1924 73rd St · Lubbock, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.7/15.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
You won't find a better home for the price! Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,297 square feet of comfortable living space plus a versatile bonus room. From the moment you walk in, you'll notice the spacious living area featuring abundant natural light and a functional layout perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet and counter space and opens to a cozy dining area, making it ideal for everyday living and gatherings. The bonus room provides flexible space that can be used as a second living area, home office, craft room, or playroom. The bedrooms are well-sized with great closet space, and the bathroom has been well cared for and is clean and functional. Outside, you'll find a large backyard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors, plus a storage shed for additional space and organization. This home has been very well maintained and is move-in ready, making it a great option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Don't miss your opportunity to see this charming, well-cared-for home in a convenient Lubbock location!
Key facts
- Cozy dining area
- Large backyard
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $72 ($869/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.14%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,814
- List price
- $145,000
- Delta
- 8.36%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 8 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-20,046
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-16,202
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79423
- Rents YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 663
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,366 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,232/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$287
- Net cashflow
- $72
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1921 S Loop 289 Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 2105 South Loop 289 Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $950 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1923 76th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $1,699 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1927 71st St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $1,600 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 1816 75th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2113 S Loop 289 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $849 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 2113 South Loop 289 Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $900 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1940 77th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,500 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 2128 74th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1132 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 7304 Avenue W Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $999 | $0.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7006 Avenue S Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 7404 W Avenue Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $825 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2401 73rd St Unit 14 Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $800 | $0.84 | 13d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1923 67th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1467 | $1,525 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7406 Waco Ave Unit C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1831 | $750 | $0.41 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1805 79th Pl Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1284 | $1,375 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6518 Avenue S Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $700 | $0.71 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1625 79th Pl Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1541 | $1,650 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 8108 Sherman Ave Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,400 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1606 82nd St Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $1,580 | $1.87 | 13d | 16 | 0.56mi |
| 8217 Avenue U Lubbock, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $1,570 | $1.80 | 13d | 28 | 0.66mi |
| 6130 Avenue P Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1387 | $1,100 | $0.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1341 65th Dr Unit C Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $695 | $0.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 8214 Vernon Ave Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,100 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1512 82nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1508 82nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $750 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2303 84th St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1115 80th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1113 80th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2726 68th St Lubbock, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1524 | $1,800 | $1.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1118 82nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8606 Avenue V Unit V Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,075 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1116 82nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1112 82nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1307 61st St Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1073 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1108 82nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1106 82nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1243 | $950 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 2612 81st St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,100 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 914 82nd St Unit B Lubbock, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $900 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2401 87th St Unit A Lubbock, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,125 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $145,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $145,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $145,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $145,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $145,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $145,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $145,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-07status Active 1116-char remark
Show marketing remark (1116 chars)
You won't find a better home for the price! Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,297 square feet of comfortable living space plus a versatile bonus room. From the moment you walk in, you'll notice the spacious living area featuring abundant natural light and a functional layout perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet and counter space and opens to a cozy dining area, making it ideal for everyday living and gatherings. The bonus room provides flexible space that can be used as a second living area, home office, craft room, or playroom. The bedrooms are well-sized with great closet space, and the bathroom has been well cared for and is clean and functional. Outside, you'll find a large backyard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors, plus a storage shed for additional space and organization. This home has been very well maintained and is move-in ready, making it a great option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Don't miss your opportunity to see this charming, well-cared-for home in a convenient Lubbock location!
-
2026-04-09status Pending 1116-char remark
Show marketing remark (1116 chars)
You won't find a better home for the price! Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,297 square feet of comfortable living space plus a versatile bonus room. From the moment you walk in, you'll notice the spacious living area featuring abundant natural light and a functional layout perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet and counter space and opens to a cozy dining area, making it ideal for everyday living and gatherings. The bonus room provides flexible space that can be used as a second living area, home office, craft room, or playroom. The bedrooms are well-sized with great closet space, and the bathroom has been well cared for and is clean and functional. Outside, you'll find a large backyard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors, plus a storage shed for additional space and organization. This home has been very well maintained and is move-in ready, making it a great option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Don't miss your opportunity to see this charming, well-cared-for home in a convenient Lubbock location!
-
2026-03-21$145,000 Active 1116-char remark
Show marketing remark (1116 chars)
You won't find a better home for the price! Welcome to this beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,297 square feet of comfortable living space plus a versatile bonus room. From the moment you walk in, you'll notice the spacious living area featuring abundant natural light and a functional layout perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet and counter space and opens to a cozy dining area, making it ideal for everyday living and gatherings. The bonus room provides flexible space that can be used as a second living area, home office, craft room, or playroom. The bedrooms are well-sized with great closet space, and the bathroom has been well cared for and is clean and functional. Outside, you'll find a large backyard with plenty of room to enjoy the outdoors, plus a storage shed for additional space and organization. This home has been very well maintained and is move-in ready, making it a great option for first-time buyers, downsizers, or investors. Don't miss your opportunity to see this charming, well-cared-for home in a convenient Lubbock location!
-
2025-11-03soldstatus
-
2025-11-03soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,232 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,654 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- +$422/yr (+$35/mo · 18.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,232
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,311
- − Management
- −$1,311
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$1,527
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$367
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,235/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lubbock ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4828500
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,820
- Composite
- 31.44/100
- National rank
- #5984
- State rank
- #481 of 826 in TX
Livability — Lubbock
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #37
- US rank
- #1749
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lubbock, TX
- County
- Lubbock County · 293,542 people
- City population
- 283,030
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,998
- Household income
- $84,933
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1385.0
Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 345,960 people
- By 2030
- 371,449 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 424,539 · +22.7%
- By 2050
- 481,150 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 633,467 · +83.1%
- By 2100
- 746,853 · +115.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.00%
- Current HPI
- 213.6491
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.13%
- Metro
- Lubbock, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — LARMLS
- 2026-04-09 Pending — LARMLS
- 2026-03-21 Listed $145,000 LARMLS
- 2025-11-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-11-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,232 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…