142 N Naranja Ave · River Park, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$245,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
What a property! What a location! See the gorgeous waterfront homes across the street! This property needs your vision and creativity to make it shine. Enjoy both open & screened patios. Inside, you will have over 1500 sf with which to work; including a fireplace that's open to the dining room as well as the sunk-in living room. With 2 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a flex room and a Florida room, the possibilities await this property in every direction. Home boasts a 1-car garage with storage room and is close to shopping, worship, US1 and more. This is a Fannie Mae HomePath property. The Seller must comply with HUD Guidelines 24 CFR 206.125.
Key facts
- Screened patios
- Bonus room
- Waterfront homes
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Driveway parking (total 2 parking spaces, 1 covered)
- Utilities: Public water available; Septic tank sewer; Three-phase electric; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Single-story; North-facing
- Construction: Stucco and CBS construction; Other roof type; Resale property; Built with public-record building area of 2,831 and living area of 1,548
- Exterior features: No waterfront; no waterfront features
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Interior features: Unfurnished; No notable interior features reported
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $404 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (3.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $216k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 6.3% in River Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#451 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute A-; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety D-.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Savanna Ridge Elementary School (math 40% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,383 of 2,144 statewide, top 65%, 452 students, 75% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 358 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $61k; list at $245k implies a 302% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.07%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $325,080
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 192 NE Caprona Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,540 (-0%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $224 | 84 |
| 503 NE Solida Cir | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,518 (-2%) | 6mo | $380,000 | $250 | 78 |
| 425 NE Electra Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,396 (-10%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $215 | 68 |
| 236 SE Prima Vista Blvd SE | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,557 (+1%) | 4mo | $310,000 | $199 | 67 |
| 205 NE Ardsley Dr | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,729 (+12%) | 4mo | $300,000 | $174 | 61 |
| 417 SE Tranquilla Ave | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,753 (+13%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $194 | 58 |
| 519 SE Brookside Ter | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+5%) | 11mo | $427,500 | $264 | 56 |
| 315 NE Granduer Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,552 (+0%) | 11mo | $421,990 | $272 | 52 |
| 385 NE Solida Cir | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,365 (-12%) | 11mo | $275,000 | $201 | 52 |
| 264 NE Summer Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,452 (-6%) | 6mo | $289,000 | $199 | 49 |
| 453 SE Seabreeze Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,607 (+4%) | 11mo | $337,000 | $210 | 49 |
| 434 SE Sunnydale Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,734 (+12%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $144 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.53% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-17,518
- Equity at exit
- $36,530
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $3,697
- Equity at exit
- $21,183
Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34983
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,375 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,285
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,020/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$499
- Net cashflow
- $404
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $543 | -5% $474 | +0% $404 | +5% $335 | +10% $266 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $217 | -5% $310 | +0% $404 | +5% $498 | +10% $592 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $528 | -0.5pp $467 | base $404 | +0.5pp $341 | +1.0pp $276 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,250
- Closing costs
- $7,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 NW Prima Vista Blvd Port St Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1566 | $2,300 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 336 SE Tranquilla Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1412 | $2,700 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 201 NE Midfield Ln Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $2,500 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 160 NE Bracken Rd Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $2,200 | $1.89 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 160 NE Bracken Rd Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $2,200 | $1.89 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 310 Shady Ln Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2039 | $2,800 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 216 NE Mainsail St Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,550 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 116 Prima Vista Blvd Unit A Port St. Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1314 | $2,600 | $1.98 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 249 NE Glentry Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1563 | $2,800 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 107 SE Lucero Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,150 | $1.62 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 151 SE Castana Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 730 SE White Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1386 | $10,000 | $7.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 325 NW Ferris Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 4 Lake Vista Trl #202 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,700 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 154 SE Selva Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1503 | $3,000 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2 Lake Vista Trl #107 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,850 | $1.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 762 SE River Ln Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2032 | $11,000 | $5.41 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,800 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 805 SE Cavern Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1732 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7700 Pine Lakes Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,878 | $1.84 | 14d | 16 | 1.28mi |
| 11 Lake Vista Trl #206 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 642 SW Bolin Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $2,150 | $1.84 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 385 NW Broadview St Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 14 Lake Vista Trl #101 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,200 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 26 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 160 SE Duxbury Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1521 | $2,700 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 351 SW Buswell Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $2,200 | $1.78 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 121 SE Juper Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,500 | $1.72 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $245,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $245,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $245,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $245,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $245,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $245,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $245,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $245,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $245,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $245,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $245,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $245,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $245,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $245,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $245,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $245,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-02-12$245,000 Active
-
2022-09-24status Pending
-
2022-09-23historical
-
2022-09-14price $300,000
-
2022-09-09price $320,000
-
2022-09-01price $300,000
-
2022-08-18price $320,000
-
2022-07-12status Active
-
2022-07-09status Pending
-
2022-06-27price $325,000
-
2022-05-05$330,000 Active
-
2018-06-26historical
-
2018-04-24price $207,000
-
2018-04-23price $205,000
-
2018-04-09price $217,500
-
2018-03-27$220,000 Active
-
1995-09-06soldstatus $61,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,020 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,034 · $169/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,013/yr (+$84/mo · 99.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,498
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,724
- − Property taxes
- −$1,020
- − Insurance
- −$1,225
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,280
- − Management
- −$2,280
- − Depreciation
- −$7,127
- Taxable income
- $842
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$202
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,648/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — River Park
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #451
- US rank
- #8159
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- River Park, FL
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,001
- Household income
- $75,489
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 843.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 23% Black 18% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Guatemala, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -209.28%
- Current HPI
- 407.6341
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.53%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+301.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Listed $245,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-09-24 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2022-09-23 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2022-09-14 Price Changed $300,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-09-09 Price Changed $320,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-09-01 Price Changed $300,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-08-18 Price Changed $320,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-07-12 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2022-07-09 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2022-06-27 Price Changed $325,000 Beaches MLS
- 2022-05-05 Listed $330,000 Beaches MLS
- 2018-06-26 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2018-04-24 Price Changed $207,000 Beaches MLS
- 2018-04-23 Price Changed $205,000 Beaches MLS
- 2018-04-09 Price Changed $217,500 Beaches MLS
- 2018-03-27 Listed $220,000 Beaches MLS
- 1995-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,020 · +13.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…