4821 Cove Ln · Gardendale, AL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Large backyard
- Roomy garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $146 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (8.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 5.5% in Gardendale — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#113 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.77%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $273,737
- List price
- $224,900
- Delta
- -17.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 913 Wren Way | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (+6%) | 0mo | $264,500 | $182 | 81 |
| 921 Wren Way | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (+6%) | 1mo | $264,300 | $182 | 80 |
| 160 Springdale Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,347 (-1%) | 7mo | $244,500 | $182 | 76 |
| 4821 Newfound Rd | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,333 (-2%) | 8mo | $229,000 | $172 | 74 |
| 993 Wren Way | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,452 (+6%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $176 | 68 |
| 103 Springdale Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,214 (-11%) | 2mo | $252,500 | $208 | 67 |
| 1486 Woodridge Pl | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (-0%) | 9mo | $335,000 | $246 | 66 |
| 87 Springdale Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,214 (-11%) | 12mo | $240,000 | $198 | 59 |
| 4293 Hathaway Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (+5%) | 1mo | $259,900 | $181 | 56 |
| 1421 Woodridge Pl | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,458 (+7%) | 12mo | $324,900 | $223 | 53 |
| 4274 Hathaway Ln | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (+5%) | 5mo | $255,000 | $178 | 50 |
| 132 Springdale Dr | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,172 (-14%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $205 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-27,189
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-11,795
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35117
- Home prices YoY
- -19.9%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,060 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$5
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$433
- Net cashflow
- $146
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $273 | -5% $209 | +0% $146 | +5% $82 | +10% $18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-17 | -5% $64 | +0% $146 | +5% $227 | +10% $308 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $259 | -0.5pp $203 | base $146 | +0.5pp $87 | +1.0pp $28 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1397 Woodridge Pl Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,166 | $1.57 | 44d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 4497 Canterbury St Mount Olive, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $1,890 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1380 Woodridge Pl Gardendale, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,846 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 205 Cottage Dr Gardendale, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1193 | $2,472 | $2.07 | 2d | 64 | 0.80mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $5 · $60/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-13status $224,900 Pending 135 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $224,900 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $224,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $224,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $224,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $224,900 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $224,900 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $224,900 Active 126 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $224,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-05-08price $239,900 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.
-
2026-04-24price $249,900 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.
-
2026-04-10price $254,900 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.
-
2026-03-27price $259,900 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.
-
2026-02-13price $264,900 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.
-
2026-01-26$269,900 Active 548-char remark
Show marketing remark (548 chars)
This home sits on a quiet street in Mount Olive and gives you plenty of space inside and out. The main level has a bright living room, an updated kitchen with good cabinet space, and a dining area that opens to the back deck. All bedrooms are a comfortable size, and the primary suite has its own private bath. The backyard is large, private, and perfect for pets, kids, or weekend hangouts. You also get a roomy garage for storage or projects. Easy drive to Gardendale schools, shopping, and I-65. A solid, well-kept home ready for its next owner.
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2024-11-06historical $1,549
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2024-10-25price $1,549
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2024-10-11$1,550
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2022-04-08soldstatus $249,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,448 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,448 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,723
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$2,448
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,978
- − Management
- −$1,978
- − HOA
- −$60
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$2,005
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,227/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained single-family home is ready for its next owner, with updates in the kitchen and bathrooms, and a good curb appeal.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Both replace carpet in bedrooms — improves comfort and appearance
- Resale install new kitchen backsplash — adds visual interest and durability
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Both replace carpet in bedrooms — improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Resale install new kitchen backsplash — adds visual interest and durability ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 0101920
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 18.4/100
- National rank
- #8937
- State rank
- #104 of 129 in AL
Livability — Gardendale
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #113
- US rank
- #12225
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 17,288
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,091
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.36%
- Current HPI
- 207.071
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
-4.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $239,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $249,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $254,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $259,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $264,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-01-26 Listed $269,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-11-06 Rental Removed $1,549 RENT.
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed $1,549 RENT.
- 2024-10-11 Listed for Rent $1,550 RENT.
- 2022-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $249,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+91.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,448 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…