760 Pine Needle Rd · Lovejoy, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tucked away on a private wooded lot in the heart of Hampton, 760 Pine Needle Rd offers the perfect blend of space, privacy, and potential. This all-brick ranch features a spacious living area, beautiful hardwood floors, a massive sunroom, and an impressive FOUR-car garage - a rare find at this price point. Built in 1983, the home sits in an established area making this an incredible opportunity for a savvy homeowner or investor looking to add value. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and just minutes from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, this property delivers the peace of country-style living with easy access to Metro Atlanta. Endless possibilities await.
Key facts
- Established area
- Near dining
- Near shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached side-facing 2-car garage; Driveway parking; Open parking available; Garage access at kitchen level
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 110-volt electric; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-level (one story); Resale property
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Crawl space basement
- Exterior features: Private yard; City street and other road frontage; Asphalt, concrete, and paved road surfaces; GPS-friendly directions
Interior
- Kitchen: Cabinets (stain finish); Laminate countertops; Pantry; Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Split bedroom floor plan
- Flooring: Brick; Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom; Master bathroom with double vanity; Two full bathrooms and one half bath located on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Recessed lighting; No shared/common walls; Stone fireplace in living room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in a laundry closet; Common area laundry available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $199k).
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.4% in Lovejoy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#317 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Eddie White Middle School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #399 of 470 statewide, top 86%, 1,438 students, 90% FRL); Lovejoy High School (math 7% / reading 8%, grade F, #378 of 424 statewide, top 91%, 2,136 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 560 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $173k; 15% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.78%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $257,232
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 886 Pine Needle Rd | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 | 1,920 (+3%) | 7mo | $265,000 | $138 | 81 |
| 764 New Hope Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 1,803 (-3%) | 15mo | $235,000 | $130 | 68 |
| 11846 Pine Needle Ln | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,142 (+15%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $149 | 61 |
| 12012 Turner Rd | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,730 (-7%) | 3mo | $316,000 | $183 | 58 |
| 862 New Hope Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,058 (+10%) | 7mo | $315,000 | $153 | 56 |
| 11800 Pine Needle Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,629 (-13%) | 14mo | $220,000 | $135 | 51 |
| 11689 New Hope Rd | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,056 (+10%) | 21mo | $230,000 | $112 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,242
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $31,493
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30228
- Home prices YoY
- -24.3%
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 560
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,468 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$322 /mo · $3,865/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$518
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $613 | -5% $557 | +0% $501 | +5% $444 | +10% $388 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $306 | -5% $403 | +0% $501 | +5% $598 | +10% $696 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $601 | -0.5pp $551 | base $501 | +0.5pp $449 | +1.0pp $397 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1059 Olive Dr Hampton, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $1,990 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 12172 Flannery Ln Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2378 | $2,500 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 11949 Fairway Overlook Fayetteville, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2166 | $2,450 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 11964 Red Ivy Ln Fayetteville, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2128 | $2,295 | $1.08 | 12d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 12012 Red Ivy Ln Fayetteville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1745 | $2,000 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 11993 Red Ivy Ln Fayetteville, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2116 | $2,700 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 865 McDonough Rd Hampton, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1910 | $2,275 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 65 Waters Edge Way Fayetteville, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1863 | $2,200 | $1.18 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18status $199,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 693-char remark
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
Tucked away on a private wooded lot in the heart of Hampton, 760 Pine Needle Rd offers the perfect blend of space, privacy, and potential. This all-brick ranch features a spacious living area, beautiful hardwood floors, a massive sunroom, and an impressive FOUR-car garage - a rare find at this price point. Built in 1983, the home sits in an established area making this an incredible opportunity for a savvy homeowner or investor looking to add value. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and just minutes from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, this property delivers the peace of country-style living with easy access to Metro Atlanta. Endless possibilities await.
-
2026-06-15$199,000 Active 1 DOM
Show marketing remark (699 chars)
Tucked away on a private wooded lot in the heart of Hampton, 760 Pine Needle Rd offers the perfect blend of space, privacy, and potential. This all-brick ranch features a spacious living area, beautiful hardwood floors, a massive sunroom, and an impressive FOUR-car garage - a rare find at this price point. Built in 1983, the home sits in an established area making this an incredible opportunity for a savvy homeowner or investor looking to add value. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and just minutes from Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, this property delivers the peace of country-style living with easy access to Metro Atlanta. Endless possibilities await.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,865 · $322/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,865 · $322/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,610
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$3,865
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,369
- − Management
- −$2,369
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $3,076
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$738
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,271/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clayton County
- NCES district ID
- 1301230
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,266
- Composite
- 13.41/100
- National rank
- #9527
- State rank
- #155 of 174 in GA
Livability — Lovejoy
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #17071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henry County · 316,359 people
- City population
- 606
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,402
- Household income
- $82,619
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1285.0
Population outlook (Clayton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 310,777 people
- By 2030
- 329,762 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 368,052 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 401,196 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 472,488 · +52.0%
- By 2100
- 500,446 · +61.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clayton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+69.2) · D 84.3% · R 15.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 66.4pp · 2024: 69.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+69.2 2020: D+70.9 2016: D+71.9 2012: D+70.1 2008: D+66.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.11%
- Current HPI
- 222.0357
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.20%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+15.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $199,000 GAMLS
- 2026-06-15 Listed $199,000 FMLS
- 2001-06-13 Sold (Public Records) $172,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,865 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…