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274 Plan
C Composite 55.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

274 Plan · Fort Worth, TX 76040
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,560 sqft · SingleFamily · 956 Days on market
Excellent condition $138/sqft · 40% below area Est $358k · 40% under ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sales price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed. Property Address: 11109 Loblolly Lane, Euless TX 76040. Open concept floor plan featuring high ceilings with fans and crown molding. Spacious island kitchen has farm sink & stainless steel appliances. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. 10x10 storage shed. Landscape package included and 10x10 storage shed. Home is located in highly desirable neighborhood close to amenities, great schools HEB ISD, and major highways. Harston Woods Community is ideally located in the center of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, convenient to shopping malls, Six Flags, DFW airport, Great Wolf Lodge, Texas Rangers Ballpark and AT & T Stadium Home of the Dallas Cowboys! Harston Woods is a land-lease community. Monthly lot rental fees are $670 for standard lots and $705 for premium lots. License # MHDRET36197. Call 817-540-2000 for more information. (z). Price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed

Key facts

  • Listed 956 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (6.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Hurst-Euless-Bedford ISD (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #193 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Wilshire El (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,155 of 4,322 statewide, top 29%, 641 students, 64% FRL); Harwood J H (math 57% / reading 65%, grade B+, #145 of 1,662 statewide, top 9%, 1,038 students, 45% FRL); Trinity H S (math 62% / reading 17%, grade F, #821 of 1,632 statewide, top 53%, 2,665 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 88 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 956 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 956 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.85%
Cash-on-cash
1.99%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$357,641
List price
$215,000
Delta
-39.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.7%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-31,214
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-29,860
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76040

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Rents YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,007 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax est. 1.5%
$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,881
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $248 -5% $174 +0% $100 +5% $25 +10% $-49
Rent -10% $-59 -5% $20 +0% $100 +5% $179 +10% $258
Rate -1.0pp $208 -0.5pp $154 base $100 +0.5pp $44 +1.0pp $-13

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10684 Tube Dr Unit 502 Hurst, TX 3.0 2.0 1778 $1,895 $1.07 5d 1 0.44mi
10604 Tube Dr Unit 10684-502 Hurst, TX 3.0 2.0 1778 $1,895 $1.07 4d 1 0.50mi
10552 Tube Dr Unit 803 Hurst, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,995 $1.25 45d 1 0.50mi
10548 Tube Dr Unit 704 Hurst, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,995 $1.25 45d 1 0.50mi
10520 Tube Dr Unit 10552-803 Hurst, TX 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,995 $1.25 45d 1 0.52mi
3475 Valley Vista Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,995 $1.33 25d 1 0.54mi
3475 Valley Vista Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,095 $1.40 45d 1 0.54mi
3520 Garrett Rd Euless, TX 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,945 $1.69 0d 1 0.61mi
1601 Sotogrande Blvd Hurst, TX 3.0 1.0–2.0 1061 $2,175 $2.05 3d 227 0.76mi
1700 Sotogrande Blvd Hurst, TX 3.0 2.0 1321 $2,229 $1.69 8d 1 0.86mi
1304 Raider Dr Euless, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 835 $1,789 $2.14 0d 17 0.91mi
1736 Sotogrande Blvd Unit 3121 Hurst, TX 3.0 2.0 1286 $1,700 $1.32 0d 1 0.93mi
1736 Sotogrande Blvd Unit 1769 Hurst, TX 3.0 2.0 1286 $1,649 $1.28 0d 1 0.93mi
1401 Sotogrande Blvd Euless, TX 3.0 2.0 1286 $2,089 $1.62 5d 1 1.01mi
1401 Sotogrande Blvd Euless, TX 3.0 2.0 1248 $2,246 $1.80 25d 1 1.01mi
1209 Princeton Pl Euless, TX 3.0 2.0 1671 $2,300 $1.38 18d 1 1.04mi
10150 E Hurst Blvd Hurst, TX 3.0 1.0–2.0 917 $2,199 $2.40 45d 9 1.05mi
808 McCurry Ave Bedford, TX 3.0 2.0 1636 $2,100 $1.28 45d 1 1.23mi
2620 Britany Cir Bedford, TX 3.0 2.0 2097 $2,600 $1.24 23d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $215,000 Active 956 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 953 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 952 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $215,000 Active 951 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 950 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $215,000 Active 948 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 944 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 943 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 942 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $215,000 Active 939 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 938 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 937 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 936 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 935 DOM
  15. 2024-08-29
    price $215,000 983-char remark
    Show marketing remark (983 chars)

    Sales price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed. Property Address: 11109 Loblolly Lane, Euless TX 76040. Open concept floor plan featuring high ceilings with fans and crown molding. Spacious island kitchen has farm sink & stainless steel appliances. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. 10x10 storage shed. Landscape package included and 10x10 storage shed. Home is located in highly desirable neighborhood close to amenities, great schools HEB ISD, and major highways. Harston Woods Community is ideally located in the center of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, convenient to shopping malls, Six Flags, DFW airport, Great Wolf Lodge, Texas Rangers Ballpark and AT & T Stadium Home of the Dallas Cowboys! Harston Woods is a land-lease community. Monthly lot rental fees are $670 for standard lots and $705 for premium lots. License # MHDRET36197. Call 817-540-2000 for more information. (z). Price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed

  16. 2024-08-23
    price $205,000 983-char remark
    Show marketing remark (983 chars)

    Sales price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed. Property Address: 11109 Loblolly Lane, Euless TX 76040. Open concept floor plan featuring high ceilings with fans and crown molding. Spacious island kitchen has farm sink & stainless steel appliances. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. 10x10 storage shed. Landscape package included and 10x10 storage shed. Home is located in highly desirable neighborhood close to amenities, great schools HEB ISD, and major highways. Harston Woods Community is ideally located in the center of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, convenient to shopping malls, Six Flags, DFW airport, Great Wolf Lodge, Texas Rangers Ballpark and AT & T Stadium Home of the Dallas Cowboys! Harston Woods is a land-lease community. Monthly lot rental fees are $670 for standard lots and $705 for premium lots. License # MHDRET36197. Call 817-540-2000 for more information. (z). Price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed

  17. 2024-07-03
    price $220,000 983-char remark
    Show marketing remark (983 chars)

    Sales price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed. Property Address: 11109 Loblolly Lane, Euless TX 76040. Open concept floor plan featuring high ceilings with fans and crown molding. Spacious island kitchen has farm sink & stainless steel appliances. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. 10x10 storage shed. Landscape package included and 10x10 storage shed. Home is located in highly desirable neighborhood close to amenities, great schools HEB ISD, and major highways. Harston Woods Community is ideally located in the center of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, convenient to shopping malls, Six Flags, DFW airport, Great Wolf Lodge, Texas Rangers Ballpark and AT & T Stadium Home of the Dallas Cowboys! Harston Woods is a land-lease community. Monthly lot rental fees are $670 for standard lots and $705 for premium lots. License # MHDRET36197. Call 817-540-2000 for more information. (z). Price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed

  18. 2023-11-08
    listed $240,000 Active 983-char remark
    Show marketing remark (983 chars)

    Sales price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed. Property Address: 11109 Loblolly Lane, Euless TX 76040. Open concept floor plan featuring high ceilings with fans and crown molding. Spacious island kitchen has farm sink & stainless steel appliances. Large bedrooms with walk in closets. 10x10 storage shed. Landscape package included and 10x10 storage shed. Home is located in highly desirable neighborhood close to amenities, great schools HEB ISD, and major highways. Harston Woods Community is ideally located in the center of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex, convenient to shopping malls, Six Flags, DFW airport, Great Wolf Lodge, Texas Rangers Ballpark and AT & T Stadium Home of the Dallas Cowboys! Harston Woods is a land-lease community. Monthly lot rental fees are $670 for standard lots and $705 for premium lots. License # MHDRET36197. Call 817-540-2000 for more information. (z). Price is subject to change without notice and not guaranteed

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,082
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$3,225
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,927
− Management
−$1,927
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$2,369
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$568
After-tax cash flow
$1,764/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with a spacious kitchen, good curb appeal, and neutral paint colors. It is located in a highly desirable neighborhood and is move-in ready.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract renters who value energy efficiency.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient.
  • Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's appeal to potential buyers.
  • Rental Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can help reduce energy costs and attract renters who value energy efficiency.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hurst-Euless-Bedford ISD
NCES district ID
4824060
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$56,086
Composite
42.12/100
National rank
#3316
State rank
#193 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,677
Household income
$72,661
Rent vs Own
56.3% rent · 43.7% own
Severe rent burden
1361.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.78)
Race & ethnicity
White 31% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 22% Two or more races 16% Asian 14% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.82%
Current HPI
271.7474
Rent YoY
▲ 1.62%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2024-08-29 Price Changed $215,000 Zillow
  • 2024-08-23 Price Changed $205,000 Zillow
  • 2024-07-03 Price Changed $220,000 Zillow
  • 2023-11-08 Listed $240,000 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…