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12719 Kathleen St
D- Composite 39.36
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$209,500

12719 Kathleen St · St. Hedwig, TX 78152
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,354 sqft · SingleFamily · 61 Days on market
Built 2025 4,791 sqft lot $155/sqft · 12% above area Est $188k · 12% over $17/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* 5% lender incentive offered with the use of the seller's in-house lender! Incentive may be used towards buyer closing costs and/or rate buy-down, subject to lender approval and buyer qualification. The Gerson - This new single-story home features a modern layout with room to grow. The stylish kitchen shares a footprint with the living and dining areas, and a covered patio provides convenient outdoor access. Three bedrooms are placed to the side of the home, including the luxe owner's suite, complete with an en-suite bathroom and generous walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • 4,791 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Possession at closing/funding
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; HOA fee $200 annually; Association transfer fee $450; Subdivision: Spring Grove; Neighborhood amenities: Other - see remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Water system; Sewer system
  • Home design: New construction by Lennar; Front faces east
  • Construction: Cement fiber exterior; Slab foundation; Composition roof; Approximately 1 year old
  • Exterior features: Privacy fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: 10 x 10 kitchen; Stove/Range; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level with walk-in closet and full bath; Bedroom 2: 10 x 12; Bedroom 3: 12 x 10; Master bedroom dimensions: 11 x 13
  • Flooring: Carpeting; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with shower-only (10 x 9)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric and natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; 1 living area; Utility room inside; Cable TV available; All bedrooms downstairs; Walk-in closets
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Laundry on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $60 ($714/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (20.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.1% in St. Hedwig — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • East Central ISD (rural): math 16% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #758 of 826 in TX (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Tradition El (math 25% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,706 of 4,322 statewide, top 63%, 993 students, 51% FRL); East Central Heritage Middle (math 11% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,478 of 1,662 statewide, top 90%, 1,120 students, 44% FRL); East Central H S (math 21% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,264 of 1,632 statewide, top 82%, 3,252 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.9%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($124k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $3k appreciation (1.2% local appreciation)).
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $165,773 (20.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.63%
Cash-on-cash
1.22%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$187,743
List price
$209,500
Delta
11.59%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3526 Jacobs Wl 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+2%) 12mo $179,499 $130 82
12915 Cicely Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,339 (-1%) 1mo $209,900 $157 77
12930 Deep Eddy 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,300 (-4%) 8mo $227,800 $175 76
3857 Ivy Path 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,446 (+7%) 6mo $182,400 $126 72
12823 Kathleen St 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+11%) 3mo $176,499 $118 67
3833 Ivy Path 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,237 (-9%) 10mo $225,000 $182 65
13011 Chinali Spgs 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+11%) 3mo $184,950 $123 65
3606 Jacobs Wl 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,483 (+10%) 12mo $218,459 $147 64
3530 Jacobs Wl 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+11%) 11mo $179,899 $120 63
3921 Asher Aly 0.36mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,459 (+8%) 4mo $199,900 $137 62
3610 Jacobs Wl 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (+11%) 12mo $223,499 $149 62
4047 Fort Palmer Blvd 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,486 (+10%) 12mo $235,000 $158 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.24% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.8%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$5,265
Equity at exit
$74,192
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$32,764
Equity at exit
$100,694

Cash invested: $58,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78152

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
-0.9%
Active inventory
158
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,658 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,099
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $566/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$17
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$348
Net cashflow
$60

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,582
Max offer price $209,500
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $178 -5% $119 +0% $60 +5% $0 +10% $-59
Rent -10% $-71 -5% $-6 +0% $60 +5% $125 +10% $190
Rate -1.0pp $165 -0.5pp $113 base $60 +0.5pp $5 +1.0pp $-50

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,375
Closing costs
$6,285
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12932 Lake Fryer Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,200 $0.98 5d 1 0.11mi
3414 Jacobs Wls Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,325 $0.91 6d 1 0.17mi
3923 Ivy Path Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,600 $1.11 25d 1 0.25mi
12942 Deep Eddy Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1129 $1,495 $1.32 45d 1 0.28mi
13015 Kathleen St Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1235 $1,540 $1.25 23d 1 0.30mi
13015 Kathleen St Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1235 $1,540 $1.25 25d 1 0.30mi
13015 Red Elks Lks Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1445 $1,650 $1.14 4d 1 0.30mi
3921 Abbott Pass Unit 101 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,595 $1.19 12d 1 0.34mi
3925 Abbott Pass Unit 101 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,450 $1.08 45d 1 0.35mi
3933 Abbott Pass Unit 101 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,450 $1.08 25d 1 0.35mi
3937 Abbott Pass Unit 102 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,495 $1.11 45d 1 0.35mi
3815 Abbott Pass Unit 102 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,450 $1.08 45d 1 0.36mi
3909 Asher Aly Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1575 $1,399 $0.89 0d 1 0.37mi
3932 Abbott Pass Unit 102 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,495 $1.11 25d 1 0.38mi
3936 Abbott Pass Unit 101 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1345 $1,450 $1.08 23d 1 0.38mi
4211 Asher Aly Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1248 $1,438 $1.15 5d 1 0.42mi
13019 Lineberry Ln Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1689 $1,638 $0.97 16d 1 0.44mi
4241 Fort Palmer Blvd Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1858 $1,905 $1.03 0d 1 0.49mi
13014 Candace Way Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1553 $1,675 $1.08 6d 1 0.51mi
13038 Candace Way Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1689 $1,675 $0.99 6d 1 0.51mi
13023 Heathers Elm Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1234 $1,500 $1.22 3d 1 0.69mi
4522 Heathers Cross Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1652 $1,900 $1.15 18d 1 0.82mi
4614 Heathers Cross Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1770 $1,850 $1.05 25d 1 0.83mi
4522 Meerkat Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1489 $1,750 $1.18 12d 1 0.85mi
4918 Valenzuela Converse, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1719 $1,699 $0.99 0d 82 0.87mi
13111 Bay Point Way Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1642 $1,595 $0.97 25d 1 1.07mi
13302 Savory Pl Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1217 $1,499 $1.23 14d 1 1.11mi
5424 Thyme Cor Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $1,450 $0.87 22d 1 1.12mi
13014 Rosemary Cv Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1479 $1,800 $1.22 25d 1 1.15mi
5333 Basil Chase Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,680 $1.14 16d 1 1.18mi
12922 Sage Turn Saint Hedwig, TX 4.0 2.0 1667 $1,597 $0.96 25d 1 1.18mi
5510 Basil Chase St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1217 $1,625 $1.34 19d 1 1.21mi
13505 Sunrise Mdw Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1111 $1,591 $1.43 0d 1 1.24mi
5135 Morning Graze Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1211 $1,575 $1.30 23d 1 1.25mi
13551 Lunar Lgt Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1211 $1,550 $1.28 25d 1 1.27mi
5330 Lisa Pt Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,450 $1.16 0d 1 1.30mi
5330 Lisa Pt Apt 102 St Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,400 $1.12 0d 1 1.30mi
5546 Basil Chase Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1217 $1,829 $1.50 4d 1 1.30mi
13603 Lunar Lgt Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 25d 1 1.31mi
13603 Lunar Lgt Saint Hedwig, TX 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,475 $1.22 18d 1 1.31mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$17 · $204/yr

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $209,500 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,500 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,500 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,500 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,500 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $209,500 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $209,500 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $209,500 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $209,500 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $209,500 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $209,500 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $209,500 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $209,500 Price Change 41 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $209,500 Price Change 40 DOM
  15. 2026-04-21
    listed $210,000 New 482-char remark
  16. 2026-03-30
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$566 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,834 · $319/mo
Expected delta
+$3,268/yr (+$272/mo · 577.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,893
− Mortgage interest
−$11,735
− Property taxes
−$566
− Insurance
−$1,048
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,591
− Management
−$1,591
− HOA
−$204
− Depreciation
−$6,095
Taxable loss
−$2,937
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$705
After-tax cash flow
$1,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Central ISD
NCES district ID
4817850
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,941
Composite
18.67/100
National rank
#8887
State rank
#758 of 826 in TX

Livability — St. Hedwig

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
3,958
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
4,521
Household income
$123,981
Rent vs Own
16.6% rent · 83.4% own
Severe rent burden
27.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 21% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.24%
Current HPI
328.7859
Rent YoY
▼ -0.90%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.2% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $209,500 LERA
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $210,000 LERA
  • 2026-03-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+17.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $566 · +17.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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