2412 Park Springs Rd · Yanceyville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 11.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".
Key facts
- Wood stove
- 24 x 20 shop
- Upper bonus room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.64 acres
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected (private well); Septic connected (private sewer)
- Home design: Single-family house; One and one-half stories
- Construction: Stucco and wood siding; Built with unspecified foundation; crawl space noted
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; No waterfront; County road frontage (publicly maintained, asphalt surface)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Wood stove; Other heating; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Crawl space basement (unfinished); Fixer condition
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Separate meters
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.6% in Yanceyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#179 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Caswell County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #146 of 178 in NC (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Caswell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($656 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Caswell County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $95k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.63%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $18,500
- Equity at exit
- $34,265
- IRR
- 16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $55,341
- Equity at exit
- $47,017
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27315
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,050 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $686/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $235
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $94,900 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $94,900 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $94,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $94,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $94,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $94,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $94,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $94,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $94,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $94,900 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2026-05-14price $94,900
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2026-03-23price $99,000 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2026-03-23price $99,000
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2026-03-03$119,900 Active 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2026-03-03$119,900 Active
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Amazing 2 bedroom, 1 bath A-Frame home with nice wrap around front porch. The home includes an additional bedroom upstairs with numerous closet space. The home includes a 24' x 20' shop that sits on .64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room has windows and closets. The shop contains a wood stove and has its own electricity panel. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2018-07-23soldstatus $40,000 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2018-07-23soldstatus $40,000
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2018-07-23soldstatus $40,000 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2018-07-23soldstatus $40,000
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2018-05-25$45,000
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2018-05-23$45,000 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2018-05-23$45,000
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".
-
2018-05-23$45,000 349-char remark
Show marketing remark (349 chars)
Cute 2 bedroom, 1 bath bungalow, with nice wrap around porch, that has a 24' x 20' shop included and sits on . 64 acres in the country. The upper bonus room (finished attic) has windows and closets. Lots of built in storage! The shop contains a woodstove and has electricity. Priced below tax assessment for quick sale. Being sold "AS IS".
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $686 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$92/yr (+$8/mo · 13.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,604
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$686
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,008
- − Management
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $1,350
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$324
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,500/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Caswell County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700660
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,172
- Composite
- 25.44/100
- National rank
- #7452
- State rank
- #146 of 178 in NC
Livability — Yanceyville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #179
- US rank
- #9189
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,005
Population outlook (Caswell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,389 people
- By 2030
- 20,297 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 17,848 · -16.6%
- By 2050
- 15,578 · -27.2%
- By 2075
- 11,939 · -44.2%
- By 2100
- 8,930 · -58.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Caswell
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.6) · D 37.4% · R 61.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.7pp toward R · 2008: 3.1pp · 2024: -24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.6 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+11.5 2012: R+2.7 2008: D+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.38%
- Current HPI
- 206.3891
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+110.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $94,900 Triad MLS
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $94,900 TMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $99,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $99,000 TMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $119,900 TMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $119,900 Triad MLS
- 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 DRRAR
- 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 AMLSNC
- 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Triad MLS
- 2018-07-23 Sold (MLS) $40,000 TMLS
- 2018-05-25 Listed $45,000 DRRAR
- 2018-05-23 Listed $45,000 AMLSNC
- 2018-05-23 Listed $45,000 Triad MLS
- 2018-05-23 Listed $45,000 TMLS
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $686 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…