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4821 Cove Ln
C- Composite 52.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

4821 Cove Ln · Gardendale, AL 35117
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,364 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 135 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 6,316 sqft lot $165/sqft · 18% below area Est $274k · 18% under $5/mo HOA ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.

Key facts

  • Private backyard
  • Large backyard
  • Roomy garage

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENBACK DECKLARGE BACKYARDPRIVATE BACKYARDROOMY GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (8.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.5% in Gardendale — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $197,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.07%
Cash-on-cash
2.77%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$273,737
List price
$224,900
Delta
-17.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
913 Wren Way 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,452 (+6%) 0mo $264,500 $182 81
921 Wren Way 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,452 (+6%) 1mo $264,300 $182 80
160 Springdale Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,347 (-1%) 7mo $244,500 $182 76
4821 Newfound Rd 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,333 (-2%) 8mo $229,000 $172 74
993 Wren Way 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,452 (+6%) 10mo $255,000 $176 68
103 Springdale Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,214 (-11%) 2mo $252,500 $208 67
1486 Woodridge Pl 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,362 (-0%) 9mo $335,000 $246 66
87 Springdale Dr 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,214 (-11%) 12mo $240,000 $198 59
4293 Hathaway Ln 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,432 (+5%) 1mo $259,900 $181 56
1421 Woodridge Pl 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,458 (+7%) 12mo $324,900 $223 53
4274 Hathaway Ln 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,432 (+5%) 5mo $255,000 $178 50
132 Springdale Dr 0.24mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,172 (-14%) 8mo $240,000 $205 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.9%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-27,189
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
-2.8%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-11,795
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35117

Home prices YoY
-19.9%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,060 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$204 /mo · $2,448/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$5
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$433
Net cashflow
$146

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,876
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $273 -5% $209 +0% $146 +5% $82 +10% $18
Rent -10% $-17 -5% $64 +0% $146 +5% $227 +10% $308
Rate -1.0pp $259 -0.5pp $203 base $146 +0.5pp $87 +1.0pp $28

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1397 Woodridge Pl Gardendale, AL 3.0 2.0 1384 $2,166 $1.57 44d 1 0.54mi
4497 Canterbury St Mount Olive, AL 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,890 $1.38 2d 1 0.55mi
1380 Woodridge Pl Gardendale, AL 3.0 2.0 1266 $1,846 $1.46 44d 1 0.59mi
205 Cottage Dr Gardendale, AL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1193 $2,472 $2.07 2d 64 0.80mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$5 · $60/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    status $224,900 Pending 135 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $224,900 Active 135 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $224,900 Active 134 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,900 Active 133 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,900 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,900 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-05-08
    price $239,900 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.

  11. 2026-04-24
    price $249,900 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.

  12. 2026-04-10
    price $254,900 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.

  13. 2026-03-27
    price $259,900 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.

  14. 2026-02-13
    price $264,900 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.

  15. 2026-01-26
    listed $269,900 Active 548-char remark
    Show marketing remark (548 chars)

    This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.

  16. 2024-11-06
    historical $1,549
  17. 2024-10-25
    price $1,549
  18. 2024-10-11
    listed $1,550
  19. 2022-04-08
    soldstatus $249,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,448 · $204/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,448 · $204/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,723
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$2,448
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,978
− Management
−$1,978
− HOA
−$60
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$2,005
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$481
After-tax cash flow
$2,227/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained single-family home is ready for its next owner, with updates in the kitchen and bathrooms, and a good curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Both replace carpet in bedrooms — improves comfort and appearance
  • Resale install new kitchen backsplash — adds visual interest and durability

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
  • Both replace carpet in bedrooms — improves comfort and appearance
  • Resale install new kitchen backsplash — adds visual interest and durability

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Gardendale

Score
66/100
State rank
#113
US rank
#12225

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
17,288
Population (ZIP)
5,091

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.36%
Current HPI
207.071
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $239,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $249,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $254,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $259,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-02-13 Price Changed $264,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $269,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2024-11-06 Rental Removed $1,549 RENT.
  • 2024-10-25 Price Changed $1,549 RENT.
  • 2024-10-11 Listed for Rent $1,550 RENT.
  • 2022-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $249,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+91.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,448 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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