Multi-family
1550 Main Rd · Jamesport, NY
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$839,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Fully renovated and beautifully designed mixed-use property located on Main Road in Jamesport offering both residential and commercial flexibility in a highly visible North Fork location. The property currently features a storefront/gallery space connected to a thoughtfully updated residential layout with additional upside through the unfinished loft, basement, and rear outdoor space. The residential portion is presently configured as a 2-bedroom, 1-bath residence, with town records reflecting a prior 3-bedroom configuration. The unfinished second-floor loft offers strong expansion potential for additional living area, studio space, office use, or value-add possibilities depending on buyer
Key facts
- Unfinished loft
- Private driveway
- Rear yard access
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking; Private parking; Unpaved parking
- Security: Security system; Video cameras
- Utilities: Cesspool sewer; Electricity available and connected; Water available and connected; Cable available; Phone available; Private trash collection
- Home design: Triplex; Updated/remodeled condition
- Construction: Frame construction; Block foundation; Basement with full, unfinished storage and walk-out access; Bilco doors and crawl space; Attic with stairs, storage, unfinished area and walkup
- Exterior features: Back yard; Near golf course; Near public transit; Near shops; Near school; Security system; Video cameras
Interior
- Kitchen: Open kitchen
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit (multi-unit property)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating (oil-fired); Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Ceiling fans; High-speed internet available; Open kitchen; Storage space; Washer/dryer hookup
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $839k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($54k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $839k).
- Recommended offer: $826k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 46/100 on livability (#1,185 in NY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Riverhead Central School District (suburban): math 34% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #489 of 590 in NY (top 83%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Aquebogue Elementary School (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 474 students, 40% FRL); Riverhead Middle School (math 18% / reading 35%, grade F, #594 of 729 statewide, top 81%, 827 students, 57% FRL); Riverhead Senior High School (math 80% / reading 86%, grade A, #440 of 1,100 statewide, top 40%, 2,001 students, 52% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 54% at this address vs 41% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Riverhead Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $235k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($826k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $655k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.97%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $150,444
- Equity at exit
- $125,098
- IRR
- 24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $499,923
- Equity at exit
- $72,541
Cash invested: $234,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11901
- Home prices YoY
- -29.5%
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $12,736 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,400
- Tax from tax record
- −$816 /mo · $9,793/yr
- Insurance
- −$350
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,675
- Net cashflow
- $4,496
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,971 | -5% $4,733 | +0% $4,496 | +5% $4,258 | +10% $4,021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,490 | -5% $3,993 | +0% $4,496 | +5% $4,999 | +10% $5,502 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,918 | -0.5pp $4,709 | base $4,496 | +0.5pp $4,279 | +1.0pp $4,057 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $12,736 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $6,368 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $6,368 |
| Total (2 units) | $12,736 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $209,750
- Closing costs
- $25,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144 Manor Ln Jamesport, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $9,500 | $4.52 | 5d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1727 Main Rd Unit 1538864P Laurel, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1937 | $7,548 | $3.90 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 23 Scallop Ln South Jamesport, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1285 | $25,000 | $19.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 7 Eileen Cir Jamesport, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $10,000 | $6.36 | 20d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 33 Beach Rd Laurel, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1607 | $4,500 | $2.80 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $839,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $839,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $839,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $839,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $839,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $839,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $839,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $839,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
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2026-06-07$839,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,793 · $816/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $11,986 · $999/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,193/yr (+$183/mo · 22.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $152,832
- − Mortgage interest
- −$46,997
- − Property taxes
- −$9,793
- − Insurance
- −$4,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$12,227
- − Management
- −$12,227
- − Depreciation
- −$24,407
- Taxable income
- $42,986
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$10,317
- After-tax cash flow
- $43,635/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Riverhead Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624690
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,607
- Composite
- 36.38/100
- National rank
- #4683
- State rank
- #489 of 590 in NY
Livability — Jamesport
- Score
- 46/100
- State rank
- #1185
- US rank
- #26497
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jamesport, NY
- City population
- 716
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,921
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 14% Black 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 26% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.60%
- Current HPI
- 436.7781
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+28.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $839,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $655,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $9,793 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…