5101 Applewood Dr · Northport, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$184,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.
Key facts
- Second kitchen
- Second living area
- Two large lots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.2% in Northport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#8 in AL, #2,686 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
- Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 119 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 119 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.44%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $276,334
- List price
- $184,900
- Delta
- -33.09%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5006 Highway 171 | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,602 (+10%) | 24mo | $185,000 | $115 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,413
- Equity at exit
- $27,569
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $41,446
- Equity at exit
- $15,987
Cash invested: $51,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35473
- Home prices YoY
- -14.6%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,042 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $872/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,225
- Closing costs
- $5,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-14days on market $184,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $184,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $184,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $184,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $184,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $184,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $184,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $184,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 602-char remark
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $184,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $199,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-04-01status Active 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.
-
2026-03-31status Pending 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.
-
2026-03-20price $199,900 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.
-
2026-02-13$215,000 Active 509-char remark
Show marketing remark (509 chars)
Investor opportunity in Northport! This 5BR/2BA home offers strong income potential with separate living spaces on each level. Main floor features 3BR/1BA, while the finished basement includes 2BR/1BA, a second kitchen, and second living area. Situated on two large lots totaling 0.91 acres. Airdna projects approx. $31,700/year in STR revenue. Northport has fewer short-term rental restrictions than Tuscaloosa, making this a compelling short-term rental play. Buyer to verify all info and local regulations.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $872 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $872 · $73/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,501
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,357
- − Property taxes
- −$872
- − Insurance
- −$924
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,960
- − Management
- −$1,960
- − Depreciation
- −$5,379
- Taxable income
- $3,048
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$732
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,192/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa County
- NCES district ID
- 0103390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,000
- Composite
- 28.88/100
- National rank
- #6641
- State rank
- #47 of 129 in AL
Livability — Northport
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #2686
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
- City population
- 47,464
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,198
- Household income
- $69,657
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 740.0
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.92%
- Current HPI
- 222.5458
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-7.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — WAMLS
- 2026-03-31 Pending — WAMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $199,900 WAMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $215,000 WAMLS
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $872 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…