20055 Oxley St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. 1 1/2 BATH ON THE MAIN FLOOR, BASEMENT, 2 FIREPLACES.
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1971
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $211 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.25%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,261
- List price
- $124,900
- Delta
- -11.58%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19412 Prest St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,267 (+1%) | 3mo | $67,500 | $53 | 78 |
| 19477 Prest St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+4%) | 1mo | $173,000 | $133 | 68 |
| 19412 Sussex St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,170 (-6%) | 2mo | $93,000 | $79 | 65 |
| 20253 Winthrop St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,093 (-13%) | 5mo | $145,900 | $133 | 59 |
| 19139 Lauder St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 1,335 (+7%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $30 | 55 |
| 20101 Strathmoor St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,102 (-12%) | 5mo | $73,000 | $66 | 50 |
| 18982 Coyle St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,328 (+6%) | 3mo | $132,300 | $100 | 49 |
| 16910 Pembroke Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,150 (-8%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $43 | 49 |
| 20522 Ardmore St | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,133 (-9%) | 1mo | $1,400 | $1 | 42 |
| 19338 Murray Hill St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (+12%) | 1mo | $176,500 | $126 | 40 |
| 19134 Montrose St | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,430 (+14%) | 4mo | $163,000 | $114 | 33 |
| 19974 Biltmore St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,433 (+15%) | 5mo | $103,000 | $72 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-6,437
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $13,136
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48235
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,331 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,597/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $211
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 19503 Mansfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 20042 Freeland St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1445 | $1,400 | $0.97 | 16d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 18964 Coyle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,350 | $1.04 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 20210 Biltmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1033 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 20314 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,500 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 20203 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1031 | $1,250 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 20426 Tracey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 18675 Forrer St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,225 | $1.02 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 20259 Oakfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 19816 Harlow St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1704 | $1,150 | $0.67 | 17d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 19474 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,075 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 18481 Prest St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 19d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 18427 Greenfield Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $980 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 20510 Fenmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1194 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 1d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 20043 Fenmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $1,453 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 19818 Fenmore St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 902 | $1,275 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 19918 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,375 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,400 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 19970 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,000 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 20200 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 18257 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,507 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 16500 N Park Dr Southfield, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1500 | $1,844 | $1.23 | 1d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 18512 Schaefer Hwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,200 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 20527 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,528 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 21800 Coolidge Hwy Oak Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 24d | 3 | 1.34mi |
| 21850 Coolidge Hwy #203 Oak Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 21880 Coolidge Hwy #203 Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 20245 Manor Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1018 | $1,400 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 14051 W Nine Mile Rd Oak Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 20122 Manor St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,200 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 16200 W 9 Mile Rd Southfield, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,700 | $1.75 | 5d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 18010 Lesure St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $1,550 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 18494 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 16d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-04status $124,900 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06status Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. 1 1/2 BATH ON THE MAIN FLOOR, BASEMENT, 2 FIREPLACES.
-
2026-05-06status Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. 1 1/2 BATH ON THE MAIN FLOOR, BASEMENT, 2 FIREPLACES.
-
2026-04-16$124,900 Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. 1 1/2 BATH ON THE MAIN FLOOR, BASEMENT, 2 FIREPLACES.
-
2026-04-16$124,900 Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. 1 1/2 BATH ON THE MAIN FLOOR, BASEMENT, 2 FIREPLACES.
-
2026-04-16historical 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
CORNER BRICK RANCH WITH 2 CAR ATTACHED GARAGE. 1 1/2 BATH ON THE MAIN FLOOR, BASEMENT, 2 FIREPLACES.
-
2007-12-31historical
-
2007-07-05$147,499
-
2007-07-03historical
-
2006-08-03$147,500
-
1998-02-05soldstatus $105,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,597 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,760 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$163/yr (+$14/mo · 10.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,972
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,597
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,278
- − Management
- −$1,278
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $565
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$136
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,401/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,600
- Household income
- $39,265
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3064.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -153.02%
- Current HPI
- 263.6326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.25%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+19.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Listed $124,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-12-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2007-07-05 Listed $147,499 REALCOMP
- 2007-07-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2006-08-03 Listed $147,500 REALCOMP
- 1998-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,597 · -39.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…