5609 Court O · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 1-story home featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a functional layout. The kitchen connects to the living area, creating a comfortable space for everyday living. Enjoy a spacious backyard with room for outdoor activities or customization. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value! One or more photos has been virtually staged.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Built 1947
- Listed 85 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 122 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (38%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.76%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,129
- List price
- $69,999
- Delta
- 4.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5541 Court P | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 1,035 (+4%) | 1mo | $35,000 | $34 | 85 |
| 1509 Burgin Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,011 (+2%) | 4mo | $17,500 | $17 | 78 |
| 5800 Court Q | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,024 (+3%) | 2mo | $111,000 | $108 | 75 |
| 1560 Meadow Ln | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+1%) | 1mo | $87,000 | $86 | 74 |
| 1407 57th Pl W | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,084 (+9%) | 4mo | $79,000 | $73 | 69 |
| 5512 Terrace J | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 972 (-2%) | 3mo | $22,000 | $23 | 66 |
| 5625 Avenue Q | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,103 (+11%) | 3mo | $22,000 | $20 | 64 |
| 5621 Avenue Q | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+14%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $63 | 60 |
| 4929 Avenue R | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 962 (-3%) | 5mo | $43,000 | $45 | 60 |
| 6144 Court M | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,066 (+7%) | 2mo | $76,000 | $71 | 59 |
| 2724 Lee Ave SW | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (-4%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $75 | 55 |
| 1604 44th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (+10%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $48 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $14,910
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.15×
- Total profit
- $61,655
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 122
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,044 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,074/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5516 Avenue P Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,000 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5717 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1029 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 5725 Avenue O Unit O Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,073 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5820 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5832 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $950 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5714 Court M Unit 5720 Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $700 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5219 Court Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,200 | $1.11 | 19d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5320 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1340 Pineview Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 5211 Ter Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $775 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1012 33rd St SW Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1781 51st Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1069 | $950 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 5710 Monte Sano Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1045 57th St Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $775 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1429 47th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $750 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1272 Meadow Ln Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $800 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5712 Monte Sano Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4929 Avenue R Unit R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4724 Court R Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $895 | $0.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1604 44th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 612 26th St SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $825 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1417 Brighton Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2519 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $975 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1540 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 899 | $1,037 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 920 47th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $895 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5503 Myron Massey Blvd Fairfield, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 4813 Court S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,125 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1520 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1068 | $1,195 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1429 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1036 | $850 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 407 S Park Rd SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $900 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 813 46th St Fairfield, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $825 | $0.75 | 10d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1420 Warrior Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 3000 Dawson Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $925 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 2709 Powderly Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $950 | $0.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2216 Lee Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $900 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1112 S Gale Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1053 | $1,175 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 931 41st Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1048 | $995 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 208 22nd St SW Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 926 | $1,050 | $1.13 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1306 35th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,173 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1417 34th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1103 | $1,025 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,999 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,999 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,999 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,999 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $69,999 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $74,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $74,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $74,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $74,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $74,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $74,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $74,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $74,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-05-10price $74,900 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Charming 1-story home featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a functional layout. The kitchen connects to the living area, creating a comfortable space for everyday living. Enjoy a spacious backyard with room for outdoor activities or customization. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value! One or more photos has been virtually staged.
-
2026-04-25price $99,950 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Charming 1-story home featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a functional layout. The kitchen connects to the living area, creating a comfortable space for everyday living. Enjoy a spacious backyard with room for outdoor activities or customization. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value! One or more photos has been virtually staged.
-
2026-03-25$113,600 Active 358-char remark
Show marketing remark (358 chars)
Charming 1-story home featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a functional layout. The kitchen connects to the living area, creating a comfortable space for everyday living. Enjoy a spacious backyard with room for outdoor activities or customization. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value! One or more photos has been virtually staged.
-
2024-05-15historical $915
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2024-05-13price $915
-
2024-05-09price $940
-
2024-05-03price $985
-
2024-04-22price $995
-
2024-04-12price $1,045
-
2024-03-23$1,090
-
2022-03-20price $845
-
2022-03-16price $845
-
2021-07-23soldstatus $1,269,000
-
2017-09-07soldstatus $130,000
-
2017-06-28soldstatus $72,000
-
2009-10-13soldstatus $12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,074 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,074 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,074
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,002
- − Management
- −$1,002
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $3,142
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$754
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,314/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+499.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Price Changed $74,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $99,950 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $113,600 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-05-15 Rental Removed $915 RENT.
- 2024-05-13 Price Changed $915 RENT.
- 2024-05-09 Price Changed $940 RENT.
- 2024-05-03 Price Changed $985 RENT.
- 2024-04-22 Price Changed $995 RENT.
- 2024-04-12 Price Changed $1,045 RENT.
- 2024-03-23 Listed for Rent $1,090 RENT.
- 2022-03-20 Price Changed $845 RENT.
- 2022-03-16 Price Changed $845 RENT.
- 2021-07-23 Sold (Public Records) $1,269,000 Public Records
- 2017-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2017-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2009-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $12,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,074 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…