28 Saint Anthony St · Auburn, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home offers a solid layout and strong potential but requires significant renovations. The first floor includes a living room and eat-in kitchen with sliding doors leading to a deck and spacious backyard. Upstairs features three generously sized bedrooms and a full bath. The basement offers a partially finished space that could be reimagined as an office or den, along with a large laundry/utility area. One-car attached garage.
Key facts
- Spacious backyard
- Eat-in kitchen
- Sliding doors
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric
- Home design: 2-story home; Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof; Entry with walk-out basement access; Property listed as resale (fixer)
- Construction: Built as existing structure; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Deck; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms including living spaces, office, and laundry
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced air heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Home office; Kitchen/family room combo; Living/dining room; Sliding glass door(s); Sliding doors
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $413 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment D-.
- Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Genesee Street Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,923 of 2,108 statewide, top 92%, 321 students, 83% FRL); Auburn Junior High School (math 16% / reading 26%, grade F, #661 of 729 statewide, top 91%, 598 students, 81% FRL); Auburn High School (math 88% / reading 84%, grade A, #347 of 1,100 statewide, top 32%, 1,183 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 42% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 223 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.39%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,860
- List price
- $115,000
- Delta
- -32.69%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 Clymer St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-4%) | 9mo | $155,500 | $147 | 76 |
| 16 Wright Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,080 (-2%) | 2mo | $124,700 | $115 | 69 |
| 2 Van Patten St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+5%) | 10mo | $166,000 | $144 | 68 |
| 108 Clymer St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-4%) | 15mo | $238,000 | $225 | 67 |
| 6 Willard St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (+14%) | 3mo | $99,900 | $80 | 63 |
| 85 Chapman Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,209 (+10%) | 7mo | $129,900 | $107 | 61 |
| 55 Chapman Ave | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,084 (-1%) | 8mo | $106,000 | $98 | 57 |
| 28 Anderson Cir | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,008 (-8%) | 8mo | $249,900 | $248 | 54 |
| 83 Chapman Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (+14%) | 7mo | $182,000 | $146 | 51 |
| 26 Van Patten St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (+14%) | 16mo | $155,000 | $124 | 51 |
| 140 Garrow Street Ext | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+7%) | 16mo | $195,000 | $166 | 50 |
| 6018 Dunning Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,237 (+13%) | 11mo | $91,000 | $74 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $7,792
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $41,161
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13021
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Active inventory
- 223
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,733 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$305 /mo · $3,665/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $413
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $478 | -5% $445 | +0% $413 | +5% $380 | +10% $348 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $276 | -5% $344 | +0% $413 | +5% $481 | +10% $550 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $471 | -0.5pp $442 | base $413 | +0.5pp $383 | +1.0pp $353 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-05-17status Pending 434-char remark
-
2026-05-05$115,000 Active 434-char remark
-
2019-11-21historical
-
2019-10-25price $92,900
-
2019-08-23price $94,900
-
2019-07-30status Active
-
2019-07-15historical
-
2019-04-30price $109,000
-
2019-01-15$124,900 Active
-
2016-04-19soldstatus $115,100
-
2014-11-20historical
-
2014-10-22$1,000
-
2014-10-06soldstatus $75,000
-
2014-10-03soldstatus $75,000
-
2014-06-06$84,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,665 · $305/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,665 · $305/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$3,665
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $3,445
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$827
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,129/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3603480
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,567
- Composite
- 29.71/100
- National rank
- #6452
- State rank
- #558 of 590 in NY
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #298
- US rank
- #4814
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, NY
- County
- Cayuga County · 37,247 people
- City population
- 37,247
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,247
- Household income
- $60,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1449.0
Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 74,820 people
- By 2030
- 72,402 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 66,917 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 61,007 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 48,047 · -35.8%
- By 2100
- 34,512 · -53.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.53%
- Current HPI
- 338.5537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Auburn, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+35.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-05-05 Listed $115,000 CNYIS
- 2019-11-21 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2019-10-25 Price Changed $92,900 CNYIS
- 2019-08-23 Price Changed $94,900 CNYIS
- 2019-07-30 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2019-07-15 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2019-04-30 Price Changed $109,000 CNYIS
- 2019-01-15 Listed $124,900 CNYIS
- 2016-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $115,100 Public Records
- 2014-11-20 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2014-10-22 Listed $1,000 CNYIS
- 2014-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2014-10-03 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CNYIS
- 2014-06-06 Listed $84,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $3,665 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…