22439 Curie Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Country feel with city convenience! Enjoy a large, private lot surrounded by green space, featuring a fully fenced, spacious backyard, generous side yard, and a detached two-car garage. Charming details like wood shingle siding add character to the home's exterior. Inside, this cozy one-story, two-bedroom home makes the most of its layout, offering comfortable living despite its smaller footprint. Both bedrooms are conveniently located just off the main living area, while abundant windows & open sightlines bring in natural light and peaceful views of the outdoors. The kitchen, with its white and almond palette, offers a great opportunity for a new owner to add their personal touch--whether your style leans modern, boho, or cottage-inspired. A fresh coat of paint could easily transform the space into your own unique retreat. All kitchen and laundry appliances are included. Ideally located just minutes (approximately 4 minutes) from schools, shopping, and dining. Immediate occupancy
Key facts
- Private lot
- Wood shingle siding
- Abundant windows
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $167 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.3% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Fitzgerald Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #503 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $90k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.12%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $97,180
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -7.39%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22439 Curie Ave | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 625 (0%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $136 | 94 |
| 21771 Cunningham Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+11%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $180 | 56 |
| 21589 Curie Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 718 (+15%) | 8mo | $111,500 | $155 | 53 |
| 21576 Sunset Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 573 (-8%) | 6mo | $50,000 | $87 | 52 |
| 21106 Audrey St | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+11%) | 6mo | $53,000 | $76 | 49 |
| 21116 Cyman Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 710 (+14%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $120 | 49 |
| 20846 Atlantic Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+11%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $122 | 41 |
| 20761 Atlantic Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+11%) | 20mo | $45,000 | $65 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-4,600
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,045
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48091
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,130 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,801/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $167
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 8036 Hupp Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,150 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 8103 Lozier Ave Unit 2 Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 7605 Jackson Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,165 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 1001-char remark
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Country feel with city convenience! Enjoy a large, private lot surrounded by green space, featuring a fully fenced, spacious backyard, generous side yard, and a detached two-car garage. Charming details like wood shingle siding add character to the home's exterior. Inside, this cozy one-story, two-bedroom home makes the most of its layout, offering comfortable living despite its smaller footprint. Both bedrooms are conveniently located just off the main living area, while abundant windows & open sightlines bring in natural light and peaceful views of the outdoors. The kitchen, with its white and almond palette, offers a great opportunity for a new owner to add their personal touch--whether your style leans modern, boho, or cottage-inspired. A fresh coat of paint could easily transform the space into your own unique retreat. All kitchen and laundry appliances are included. Ideally located just minutes (approximately 4 minutes) from schools, shopping, and dining. Immediate occupancy
-
2026-05-15status Pending 1001-char remark
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Country feel with city convenience! Enjoy a large, private lot surrounded by green space, featuring a fully fenced, spacious backyard, generous side yard, and a detached two-car garage. Charming details like wood shingle siding add character to the home's exterior. Inside, this cozy one-story, two-bedroom home makes the most of its layout, offering comfortable living despite its smaller footprint. Both bedrooms are conveniently located just off the main living area, while abundant windows & open sightlines bring in natural light and peaceful views of the outdoors. The kitchen, with its white and almond palette, offers a great opportunity for a new owner to add their personal touch--whether your style leans modern, boho, or cottage-inspired. A fresh coat of paint could easily transform the space into your own unique retreat. All kitchen and laundry appliances are included. Ideally located just minutes (approximately 4 minutes) from schools, shopping, and dining. Immediate occupancy
-
2026-05-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Country feel with city convenience! Enjoy a large, private lot surrounded by green space, featuring a fully fenced, spacious backyard, generous side yard, and a detached two-car garage. Charming details like wood shingle siding add character to the home's exterior. Inside, this cozy one-story, two-bedroom home makes the most of its layout, offering comfortable living despite its smaller footprint. Both bedrooms are conveniently located just off the main living area, while abundant windows & open sightlines bring in natural light and peaceful views of the outdoors. The kitchen, with its white and almond palette, offers a great opportunity for a new owner to add their personal touch--whether your style leans modern, boho, or cottage-inspired. A fresh coat of paint could easily transform the space into your own unique retreat. All kitchen and laundry appliances are included. Ideally located just minutes (approximately 4 minutes) from schools, shopping, and dining. Immediate occupancy
-
2026-04-21$90,000 Active 1001-char remark
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Country feel with city convenience! Enjoy a large, private lot surrounded by green space, featuring a fully fenced, spacious backyard, generous side yard, and a detached two-car garage. Charming details like wood shingle siding add character to the home's exterior. Inside, this cozy one-story, two-bedroom home makes the most of its layout, offering comfortable living despite its smaller footprint. Both bedrooms are conveniently located just off the main living area, while abundant windows & open sightlines bring in natural light and peaceful views of the outdoors. The kitchen, with its white and almond palette, offers a great opportunity for a new owner to add their personal touch--whether your style leans modern, boho, or cottage-inspired. A fresh coat of paint could easily transform the space into your own unique retreat. All kitchen and laundry appliances are included. Ideally located just minutes (approximately 4 minutes) from schools, shopping, and dining. Immediate occupancy
-
2026-04-21$90,000 Active 1001-char remark
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Country feel with city convenience! Enjoy a large, private lot surrounded by green space, featuring a fully fenced, spacious backyard, generous side yard, and a detached two-car garage. Charming details like wood shingle siding add character to the home's exterior. Inside, this cozy one-story, two-bedroom home makes the most of its layout, offering comfortable living despite its smaller footprint. Both bedrooms are conveniently located just off the main living area, while abundant windows & open sightlines bring in natural light and peaceful views of the outdoors. The kitchen, with its white and almond palette, offers a great opportunity for a new owner to add their personal touch--whether your style leans modern, boho, or cottage-inspired. A fresh coat of paint could easily transform the space into your own unique retreat. All kitchen and laundry appliances are included. Ideally located just minutes (approximately 4 minutes) from schools, shopping, and dining. Immediate occupancy
-
2026-04-21$90,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1001 chars)
Country feel with city convenience! Enjoy a large, private lot surrounded by green space, featuring a fully fenced, spacious backyard, generous side yard, and a detached two-car garage. Charming details like wood shingle siding add character to the home's exterior. Inside, this cozy one-story, two-bedroom home makes the most of its layout, offering comfortable living despite its smaller footprint. Both bedrooms are conveniently located just off the main living area, while abundant windows & open sightlines bring in natural light and peaceful views of the outdoors. The kitchen, with its white and almond palette, offers a great opportunity for a new owner to add their personal touch--whether your style leans modern, boho, or cottage-inspired. A fresh coat of paint could easily transform the space into your own unique retreat. All kitchen and laundry appliances are included. Ideally located just minutes (approximately 4 minutes) from schools, shopping, and dining. Immediate occupancy
-
2020-12-22soldstatus $45,000
-
2020-12-10soldstatus $45,000 Sold
-
2020-12-10soldstatus $45,000 Closed
-
2020-10-24status Pending
-
2020-10-23price $52,000
-
2020-10-23$45,000 Active
-
2020-10-23$52,000
-
2020-10-23historical
-
2020-10-23price $52,000
-
2016-03-29soldstatus $26,000
-
2016-03-18soldstatus $26,000 Sold
-
2016-03-18soldstatus $26,000
-
2016-01-19status Pending
-
2016-01-15historical
-
2015-12-07$28,500 Active
-
2015-12-07$28,500
-
2010-12-06soldstatus $13,000
-
2010-12-06soldstatus $13,000
-
2010-12-03historical
-
2010-06-27$10,000
-
2010-06-27$10,000
-
2000-06-14soldstatus $63,000
-
2000-05-16soldstatus $63,000
-
2000-03-10historical
-
1999-12-27$64,900
-
1992-10-13soldstatus $34,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,801 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,565
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,801
- − Insurance
- −$1,248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,085
- − Management
- −$1,085
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $686
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$165
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,839/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fitzgerald Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2614460
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,828
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9608
- State rank
- #503 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,696
- Household income
- $54,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 25% Asian 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.66%
- Current HPI
- 177.9273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+160.9% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $90,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-10 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-12-10 Sold (MLS) $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-24 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2020-10-23 Price Changed $52,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-23 Listed $52,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-23 Listed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-23 Price Changed $52,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-18 Sold (MLS) $26,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2016-03-18 Sold (MLS) $26,000 REALCOMP
- 2016-01-19 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2016-01-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-12-07 Listed $28,500 REALCOMP
- 2015-12-07 Listed $28,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-06 Sold (MLS) $13,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-12-06 Sold (MLS) $13,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-12-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-06-27 Listed $10,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-06-27 Listed $10,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-06-14 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2000-05-16 Sold (MLS) $63,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-03-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1999-12-27 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1992-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $34,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,801 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…