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760 Pine Needle Rd
B- Composite 67.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

760 Pine Needle Rd · Lovejoy, GA 30228
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,864 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1983 1.49 ac lot Est $257k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tucked away on a private wooded lot in the heart of Hampton, 760 Pine Needle Rd offers the perfect blend of space, privacy, and potential. This all-brick ranch features a spacious living area, beautiful hardwood floors, a massive sunroom, and an impressive FOUR-car garage - a rare find at this price point. Built in 1983, the home sits in an established area making this an incredible opportunity for a savvy homeowner or investor looking to add value. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and just minutes from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, this property delivers the peace of country-style living with easy access to Metro Atlanta. Endless possibilities await.

Key facts

  • Established area
  • Near dining
  • Near shopping

Tags

PRIVATE WOODED LOTMASSIVE SUNROOMFOUR-CAR GARAGEESTABLISHED AREANEAR SHOPPINGNEAR DINING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached side-facing 2-car garage; Driveway parking; Open parking available; Garage access at kitchen level
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-level (one story); Resale property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Crawl space basement
  • Exterior features: Private yard; City street and other road frontage; Asphalt, concrete, and paved road surfaces; GPS-friendly directions

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cabinets (stain finish); Laminate countertops; Pantry; Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Split bedroom floor plan
  • Flooring: Brick; Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Master bathroom with double vanity; Two full bathrooms and one half bath located on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Recessed lighting; No shared/common walls; Stone fireplace in living room
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in a laundry closet; Common area laundry available

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.4% in Lovejoy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#317 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Eddie White Middle School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #399 of 470 statewide, top 86%, 1,438 students, 90% FRL); Lovejoy High School (math 7% / reading 8%, grade F, #378 of 424 statewide, top 91%, 2,136 students, 90% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $173k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.31%
Cash-on-cash
10.78%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$257,232
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
886 Pine Needle Rd 0.18mi 4/3.0 1,920 (+3%) 7mo $265,000 $138 81
764 New Hope Dr 0.25mi 4/2.5 1,803 (-3%) 15mo $235,000 $130 68
11846 Pine Needle Ln 0.11mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,142 (+15%) 3mo $320,000 $149 61
12012 Turner Rd 0.43mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,730 (-7%) 3mo $316,000 $183 58
862 New Hope Dr 0.29mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,058 (+10%) 7mo $315,000 $153 56
11800 Pine Needle Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,629 (-13%) 14mo $220,000 $135 51
11689 New Hope Rd 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,056 (+10%) 21mo $230,000 $112 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.96×
Total profit
$-2,242
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$31,493
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30228

Home prices YoY
-24.3%
Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
560
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,468 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$322 /mo · $3,865/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$518
Net cashflow
$501

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,834
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $613 -5% $557 +0% $501 +5% $444 +10% $388
Rent -10% $306 -5% $403 +0% $501 +5% $598 +10% $696
Rate -1.0pp $601 -0.5pp $551 base $501 +0.5pp $449 +1.0pp $397

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1059 Olive Dr Hampton, GA 3.0 2.0 1803 $1,990 $1.10 45d 1 0.66mi
12172 Flannery Ln Hampton, GA 4.0 3.0 2378 $2,500 $1.05 45d 1 1.05mi
11949 Fairway Overlook Fayetteville, GA 4.0 3.0 2166 $2,450 $1.13 25d 1 1.23mi
11964 Red Ivy Ln Fayetteville, GA 4.0 2.0 2128 $2,295 $1.08 12d 1 1.25mi
12012 Red Ivy Ln Fayetteville, GA 3.0 2.0 1745 $2,000 $1.15 45d 1 1.28mi
11993 Red Ivy Ln Fayetteville, GA 4.0 2.5 2116 $2,700 $1.28 45d 1 1.29mi
865 McDonough Rd Hampton, GA 4.0 3.0 1910 $2,275 $1.19 25d 1 1.39mi
65 Waters Edge Way Fayetteville, GA 4.0 3.0 1863 $2,200 $1.18 0d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $199,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Tucked away on a private wooded lot in the heart of Hampton, 760 Pine Needle Rd offers the perfect blend of space, privacy, and potential. This all-brick ranch features a spacious living area, beautiful hardwood floors, a massive sunroom, and an impressive FOUR-car garage - a rare find at this price point. Built in 1983, the home sits in an established area making this an incredible opportunity for a savvy homeowner or investor looking to add value. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and just minutes from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, this property delivers the peace of country-style living with easy access to Metro Atlanta. Endless possibilities await.

  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $199,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (699 chars)

    Tucked away on a private wooded lot in the heart of Hampton, 760 Pine Needle Rd offers the perfect blend of space, privacy, and potential. This all-brick ranch features a spacious living area, beautiful hardwood floors, a massive sunroom, and an impressive FOUR-car garage - a rare find at this price point. Built in 1983, the home sits in an established area making this an incredible opportunity for a savvy homeowner or investor looking to add value. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and just minutes from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, this property delivers the peace of country-style living with easy access to Metro Atlanta. Endless possibilities await.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,865 · $322/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,865 · $322/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,610
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$3,865
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,369
− Management
−$2,369
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable income
$3,076
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$738
After-tax cash flow
$5,271/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clayton County
NCES district ID
1301230
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$42,266
Composite
13.41/100
National rank
#9527
State rank
#155 of 174 in GA

Livability — Lovejoy

Score
62/100
State rank
#317
US rank
#17071

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Henry County · 316,359 people
City population
606
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
52,402
Household income
$82,619
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1285.0

Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
310,777 people
By 2030
329,762 · +6.1%
By 2040
368,052 · +18.4%
By 2050
401,196 · +29.1%
By 2075
472,488 · +52.0%
By 2100
500,446 · +61.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clayton

2024 margin
Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.11%
Current HPI
222.0357
Rent YoY
▲ 2.20%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $199,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $199,000 FMLS
  • 2001-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $172,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,865 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…