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The Coleman Headwinds Ln
D Composite 42.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$281,900

The Coleman Headwinds Ln · Bessemer, AL 35022
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,053 sqft · SingleFamily · 362 Days on market
Built 2026 Excellent condition $137/sqft · 7% below area Est $302k · 7% under $38/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2026

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $282k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-97 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (5.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (15.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $239k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#331 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
  • Bessemer City (suburban): math 3% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #120 of 129 in AL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 87% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Westhills Elementary School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 627 statewide, top 79%, 315 students, 75% FRL); Bessemer City Middle School (math 3% / reading 23%, grade F, #215 of 257 statewide, top 84%, 674 students, 88% FRL); Bessemer City High School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #276 of 305 statewide, top 95%, 850 students, 61% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($82k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 362 days — a 12% lower offer ($248k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $239,131 (15.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 362 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.47%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$302,187
List price
$281,900
Delta
-6.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5380 Tailwinds Dr 0.04mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 0mo $293,010 $152 83
5384 Tailwinds Dr 0.04mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 1mo $303,175 $157 83
5393 Tailwinds Dr 0.09mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 1mo $288,435 $149 80
5457 Headwinds Ln 0.12mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,933 (-6%) 3mo $282,850 $146 77
5452 Headwinds Ln 0.12mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 3mo $297,320 $133 73
5445 Headwinds Ln 0.12mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 3mo $315,360 $141 72
5461 Headwinds Ln 0.12mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 4mo $306,030 $137 72
5465 Headwinds Ln 0.12mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 4mo $288,440 $129 72
5472 Headwinds Ln 0.12mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,231 (+9%) 4mo $288,685 $129 72
87 Carriage House Rd 0.31mi 4/2.0 1,926 (-6%) 3mo $218,000 $113 71
79 Carriage House Rd 0.33mi 4/2.0 1,926 (-6%) 4mo $215,000 $112 70
13 Royal Coach Cir 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,900 (-8%) 4mo $244,000 $128 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-39,162
Equity at exit
$42,032
10-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$15,702
Equity at exit
$24,374

Cash invested: $78,932 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35022

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Rents YoY
14.8%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,391 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,478
Tax est. 1.5%
$352 /mo · $4,228/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$38
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$502
Net cashflow
$-97

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,514
Max offer price $267,862
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $98 -5% $0 +0% $-97 +5% $-194 +10% $-292
Rent -10% $-286 -5% $-191 +0% $-97 +5% $-3 +10% $92
Rate -1.0pp $45 -0.5pp $-25 base $-97 +0.5pp $-170 +1.0pp $-244

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,475
Closing costs
$8,457
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5475 Cedar Creek Dr Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.5 2565 $2,650 $1.03 25d 1 0.26mi
63 Carriage House Rd SW Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1802 $1,780 $0.99 17d 1 0.39mi
505 Westchester Dr Bessemer, AL 4.0 2.0 1706 $1,850 $1.08 45d 1 0.66mi
4737 Rosser Loop Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1638 $1,886 $1.15 3d 1 1.13mi
5725 Riverbirch Dr Bessemer, AL 3.0 2.0 1620 $2,050 $1.27 3d 1 1.36mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$38 · $456/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $281,900 Active 362 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $281,900 Active 359 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $281,900 Active 358 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $281,900 Active 357 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $281,900 Active 356 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $281,900 Active 354 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $281,900 Active 351 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $281,900 Active 350 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $281,900 Active 349 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $281,900 Active 348 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $281,900 Active 345 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $281,900 Active 344 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $281,900 Active 343 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $281,900 Active 342 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $281,900 Active 341 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    price $281,900 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  17. 2026-04-01
    price $280,900 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  18. 2026-02-27
    price $279,900 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  19. 2026-02-26
    status Active 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  20. 2025-03-22
    historical 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  21. 2025-03-17
    price $282,900 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  22. 2025-03-17
    price $283,900 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  23. 2025-03-04
    price $293,900 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  24. 2025-02-18
    price $292,900 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  25. 2025-01-08
    price $291,900 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

  26. 2024-07-17
    listed $290,900 Active 568-char remark
    Show marketing remark (568 chars)

    PROPOSED CONSTRUCTION! The Coleman greets you with a covered front porch entry that opens to a welcoming dining room, or study if you prefer. Expansive sight lines across the back of the home connect the family room, breakfast nook, and kitchen with an optional center island. Upstairs you'll find four bedrooms including an owner's suite with a large walk-in closet, a secondary bathroom with compartmentalized space that allows for multiple people to use it at the same time, and a convenient, central laundry room. Pictures are of a similar home. Features will vary

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,696
− Mortgage interest
−$15,791
− Property taxes
−$4,228
− Insurance
−$1,410
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,296
− Management
−$2,296
− HOA
−$456
− Depreciation
−$8,201
Taxable loss
−$5,981
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,435
After-tax cash flow
$271/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in excellent condition with a modern kitchen, two full bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from minor aesthetic updates to maximize its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Add a smart home system — Modern technology can increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
  • Both Add a smart home system — Modern technology can increase home value and appeal to tech-savvy buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bessemer City
NCES district ID
0100330
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$29,721
Composite
8.45/100
National rank
#9905
State rank
#120 of 129 in AL

Livability — Bessemer

Score
59/100
State rank
#331
US rank
#20078

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bessemer, AL
County
Jefferson County · 527,445 people
City population
48,018
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
23,126
Household income
$81,846
Rent vs Own
22.7% rent · 77.3% own
Severe rent burden
554.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 53% White 41% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.40%
Current HPI
219.3839
Rent YoY
▲ 14.80%
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $281,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $280,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $279,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-26 Relisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-03-22 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-03-17 Price Changed $282,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-03-17 Price Changed $283,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-03-04 Price Changed $293,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-02-18 Price Changed $292,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2025-01-08 Price Changed $291,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-07-17 Listed $290,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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