The Coleman Tailwinds Dr · Bessemer, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$284,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2026
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $285k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-269 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $246k (13.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (22.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Bessemer City (suburban): math 3% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #120 of 129 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Westhills Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 627 statewide, top 79%, 315 students, 75% FRL); Bessemer City Middle School (math 3% / reading 23%, grade F, #215 of 257 statewide, top 84%, 674 students, 88% FRL); Bessemer City High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 850 students, 61% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 478 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 52d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 502 days — a 12% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 502 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.04%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $300,300
- List price
- $284,990
- Delta
- -5.10%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5376 Tailwinds Dr | 0.04mi | 4/2.5 | 2,053 (0%) | 4mo | $295,945 | $144 | 95 |
| 5321 Tailwinds Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,933 (-6%) | 0mo | $286,470 | $148 | 83 |
| 5368 Tailwinds Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,933 (-6%) | 4mo | $281,790 | $146 | 80 |
| 5380 Tailwinds Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,933 (-6%) | 5mo | $293,010 | $152 | 79 |
| 5384 Tailwinds Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,933 (-6%) | 5mo | $303,175 | $157 | 79 |
| 5372 Tailwinds Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,231 (+9%) | 1mo | $299,995 | $134 | 78 |
| 5393 Tailwinds Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,933 (-6%) | 6mo | $288,435 | $149 | 76 |
| 5360 Tailwinds Dr | 0.04mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,231 (+9%) | 3mo | $299,995 | $134 | 76 |
| 5353 Tailwinds Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,231 (+9%) | 2mo | $296,085 | $133 | 75 |
| 5357 Tailwinds Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,231 (+9%) | 3mo | $297,180 | $133 | 74 |
| 5373 Tailwinds Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,231 (+9%) | 3mo | $304,000 | $136 | 74 |
| 5365 Tailwinds Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,231 (+9%) | 3mo | $314,235 | $141 | 74 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-51,609
- Equity at exit
- $42,493
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-13,810
- Equity at exit
- $24,641
Cash invested: $79,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 26 active · 46 under contract
- Months of supply
- 7.1 mo (14%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $285,492 ($155/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 217 d
- This list price
- 46% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -5.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 35022
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 478
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,201 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$356 /mo · $4,275/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$38
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $-269
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-72 | -5% $-170 | +0% $-269 | +5% $-367 | +10% $-466 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-443 | -5% $-356 | +0% $-269 | +5% $-182 | +10% $-95 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-125 | -0.5pp $-196 | base $-269 | +0.5pp $-343 | +1.0pp $-418 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,248
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5475 Cedar Creek Dr Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2565 | $2,550 | $0.99 | 133d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 63 Carriage House Rd SW Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1802 | $1,780 | $0.99 | 157d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 5542 Bridle Way Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,176 | $1.04 | 55d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 5430 Bluebell Cir Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2054 | $2,075 | $1.01 | 51d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 505 Westchester Dr Bessemer, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1706 | $1,650 | $0.97 | 55d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 26 Royal Coach Cir Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,676 | $1.04 | 110d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4737 Rosser Loop Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $1,646 | $1.00 | 116d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 4624 Rosser Loop Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,805 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 4758 Rosser Loop Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,880 | $1.28 | 107d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4563 Rosser Loop Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $1,940 | $1.18 | 0d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 5725 Riverbirch Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,050 | $1.27 | 7d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5725 Riverbirch Dr Bessemer, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $2,050 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 6470 Cheshire Cove Dr Mc Calla, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1781 | $1,829 | $1.03 | 7d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5715 Cheshire Cove Cir Mc Calla, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1947 | $2,000 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5726 Cheshire Cove Cir Mc Calla, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1457 | $1,850 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $284,990 Active 502 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $284,990 Active 501 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $284,990 Active 500 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $284,990 Active 499 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $284,990 Active 498 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $284,990 Active 496 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $284,990 Active 495 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $284,990 Active 494 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $284,990 Active 493 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $284,990 Active 492 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $284,990 Active 491 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $284,990 Active 490 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $284,990 Active 489 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $284,990 Active 488 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $284,990 Active 487 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $284,990 Active 486 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $284,990 Active 485 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $284,990 Active 484 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $284,990 Active 483 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $284,990 Active 482 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $284,990 Active 481 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $284,990 Active 480 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $284,990 Active 479 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $284,990 Active 478 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $284,990 Active 477 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $284,990 Active 476 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $284,990 Active 475 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $284,990 Active 474 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $284,990 Active 473 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $284,990 Active 472 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $284,990 Active 471 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $284,990 Active 470 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $284,990 Active 469 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $284,990 Active 468 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $284,990 Active 467 DOM
-
2026-10-04days on market $284,990 Active 466 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $284,990 Active 465 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $284,990 Active 464 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $284,990 Active 463 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $284,990 Active 462 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $284,990 Active 461 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $284,990 Active 460 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $284,990 Active 458 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $284,990 Active 457 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $284,990 Active 456 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $284,990 Active 455 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $284,990 Active 454 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $284,990 Active 453 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $284,990 Active 452 DOM
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2026-09-18days on market $284,990 Active 451 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,412
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$4,275
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,113
- − Management
- −$2,113
- − HOA
- −$456
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$8,225
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,974
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This single-family home is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen, two full bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor aesthetic updates to maximize its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
- Both Add a smart home system — Modern technology can increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bessemer City
- NCES district ID
- 0100330
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,721
- Composite
- 8.45/100
- National rank
- #9905
- State rank
- #120 of 129 in AL
Livability — Bessemer
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #331
- US rank
- #20078
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bessemer, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 669,185 people
- City population
- 48,018
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,126
- Household income
- $81,846
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4% of renters
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.40%
- Current HPI
- 219.3839
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.80%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-3.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $281,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $280,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $279,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-26 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-03-22 Delisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $282,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-03-17 Price Changed $283,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-03-04 Price Changed $293,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-02-18 Price Changed $292,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-01-08 Price Changed $291,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-07-17 Listed $290,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…