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101 Gatchell St 🏷️ Likely Rental
A Composite 87.17
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$119,900

101 Gatchell St · Buffalo, NY 14212
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,586 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1900 3,300 sqft lot $76/sqft · 29% below area Est $168k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity! Spacious 2-family home located off Bailey Ave featuring a total of 8 bedrooms and strong income potential. The front apartment is vacant and move-in ready, offering a living room, large kitchen with new flooring, 2 bedrooms, full bathroom, and convenient in-unit laundry hookups. Perfect for an owner-occupant or ready for a new tenant immediately. The rear duplex apartment is currently rented to long-term tenants paying $1,250/month. This spacious unit features a first floor with living room, dining room, large kitchen, full bathroom, and 2 bedrooms. The second floor includes 4 large bedrooms, providing plenty of space for a large household. Potential gross inco

Key facts

  • 2 family home
  • Long term tenants
  • In unit laundry

Tags

2 FAMILY HOMEIN UNIT LAUNDRYLONG TERM TENANTSCASH FLOW INVESTMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Two total units; One unit currently rents for $1,250; Operating expense details and what owner pays: see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: No driveway
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story building; Existing structure
  • Construction: Construction details: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 30 x 110

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: One unit has 6 bedrooms; One unit has 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms total (building); Each unit includes 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating (details in remarks)
  • Interior features: Resale condition; Two separate electric meters and two separate gas meters (multi-unit)
  • Laundry & utility: Utilities included vary by unit (see remarks)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $119,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$167,823) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $540/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $120k implies a 439% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,303 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
17.11%
Cash-on-cash
38.62%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$167,823
List price
$119,900
Delta
-28.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
21 Liddell St 0.33mi 6/1.5 1,610 (+2%) 5mo $53,000 $33 76
362 Davey St 0.65mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,640 (+3%) 2mo $92,000 $56 57
227 Ashley St 0.53mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,776 (+12%) 5mo $145,000 $82 46
221 May St 0.48mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,794 (+13%) 8mo $91,000 $51 44
250 Gold St 0.74mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,646 (+4%) 12mo $190,000 $115 44
141 Moselle St 0.71mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,730 (+9%) 8mo $30,000 $17 40
304 Longnecker St 0.54mi 7/2.5 (+1) 1,803 (+14%) 14mo $123,768 $69 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
54.1%
Equity multiple
4.99×
Total profit
$134,082
Equity at exit
$108,015
10-year hold
IRR
47.6%
Equity multiple
11.15×
Total profit
$340,654
Equity at exit
$232,939

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14212

Home prices YoY
20.4%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,268 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $390/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$476
Net cashflow
$1,081

Break-even live

Break-even rent $900
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,148 -5% $1,114 +0% $1,081 +5% $1,047 +10% $1,013
Rent -10% $901 -5% $991 +0% $1,081 +5% $1,170 +10% $1,260
Rate -1.0pp $1,141 -0.5pp $1,111 base $1,081 +0.5pp $1,049 +1.0pp $1,018

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,268

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY 5.0 1.5 1848 $1,500 $0.81 24d 1 1.28mi

Listing history 48 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    pricedays on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $129,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    listed $129,900 Active 912-char remark
  16. 2024-02-11
    historical
  17. 2023-12-05
    price $109,900
  18. 2023-11-16
    listed $119,900 Active
  19. 2023-07-06
    historical
  20. 2023-06-30
    price $104,900
  21. 2023-06-09
    price $109,900
  22. 2023-05-24
    price $119,900
  23. 2023-05-12
    listed $129,900 Active
  24. 2017-06-13
    historical
  25. 2017-05-16
    price $44,750
  26. 2017-05-08
    price $44,800
  27. 2017-05-01
    listed $44,900 Active
  28. 2017-01-06
    status Active
  29. 2016-12-31
    historical
  30. 2016-12-31
    historical
  31. 2016-11-21
    price $34,900
  32. 2016-10-26
    price $35,900
  33. 2016-09-20
    price $37,900
  34. 2016-09-14
    price $38,900
  35. 2016-08-25
    listed $39,900 Active
  36. 2016-08-09
    historical
  37. 2016-05-30
    historical Under Contract- Do Not Show
  38. 2016-05-27
    status Active
  39. 2016-05-17
    historical
  40. 2016-04-27
    price $39,900
  41. 2016-03-31
    price $44,900
  42. 2016-03-22
    listed $49,900 Active
  43. 2015-09-09
    historical
  44. 2015-08-17
    price $46,900
  45. 2015-07-13
    price $52,899
  46. 2015-06-17
    price $59,899
  47. 2015-06-09
    listed $59,900 Active
  48. 1995-12-05
    soldstatus $22,234

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$390 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,208 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$818/yr (+$68/mo · 210.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,216
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$390
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,177
− Management
−$2,177
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$11,668
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,800
After-tax cash flow
$10,166/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
City population
440,021
Population (ZIP)
13,603

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
Race & ethnicity
White 32% Black 27% Asian 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Philippines, Canada, China
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Indo-European 18% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 79.80%
Current HPI
471.6399
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+439.3% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Price Changed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
  • 2024-02-11 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-12-05 Price Changed $109,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-11-16 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-07-06 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-06-30 Price Changed $104,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-06-09 Price Changed $109,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-24 Price Changed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 2023-05-12 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-06-13 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2017-05-16 Price Changed $44,750 WNYREIS
  • 2017-05-08 Price Changed $44,800 WNYREIS
  • 2017-05-01 Listed $44,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-01-06 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2016-12-31 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-12-31 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-11-21 Price Changed $34,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-10-26 Price Changed $35,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-09-20 Price Changed $37,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-09-14 Price Changed $38,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-08-25 Listed $39,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-08-09 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-05-30 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2016-05-27 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2016-05-17 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2016-04-27 Price Changed $39,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-03-31 Price Changed $44,900 WNYREIS
  • 2016-03-22 Listed $49,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-09-09 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2015-08-17 Price Changed $46,900 WNYREIS
  • 2015-07-13 Price Changed $52,899 WNYREIS
  • 2015-06-17 Price Changed $59,899 WNYREIS
  • 2015-06-09 Listed $59,900 WNYREIS
  • 1995-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $22,234 Public Records

Property tax history

+18.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $390 · +309.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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