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2412 Park Springs Rd
C+ Composite 64.9
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.0/30.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$94,900

2412 Park Springs Rd · Yanceyville, NC 27315
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1965 0.64 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".

Key facts

  • Wood stove
  • 24 x 20 shop
  • Upper bonus room

Tags

WRAP AROUND FRONT PORCHADDITIONAL BEDROOM UPSTAIRS24 X 20 SHOPNUMEROUS CLOSET SPACEUPPER BONUS ROOMWOOD STOVE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.64 acres
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected (private well); Septic connected (private sewer)
  • Home design: Single-family house; One and one-half stories
  • Construction: Stucco and wood siding; Built with unspecified foundation; crawl space noted
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; No waterfront; County road frontage (publicly maintained, asphalt surface)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Wood stove; Other heating; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement (unfinished); Fixer condition
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Separate meters

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.6% in Yanceyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#179 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Caswell County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #146 of 178 in NC (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Caswell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Caswell County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $95k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,359 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
9.27%
Cash-on-cash
10.63%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.4%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$18,500
Equity at exit
$34,265
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$55,341
Equity at exit
$47,017

Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27315

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$57 /mo · $686/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $752
Max offer price $94,900
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,725
Closing costs
$2,847
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $94,900 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,900 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,900 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,900 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,900 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $94,900 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,900 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $94,900 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,900 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,900 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,900 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,900 Active 91 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,900 Active 90 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,900 Active 89 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,900 Active 88 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $94,900 Active 87 DOM
  17. 2026-05-14
    price $94,900 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".

  18. 2026-05-14
    price $94,900
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".

  19. 2026-03-23
    price $99,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".

  20. 2026-03-23
    price $99,000
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".

  21. 2026-03-03
    listed $119,900 Active 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".

  22. 2026-03-03
    listed $119,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".

  23. 2018-07-23
    soldstatus $40,000 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".

  24. 2018-07-23
    soldstatus $40,000
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".

  25. 2018-07-23
    soldstatus $40,000 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".

  26. 2018-07-23
    soldstatus $40,000
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".

  27. 2018-05-25
    listed $45,000
  28. 2018-05-23
    listed $45,000 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".

  29. 2018-05-23
    listed $45,000
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".

  30. 2018-05-23
    listed $45,000 349-char remark
    Show marketing remark (349 chars)

    Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$686 · $57/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$778 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$92/yr (+$8/mo · 13.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,604
− Mortgage interest
−$5,316
− Property taxes
−$686
− Insurance
−$474
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,008
− Management
−$1,008
− Depreciation
−$2,761
Taxable income
$1,350
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$324
After-tax cash flow
$2,500/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caswell County Schools
NCES district ID
3700660
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$38,172
Composite
25.44/100
National rank
#7452
State rank
#146 of 178 in NC

Livability — Yanceyville

Score
68/100
State rank
#179
US rank
#9189

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,005

Population outlook (Caswell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,389 people
By 2030
20,297 · -5.1%
By 2040
17,848 · -16.6%
By 2050
15,578 · -27.2%
By 2075
11,939 · -44.2%
By 2100
8,930 · -58.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Caswell

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.6) · D 37.4% · R 61.9%
2008→2024 swing
-27.7pp toward R · 2008: 3.1pp · 2024: -24.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.6 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+11.5 2012: R+2.7 2008: D+3.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
206.3891
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+110.9% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $94,900 Triad MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $94,900 TMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $99,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-03-23 Price Changed $99,000 TMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $119,900 TMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $119,900 Triad MLS
  • 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 DRRAR
  • 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 AMLSNC
  • 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Triad MLS
  • 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 TMLS
  • 2018-05-25 Listed $45,000 DRRAR
  • 2018-05-23 Listed $45,000 AMLSNC
  • 2018-05-23 Listed $45,000 Triad MLS
  • 2018-05-23 Listed $45,000 TMLS

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $686 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…