613 N Newsom St · Mineola, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 52.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into the character and charm of this 1940’s gem located in the heart of Mineola, Texas! With 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers the perfect blend of vintage appeal and functional living. Whether you’re looking for your first home, a cozy downsizer, or an investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of history with all the modern comforts you need!
Key facts
- Built 1940
- Listed 133 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $184 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $131k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.7% in Mineola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#392 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Mineola ISD (town): math 54% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #190 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 261 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 72 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (29 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wood County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.29%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $162,567
- List price
- $149,000
- Delta
- -14.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 515 N Newsom St | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (+5%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $135 | 89 |
| 601 N Newsom St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,314 (-7%) | 12mo | $59,000 | $45 | 78 |
| 1265 Fm 1799 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,388 (-1%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $180 | 76 |
| 605 N Line | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,305 (-7%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $123 | 74 |
| 605 Graham St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 1,321 (-6%) | 17mo | $175,000 | $132 | 65 |
| 425 N Newsom St | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,265 (-10%) | 10mo | $179,000 | $142 | 64 |
| 422 W Mcdonald | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (-9%) | 14mo | $189,500 | $148 | 63 |
| 308 W Blair St | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,545 (+10%) | 10mo | $179,000 | $116 | 53 |
| 516 W Blair St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,366 (-3%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $124 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-12,349
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $4,634
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75773
- Home prices YoY
- -8.9%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,633 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$263 /mo · $3,151/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$343
- Net cashflow
- $184
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $268 | -5% $226 | +0% $184 | +5% $142 | +10% $100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $55 | -5% $120 | +0% $184 | +5% $249 | +10% $313 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $222 | base $184 | +0.5pp $145 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 806 N Newsom St Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 803 Second St Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $1,400 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 515 Giraud St Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,700 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 806 S Newsom St Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1488 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 409 Chapparel St Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,400 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 115 Isabella St Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,350 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 167 Blue Bird Ln Mineola, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $1,350 | $1.68 | 14d | 5 | 1.26mi |
| 211 Blue Bird Ln Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,700 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 211 Blue Bird Ln Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,700 | $1.41 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 233 Blue Bird Ln Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1202 | $1,700 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 150 Blue Bird Ln Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 200 Blue Bird Ln Mineola, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $1,900 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 29 events
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2026-06-19days on market $149,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $149,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-17pricedays on market $149,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 271 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 270 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 268 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 267 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $139,000 Active 265 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 264 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 263 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 262 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 257 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 256 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 255 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 254 DOM
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2026-02-05$149,000 Active 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Step into the character and charm of this 1940’s gem located in the heart of Mineola, Texas! With 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers the perfect blend of vintage appeal and functional living. Whether you’re looking for your first home, a cozy downsizer, or an investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of history with all the modern comforts you need!
-
2025-12-15price $149,000 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Step into the character and charm of this 1940’s gem located in the heart of Mineola, Texas! With 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers the perfect blend of vintage appeal and functional living. Whether you’re looking for your first home, a cozy downsizer, or an investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of history with all the modern comforts you need!
-
2025-12-15price $149,000
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Step into the character and charm of this 1940’s gem located in the heart of Mineola, Texas! With 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers the perfect blend of vintage appeal and functional living. Whether you’re looking for your first home, a cozy downsizer, or an investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of history with all the modern comforts you need!
-
2025-11-22price $159,990 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Step into the character and charm of this 1940’s gem located in the heart of Mineola, Texas! With 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers the perfect blend of vintage appeal and functional living. Whether you’re looking for your first home, a cozy downsizer, or an investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of history with all the modern comforts you need!
-
2025-11-22price $159,990
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Step into the character and charm of this 1940’s gem located in the heart of Mineola, Texas! With 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers the perfect blend of vintage appeal and functional living. Whether you’re looking for your first home, a cozy downsizer, or an investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of history with all the modern comforts you need!
-
2025-10-16price $169,900 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Step into the character and charm of this 1940’s gem located in the heart of Mineola, Texas! With 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers the perfect blend of vintage appeal and functional living. Whether you’re looking for your first home, a cozy downsizer, or an investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of history with all the modern comforts you need!
-
2025-09-18$174,990 Active 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Step into the character and charm of this 1940’s gem located in the heart of Mineola, Texas! With 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, this home offers the perfect blend of vintage appeal and functional living. Whether you’re looking for your first home, a cozy downsizer, or an investment opportunity, this property is full of potential. Don’t miss your chance to own a piece of history with all the modern comforts you need!
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2021-03-12soldstatus
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2021-03-11soldstatus
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2021-03-11soldstatus Sold
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2021-02-07$139,900
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2021-02-07historical
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2021-02-02$139,900
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1995-06-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,151 · $263/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,151 · $263/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$3,151
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,568
- − Management
- −$1,568
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable loss
- −$116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,237/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mineola ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830930
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▲ 12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,121
- Composite
- 42.27/100
- National rank
- #3274
- State rank
- #190 of 826 in TX
Livability — Mineola
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #392
- US rank
- #8222
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mineola, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,311
Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 46,480 people
- By 2030
- 47,796 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 50,142 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 52,122 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 57,033 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 56,418 · +21.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wood
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+69.7) · D 14.8% · R 84.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -69.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+69.7 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+70.0 2012: R+64.2 2008: R+54.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.31%
- Current HPI
- 227.0529
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+6.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-05 Listed $149,000 GTAR
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $149,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $149,000 GTAR
- 2025-11-22 Price Changed $159,990 NTREIS
- 2025-11-22 Price Changed $159,990 GTAR
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $169,900 NTREIS
- 2025-09-18 Listed $174,990 NTREIS
- 2021-03-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-03-11 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-03-11 Sold (MLS) — GTAR
- 2021-02-07 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2021-02-07 Listed $139,900 GTAR
- 2021-02-02 Listed $139,900 NTREIS
- 1995-06-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+28.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,151 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…