225 Markate Ave · Muscle Shoals, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.5/30.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this stunning 3bed/2bath new construction home located within the Muscle Shoals city limits. With its fresh design & high-quality finishes, this home is perfect for those seeking modern comfort & style. The home features neutral tones throughout. The spacious living room is enhanced by a vaulted ceiling with a charming wooden beam, creating an inviting & open atmosphere. In the kitchen, you'll find sleek quartz countertops, stainless steel appliance package, subway tile backsplash, a pantry. , & and island. The primary suite offers a trey ceiling, private bath w/ double sinks, quartz countertops, walk-in closet, & a beautifully tiled tub surround. Oth
Key facts
- Pantry
- Quartz countertops
- Wooden beam
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Above-grade finished area approximately 1,300
- Exterior features: 75 ft frontage; Lot dimensions 75 x 130; 0.22-acre lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: Total of 8 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-78 ($-935/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (4.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (16.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $200k (16.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.8% in Muscle Shoals — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#68 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Muscle Shoals City (urban): math 42% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #11 of 129 in AL (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 254 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 91 units permitted in Colbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Colbert County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.39%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $189,800
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 Markate Ave | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (0%) | 1mo | $238,400 | $183 | 99 |
| 114 Tennessee River Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,286 (-1%) | 19mo | $185,000 | $144 | 58 |
| 111 Blake Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,369 (+5%) | 20mo | $200,000 | $146 | 53 |
| 111 High Point Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,325 (+2%) | 17mo | $165,000 | $125 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-43,805
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-44,410
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35661
- Active inventory
- 254
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $-78
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Pinewood Dr Muscle Shoals, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-14price $239,900
-
2026-03-11price $249,900
-
2026-02-08$259,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable loss
- −$5,055
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,213
- After-tax cash flow
- $278/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscle Shoals City
- NCES district ID
- 0102520
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,688
- Composite
- 43.61/100
- National rank
- #2969
- State rank
- #11 of 129 in AL
Livability — Muscle Shoals
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #68
- US rank
- #9422
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muscle Shoals, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,957
Population outlook (Colbert County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,154 people
- By 2030
- 53,746 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 52,431 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 50,303 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 44,789 · -17.3%
- By 2100
- 36,676 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 14% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Colbert
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.4) · D 26.4% · R 72.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: -20.3pp · 2024: -46.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.4 2020: R+38.9 2016: R+38.3 2012: R+20.4 2008: R+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.94%
- Current HPI
- 174.6414
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
-7.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $239,900 SAARMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $249,900 SAARMLS
- 2026-02-08 Listed $259,000 SAARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…