	1	1.41mi

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-05-03
   listed $287,900 Active 352-char remark
2. 2026-01-14
   historical $1,875
3. 2026-01-07
   listed $1,875
4. 2024-02-23
   historical $2,000
5. 2024-01-29
   price $2,000
6. 2023-10-20
   listed $2,100
7. 2015-05-11
   soldstatus 217-char remark

   Show marketing remark (217 chars)

   Updated home in Alexandria. Kitchen, living room and bathrooms have all been updated with new flooring. Master bedroom has his and her closets. The home sits on a quiet cul-de-sac in desireable Alexandria subdivision.

8. 2015-05-08
   soldstatus
9. 2015-03-31
   listed $179,900 217-char remark

   Show marketing remark (217 chars)

   Updated home in Alexandria. Kitchen, living room and bathrooms have all been updated with new flooring. Master bedroom has his and her closets. The home sits on a quiet cul-de-sac in desireable Alexandria subdivision.

10. 2001-12-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $4,629 · $386/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,269 · $439/mo
• Expected delta: +$640/yr (+$53/mo · 13.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 91% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $27,600
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,127
• − Property taxes: −$4,629
• − Insurance: −$1,440
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,208
• − Management: −$2,208
• − Depreciation: −$8,375
• Taxable loss: −$7,387
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,773
• After-tax cash flow: $-609/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: College Station ISD
• NCES district ID: 4807350
• Math proficiency: 58% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $36,991
• Composite: 46.54/100
• National rank: #2428
• State rank: #113 of 826 in TX

Livability — College Station

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #11
• US rank: #994

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment C- Housing A- Health & safety B User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: College Station, TX
• County: Brazos County · 233,400 people
• City population: 131,628
• Metro: College Station-Bryan, TX
• Population (ZIP): 76,764
• Household income: $88,851
• Rent vs Own: 37.2% rent · 62.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 3329.0

Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 267,942 people
• By 2030: 296,630 · +10.7%
• By 2040: 354,560 · +32.3%
• By 2050: 414,616 · +54.7%
• By 2075: 562,158 · +109.8%
• By 2100: 678,828 · +153.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (69%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 69% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 5%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
• Languages at home: 83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Brazos

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -133.31%
• Current HPI: 175.9669
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.13%
• Metro: College Station-Bryan, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+60.0% since first listed

11 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-24 Pending — BCSRMLS
• 2026-05-03 Listed $287,900 BCSRMLS
• 2026-01-14 Rental Removed $1,875 BCSRMLS
• 2026-01-07 Listed for Rent $1,875 BCSRMLS
• 2024-02-23 Rental Removed $2,000 BCSRMLS
• 2024-01-29 Price Changed $2,000 BCSRMLS
• 2023-10-20 Listed for Rent $2,100 BCSRMLS
• 2015-05-11 Sold (MLS) — BCSRMLS
• 2015-05-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2015-03-31 Listed $179,900 BCSRMLS
• 2001-12-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,629 · -15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.