713 La Fonda Dr · Roswell, NM
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $706 – $1,312
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated seller! Enjoy peace of mind with a roof and HVAC under 10 years old in this move in ready home with brand new carpet, in a prime location. Inside, you’ll find a spacious master suite, living room with high ceilings along with an extra room ideal for an office, game room, or workout space. Step outside to a large backyard that’s perfect for kids, pets, and entertaining. This one checks all the boxes, so don’t miss it.
Key facts
- Large backyard
- 5,959 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (3.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#8 in NM, #4,339 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Roswell Independent Schools (town): math 11% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #16 of 29 in NM (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 88 units permitted in Chaves County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 170 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 170 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.14%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-12,790
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $26,468
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State New Mexico
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 88201
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 248
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,121 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,379/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$445
- Net cashflow
- $315
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3014 N Garden Ave Roswell, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2101 | $2,100 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5 La Paloma Pl Roswell, NM | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2401 | $3,300 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 703 Broken Arrow Rd Unit 743 Roswell, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1405 | $1,850 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 55 Brentwood Rd Unit 1 Roswell, NM | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1805 | $1,600 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-15status $220,000 Pending 170 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $220,000 Active 168 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $220,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 163 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 162 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $220,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $220,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-04-15price $230,000 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Motivated seller! Enjoy peace of mind with a roof and HVAC under 10 years old in this move in ready home with brand new carpet, in a prime location. Inside, you’ll find a spacious master suite, living room with high ceilings along with an extra room ideal for an office, game room, or workout space. Step outside to a large backyard that’s perfect for kids, pets, and entertaining. This one checks all the boxes, so don’t miss it.
-
2026-01-13price $240,000 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Motivated seller! Enjoy peace of mind with a roof and HVAC under 10 years old in this move in ready home with brand new carpet, in a prime location. Inside, you’ll find a spacious master suite, living room with high ceilings along with an extra room ideal for an office, game room, or workout space. Step outside to a large backyard that’s perfect for kids, pets, and entertaining. This one checks all the boxes, so don’t miss it.
-
2025-12-28$250,000 Active 448-char remark
Show marketing remark (448 chars)
Motivated seller! Enjoy peace of mind with a roof and HVAC under 10 years old in this move in ready home with brand new carpet, in a prime location. Inside, you’ll find a spacious master suite, living room with high ceilings along with an extra room ideal for an office, game room, or workout space. Step outside to a large backyard that’s perfect for kids, pets, and entertaining. This one checks all the boxes, so don’t miss it.
-
2001-02-28soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,379 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,760 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$381/yr (+$32/mo · 27.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,450
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$1,379
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,036
- − Management
- −$2,036
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable income
- $175
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$42
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Roswell Independent Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3502250
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▲ 23.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,848
- Composite
- 26.21/100
- National rank
- #7262
- State rank
- #16 of 29 in NM
Livability — Roswell
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #4339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Roswell, NM
- County
- Chaves County · 56,277 people
- City population
- 56,277
- Metro
- Roswell, NM
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,524
- Household income
- $61,780
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 603.0
Population outlook (Chaves County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 66,122 people
- By 2030
- 66,351 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 66,818 · +1.1%
- By 2050
- 66,928 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 65,474 · -1.0%
- By 2100
- 58,943 · -10.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 50% White 44% Two or more races 16% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chaves
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 26.8% · R 71.6% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.7pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+32.4 2008: R+24.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -130.52%
- Current HPI
- 149.3526
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.32%
- Metro
- Roswell, NM
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-8.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-15 Price Changed $230,000 NMMLS
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $240,000 NMMLS
- 2025-12-28 Listed $250,000 NMMLS
- 2001-02-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,379 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…