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5101 Applewood Dr
B- Composite 68.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,900

5101 Applewood Dr · Northport, AL 35473
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 119 Days on market
Built 1961 0.91 ac lot $127/sqft · 33% below area Est $276k · 33% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.

Key facts

  • Second kitchen
  • Second living area
  • Two large lots

Tags

SEPARATE LIVING SPACESFINISHED BASEMENTSECOND KITCHENSECOND LIVING AREATWO LARGE LOTSSTRONG INCOME POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.2% in Northport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in AL, #2,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $168,259 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
9.50%
Cash-on-cash
11.44%
DSCR
1.51
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$276,334
List price
$184,900
Delta
-33.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5006 Highway 171 0.50mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,602 (+10%) 24mo $185,000 $115 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.7%
Equity multiple
1.03×
Total profit
$1,413
Equity at exit
$27,569
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$41,446
Equity at exit
$15,987

Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35473

Home prices YoY
-14.6%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,042 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $872/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$429
Net cashflow
$494

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,417
Max offer price $184,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,225
Closing costs
$5,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    days on market $184,900 Active 119 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,900 Active 118 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $184,900 Active 116 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $184,900 Active 115 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,900 Active 114 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $184,900 Active 113 DOM
  7. 2026-06-05
    days on market $184,900 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $184,900 Active 109 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    remarks 602-char remark
  10. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $184,900 Active 108 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,900 Active 107 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,900 Active 106 DOM
  13. 2026-05-30
    days on market $199,900 Active 105 DOM
  14. 2026-04-01
    status Active 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.

  15. 2026-03-31
    status Pending 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.

  16. 2026-03-20
    price $199,900 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.

  17. 2026-02-13
    listed $215,000 Active 509-char remark
    Show marketing remark (509 chars)

    Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$872 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$872 · $73/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,501
− Mortgage interest
−$10,357
− Property taxes
−$872
− Insurance
−$924
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,960
− Management
−$1,960
− Depreciation
−$5,379
Taxable income
$3,048
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$732
After-tax cash flow
$5,192/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa County
NCES district ID
0103390
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$53,000
Composite
28.88/100
National rank
#6641
State rank
#47 of 129 in AL

Livability — Northport

Score
78/100
State rank
#8
US rank
#2686

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
47,464
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
18,198
Household income
$69,657
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
740.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.92%
Current HPI
222.5458
Rent YoY
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted WAMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Pending WAMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $199,900 WAMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $215,000 WAMLS

Property tax history

+11.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $872 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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